Venezuela - US Conflict: News, Updates

What reports? Cant find any
……..twitter I think some fat guy eating Hagen daz…..I’m just slightly portly eating smart food flamin hot popcorn waiting to go to a wedding while reading and posting but not making up random things like him
 
Venezuela is not a narcostate. That is plain silly.

Please inform UDODC to correct their reports, thanks:


cocaine.jpg

As for producing oil, Venezueka consumes nearly half of the 900,000 BPD it produces, and only small quanitites make it to the black market in an unreliable manner.

That is why China is pretty quiet at being "whacked" since Venezuela is not much more than a pimple supplier on a Giant Dragon's Ass:

Top Suppliers of Crude Oil to China in 2024

The following table outlines the main countries supplying crude oil to China, along with their respective daily export volumes:
Russia2,20020%
Saudi Arabia1,57614%
Iraq1,34412%
Iran1,0009%
United Arab Emirates9008%
Oman8007%
Canada5004%
Brazil4004%
Other Middle East1,50013%
Other Countries1,0009%
[th]
Country/Region​
[/th][th]
Daily Exports (Thousand b/d)​
[/th][th]
Percentage of Total Imports​
[/th]​
 

Sir, I told you that there is more to this intervention then what it seems to be on the surface of it. If this article is correct then Trump admin have done its homework.

I understand your point of view. I understand that Venezuela is a dangerous environment where different mafias exist and it might be important to navigate this environment carefully. However, the US have direct access to Venezuela. Trump's playbook is also different for Venezuela, the first of its kind based on surgical operations in different countries and lessons drawn from them. Trump admin initially dispatched the CIA to Venezuela to figure out how Maduro regime works and how to exploit it. Trump admin also ordered a military buildup near Venezuela to strike at Maduro regime if need be. However, the US struck Maduro regime in such a way that the Maduro regime is separated from Maduro himself and his successor is said to be plaint. The CIA have done a splendid job there.

The US does not have direct access to Afghanistan. The US could access Afghanistan via Pakistan and had to respect Pakistan's interests in the process. The Taliban had a broader support base back then and Pakistan cautioned the US to find a way forward with it. The US also employed a less surgical strategy for war in Afghanistan. The dynamics of war in Afghanistan could change if Operation Anaconda in 2002 had led to capture of Osama Bin Laden (OBL) but this opportunity was missed. The Al-Qaeda Network would have chosen a successor but OBL might have provided valuable information in captivity which could be used to dismantle the Al-Qaeda Network at a faster pace in the region. You might want to check what Senator Kerry had to say on this matter. The war in Afghanistan prolonged because it took many years to discover hideouts of the Al-Qaeda Network's most wanted individuals in the region and nab (or eliminate) them. The Taliban were willing to negotiate with the US early on but were ignored by Bush admin. When Trump took charge, the US and the Taliban reached an understanding. The Taliban agreed to not support the Al-Qaeda Network in exchange for the US to allow it to rule Afghanistan. Both sides found a way forward in mutually acceptable manner.

The Taliban are rather exposed in the present as Pakistan have tensions with the Taliban regime. Now might be the best time to strike at the Taliban but it remains to be seen how Pakistan will address this matter and Trump admin will bite or not. The US does not seem to have a problem with Afghanistan in the present.

The Al-Qaeda Network were brainwashed crooks but many people in different countries are not insane and have livelihood concerns. Many people in different countries don't want to experience war, particularly with the strongest country in the world. If Venezuelan forces were up against a neighboring threat then the average joe in Venezuela be like "Right, WE can handle this shit." But when it is the US then the average joe in Venezuela be like "Dang, what are my options?." Modern warfare continues to evolve and change in time due to ongoing innovation in technology and development of new tactics based on prior operational experiences. A different region also presents a different set of challenges to deal with. I am sure that you understand these fundamentals well enough.

I respect your professional experience and understand that many readers can learn a lot from you. Nevertheless, I am a sharp observer and my conventional judgement can be spot on. Refer to this. Let's see.
If his successor is some kind of plant it so far doesn’t seem like she’s playing by trumps game.
How come worldview doesn’t actually believe this so called cartel actually doesn’t exist that actually intelligence doesn’t back trump up maduro corrupt probably but so is trump.
Trump has said emphatically they are taking over Venezuelas resources for america ie big oil is trying to takeover Venezuela yo is this what they call trying to do banana republic.
If trump actually cared about people hey Cuba is right below Florida…..nothing of value there to steal…..how about Guatemala a lot of corruption there El Salvador Belize Aruba damn how about Haiti
 
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Heavy oil, needed by US refineries.

LOL. Nobody prefers heavy sulfur rich crude.

To make it usable requires difficult processing that is available at only a few refineries in the world, many of which happen to be in USA, that is all.

Further, it is far easier to use a heavy crude refinery to use light sweet crude than the other way around.

Hence, US refineries have no such need. USA is already a net exporter of oil and oil products:

Current Status of U.S. Oil Exports​

Net Exporter Status​

The United States has been a net exporter of oil and petroleum products since late August 2021. In 2023, the U.S. exported approximately 10.15 million barrels per day (b/d) while importing about 8.53 million b/d, resulting in a net export difference of 1.7 million b/d.

Breakdown of Exports and Imports​

  • Exports:
    • Total: 10.15 million b/d
    • Crude oil: 40% of exports
    • Petroleum products: 60% of exports
  • Imports:
    • Total: 8.53 million b/d
    • Crude oil: 76% of imports
    • Petroleum products: 24% of imports

Major Trade Partners​

  • Top Export Destinations:
    • Mexico: 11%
    • China: 10%
    • Canada: 8%
    • Netherlands: 8%
    • South Korea: 6%
  • Top Import Sources:
    • Canada: 52%
    • Mexico: 11%
    • Saudi Arabia: 5%
    • Iraq: 4%
    • Brazil: 3%
 
LOL. Nobody prefers heavy sulfur rich crude.

To make it usable requires difficult processing that is available at only a few refineries in the world, many of which happen to be in USA, that is all.

Further, it is far easier to use a heavy crude refinery to use light sweet crude than the other way around.

Hence, US refineries have no such need. USA is already a net exporter of oil and oil products:

Current Status of U.S. Oil Exports​

Net Exporter Status​

The United States has been a net exporter of oil and petroleum products since late August 2021. In 2023, the U.S. exported approximately 10.15 million barrels per day (b/d) while importing about 8.53 million b/d, resulting in a net export difference of 1.7 million b/d.

Breakdown of Exports and Imports​

  • Exports:
    • Total: 10.15 million b/d
    • Crude oil: 40% of exports
    • Petroleum products: 60% of exports
  • Imports:
    • Total: 8.53 million b/d
    • Crude oil: 76% of imports
    • Petroleum products: 24% of imports

Major Trade Partners​

  • Top Export Destinations:
    • Mexico: 11%
    • China: 10%
    • Canada: 8%
    • Netherlands: 8%
    • South Korea: 6%
  • Top Import Sources:
    • Canada: 52%
    • Mexico: 11%
    • Saudi Arabia: 5%
    • Iraq: 4%
    • Brazil: 3%
US refineries were designed specifically for heavy oil. It’s literally exporting light/sweet oil and importing heavy crude for its refineries. Just a fact.
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Highly problematic. The Americans wanted to control Venezuelan oil resources for a long time.

What will China and Russia do?
China - they will keep waiting for the right time
Russia - will move on to a new country to leech on with big and dangerous words
 
US refineries were designed for specifically heavy oil. It’s literally exporting light/sweet oil and importing heavy crude for its refineries. Just fact.

That was back in the days Venezuela's oil industry was nascent. It is easy to convert them to use lighter crudes, and I have posted the data showing it has already been in place for several years already. Besides, Athabascan Oil is plenty heavy and right next door.

In fact rumors of an "oil quarantine" show Venezuelan heavy crude is simply not an important source in the current oil markets. It just isn't. Its production is only about 900,000 BPD, and nearly half of that is consumed internally, heaving precious little for export to the black market.
 
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There are reports the same unit that captured Maduro just landed in Iraq, wonder why.

Lot of presidents gonna have sleepless nights in the near future.
Some of the units are Mideast based and simply returning to station.
 
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Remember a few pages ago, after attacking Venezuela, these C-17 Globemasters were departed to Europe or something.

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That was back in the days Venezuela's oil industry was nascent. It is easy to convert them to use lighter crudes, and I have posted the data showing it has already been in place for several years already. Besides, Athabascan Oil is plenty heavy and right next door.

In fact rumors of an "oil quarantine" show Venezuelan heavy crude is simply not an important source in the current moil markets. It just isn't. Its production is only about 900,000 BPD, and nearly half of that is consumed internally, heaving precious little for export to the black market.

No it’s not easy to convert refineries as explained in the other video. The import numbers don’t lie. Local conventional (which is also heavy) oil production has been falling, the boom is in shale which is light. Just look at the import and export data. It’s literally light oil out, heavy and medium in. They might be blending some quantity of light oil but that doesn’t solve the problem. Just facts.
 
Some of the units are Mideast based and simply returning to station.
Possible.

Another angle is this information wouldn't be released if they were actually planning anything in the middle east.

Interesting times.
 
Just look at the import and export data.

Please post up these data that you refer to, since I may have missed them above.

Just the facts, indeed.

EDIT: This is what I posted earlier, in case you did not see this:

US oil imports.jpg

US oil exports.jpg
 
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