Iranian Missiles | News and Discussions

MRBM.jpeg

The purpose of this report is to assess the battle damage (BDA) and the scope of reconstruction at 25 primary launch missile bases in Iran, which, according to assessments, possess capabilities for strikes using medium-range ballistic missiles.

Of the 25 bases detailed in this report, 19 were directly attacked during the war against Iran in June 2025 (6 of the bases were not attacked at all).

It should be noted that in June 2025, additional smaller military sites related to the ballistic missile program were also attacked. However, it was determined that they do not include launch capabilities for medium-range ballistic missiles and therefore are not included in the presented list. Larger ballistic missile facilities with the sole purpose of ballistic missile production and not operations, such as Shahroud (شاهرود) or Khojir (خجیر), are also not included in the presented list.

The damage assessment was conducted through analysis of satellite imagery, including Sentinel-2 L2A and Landsat data collected between June 11, 2025, and June 27, 2025. The scopes of reconstruction were examined through analysis of Airbus, Sentinel-2 L2A, and Landsat imagery collected between August 2025 and January 2026.

In our assessment, the damage caused above ground to Iran’s ballistic missile infrastructure during the war in June 2025 only temporarily rendered the large missile launch bases inoperable operationally.

All the military launch bases detailed in this report include underground infrastructure. These infrastructures create an effective problem for the attacking munitions in terms of penetration capability. Therefore, we assess that any Iranian asset, system, or infrastructure located within these underground infrastructures survived the 12 days of war.

As of the end of January 2026, it appears that the large launch bases, which sustained moderate to heavy above-ground damage, show clear signs of reconstruction and continued operational activity. In contrast, reconstruction efforts at the smaller attacked bases are almost imperceptible. The significant strategic threat posed by medium and long-range ballistic missiles has not been removed. Iran is vigorously working to restore it.
 
Persian Gulf said:
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In our assessment, the damage caused above ground to Iran’s ballistic missile infrastructure during the war in June 2025 only temporarily rendered the large missile launch bases inoperable operationally.
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That is the problem with Iran's approach. Yes, the missile bases "survived" but they became militarily inoperable.

Iran needs to be able to control her airspace so that this level of degradation of her offensive capability is not undermined in the future. That is why alongside growing the offensive missile capability, Iran's needs to both have an air force that can take down any platform in her airspace, adopt systems that can target and take out ALBM and have an offensive capability to try and take out the logistics of Israel's air force, ie long range aerial tankers.

The next round of military expenditure really needs to focus on the air force, and IADS so that the offensive capability can be preserved and utilised for longer. The missile capability is solved in terms of capability, they just need to manufacture more, that is all.
 
aerospace_enthusiast_newb said:
What are the chances that either Russia or China is providing Iran with up-to-date satellite imagery? Say on a semi-hourly or a daily basis?
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reasonably good but not possible to know for sure

China regularly leaking high resolution images of US military movements near Iran probably isn't a coincidence
 
Persian Gulf said:
reasonably good but not possible to know for sure

China regularly leaking high resolution images of US military movements near Iran probably isn't a coincidence
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I would think after all the military hardwares and intelligence coming to aid Ukraine you think the least the Russians could do is provide intelligence weird how much western military hardware has killed Russian troops I don’t really see Putin this at all unless I’m mistaken
 
Kheybar Shikan-2 / Palestine-2 traveled ~2100 KM to strike area near Ben Gurion Airport. This points to launch engineers probably giving more altitude to flight path instead of Skip maneuver for gaining KE. This is one strategy for increasing ranges of a hypersonic or borderline hypersonic missile where apogee is increased to increase range on expense of KE from Skip maneuver. KS family is borderline or just below hypersonic ~3-4 MACH at impact. I believe its MaRV can produce more lateral movement than Fattah for this reason.

I was wondering if same is done on Fattah-1 which is properly hypersonic, will its MaRV be able to travel to ~2500 KM if Skip maneuvering is sacrificed for range. I see both these missiles replacing Sejjil-II, Ghadr but not K-4 whose large PBV and IRBM like range is too useful.
 
Persian Gulf said:
reasonably good but not possible to know for sure

China regularly leaking high resolution images of US military movements near Iran probably isn't a coincidence
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Sina Visitor System

weibo.com
I don't know if you can access Weibo. Currently, all the satellite photos of Iran's vicinity released by China are posted by a private space company. Their main purpose is to promote their own satellite technology.
 
LX1111 said:

Sina Visitor System

weibo.com
I don't know if you can access Weibo. Currently, all the satellite photos of Iran's vicinity released by China are posted by a private space company. Their main purpose is to promote their own satellite technology.
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sure, but I doubt they could do it without implicit approval of the Chinese government
 
Persian Gulf said:
reasonably good but not possible to know for sure

China regularly leaking high resolution images of US military movements near Iran probably isn't a coincidence
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I would say damn near a certainty......I hope the equipment rumors are also true. Not to mention Iran's around the clock missile production.
 
kastor ville said:
I would say damn near a certainty......I hope the equipment rumors are also true. Not to mention Iran's around the clock missile production.
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buts its now here near to real time monitoring

Iran really should start its own 50-60 satellites constellation to cover the middle east

send them on Russian and Chinese rockets

those Iranian rocket launches are too light and not enough

dont try and re-invent every single thing I know Iran trusts no one but....

build the satellites use proven launch platforms
 
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