Sir,
Sorry I have been away from the forum due to work and just now catching up to @'s and tags in my inbox. The threat of a large IEDs is still there but diminished - tactics the dog's use now have now evolved to using weaponized RC vehicles, quad's and small scale IEDs to allow the assault force a chance at entry.
Dogs from our western border have been probing our check posts recently as you will have noticed - this is not new but the trend shows a change in fighting tactics for the TTP and its allies - since winter is not normally the fighting season. The Manchester Arndale bombing was a case study - others too like the Oklahoma bombing, Marriott and others where such large scale attacks have succeeded.
Terrorists have evolved in how they carry out attacks, you will have seen this recently both inside Pakistan and elsewhere. Keep in mind that in our last assault on Afghanistan we had visuals of a truck being loaded with barrels of alleged ANFO.
That large amount of ANFO would be hard to pass through undetected, as for the threat of ISKP - we have seen how the TTP and its erstwhile offshoots have reached out to both the ETIM and IKSP holdouts inside Afghanistan.
TTP has been reorganizing on a massive scale inside Afghanistan, I discussed this last time on October 16th on this forum:
Nawaz area of Ghazni Province, Afghanistan.
33°06'58"N 68°11'11"E [Close to Pakistan border btw]
View attachment 170355
View attachment 170356
This Taliban housing association shows us the scale at which they are being financed. Track back the financials and you can see it is far for organic.