Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
it's also because Trump has a weird fetish with nuclear weapons since his uncle was a nuclear scientist and told him nuclear weapons are the most powerful thing ever when he was a kidI’m not so sure anymore. Iran has to say that to save face.
FBI leaks show that they were concerned that Israel had too much influence on Trump in his first term vis a vi his son-in-law Jared. And we see it right now, Jared was in Moscow meeting with Putin alongside Witkoff. He was in Israel meeting with Bibi about Gaza post war plan.
The problem for Iran is that Trump’s Middle East envoy is basically his son in law…his JEWISH son in law to add. I just don’t think Jared will allow Iran to keep any enrichment or accept even a cessation.
Plus both terms (no enrichment and no LR missiles) require heavy monitoring which means Iran will have to agree to U.S. inspectors on its soil access to even military facilities to verify there isn’t secret nuclear program happening.
The issue here is, Putin is getting favorable deal terms because despite losing tens of thousands of soldiers (maybe even hundreds depending on who you believe) it was due to him not budging and continuing the war that gained Trumps respect.
Iran never had that moment. Never went to war when Israel was genociding, never went to war when Nasrallah was killed, never went to war when Embassy was blown up. Didn’t go to war over Solemani. He doesn’t respect Iran’s leaders, you even heard him say this past month that Solemani was a tough man. Alluding that this leadership isn’t built the same.
It’s hard to see how Iran let red line and red line go unanswered can now get the U.S. to “fear” the consequences of asking for capitulation and potentially getting no deal.
the next war is the IRI's last chance is to fight to secure its existence, we will see what happens. but to go out without using Khorramshahr missiles or deploying all the Resistance at once or sending thousands of drones to all Persian Gulf oil facilities would be very strange
from Rubio's recent speech about a post-Khamenei Iran it seems they want to replicate the Venezuela playbook and work with a successor, but Iran has many competing factions that are all loyal to the system, so I don't think this can work unless one faction become much more powerful than the others



