Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
member of Iran's negotiating team signals openness to US investment in Iran
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I think IRGC will take over and test a Nuke after something happens to Khamenei, forcing the US and Israel to sign a Peace/Non-Aggression Treaty with Iran on Iranian terms.
Drove two hours yesterday to be in Toronto demonstrations...A sea of Iranian patriots waving flags of Iran (Iran's real flag not the islamic republic flag)..
Very organized and orderly ..some people crying from joy and emotions were very high..Many Canadians supporting our call..Amazing experience..There are estimated 500,000 Iranians in Canada..Many in Toronto,Vancouver and Montreal...when I came to Canada in mid 70's as a student there were only no more than 1000 Iranians in all of Canada...similar crowds were in Munich Germany and Los Angeles..No doubt Iran will be free again soon. You can feel the buzz.. Reza Pahlavi demonstrated his organizational skills ..well done for him. He is now truly the face of opposition to the mullah regime.
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Toronto,Canada
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LA,California
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Munich,Germany
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, Iran is left with only two options: either it becomes North Korea or the Gaza Strip
The way I see it:I think there are three main options
1) soft regime change --> pro-US internal IRI replacements take over (Trump's preferred scenario)
2) regime change -->
a) Reza Pahlavi somehow takes over and returns to Iran (seems very unlikely)
b) IRGC takes over (military state)
c) total chaos and civil war (modern Iran is destroyed and becomes Syria)
3) IRI capitulates and reaches surrender deal with US
4)I think there are three main options
1) soft regime change --> pro-US internal IRI replacements take over (Trump's preferred scenario)
2) regime change -->
a) Reza Pahlavi somehow takes over and returns to Iran (seems very unlikely)
b) IRGC takes over (military state)
c) total chaos and civil war (modern Iran is destroyed and becomes Syria)
3) IRI capitulates and reaches surrender deal with US
I think B is a likely optionI think there are three main options
1) soft regime change --> pro-US internal IRI replacements take over (Trump's preferred scenario)
2) regime change -->
a) Reza Pahlavi somehow takes over and returns to Iran (seems very unlikely)
b) IRGC takes over (military state)
c) total chaos and civil war (modern Iran is destroyed and becomes Syria)
3) IRI capitulates and reaches surrender deal with US
member of Iran's negotiating team signals openness to US investment in Iran
I really don't think Trump wants to attack Iran and to him not attacking is his 'offer'. The real matter is the Iranian missiles which Netanyahu wants gone.the problem is Trump wants this 3-5 year suspension of enrichment just to call off his war, and he isn't offering anything else, which is not really a negotiation
Why on earth do you fantasize that IRGC have a nuke in its closet ?
If they really had, then why they don't have a deterrence? Why Israel attacked in june last year killed so many high command of Iranian miiltary, scientists and started attacking everywhere? Who on earth would be stupid enough to keep hiding nukes and not establish deterrence.
I wish i could take credit for this one, but it was Trita Parsi that said it a couple of weeks back.
The US invaded Iraq in 1991, and the government was only overthrown in 2003. That's three American governments and trillions of dollars spent on war. And the most interesting thing is: the Iraq of the 1990s was only 5% of the military power Iran has today. I've said it before and I'll say it again: an open war against Iran is UNFEASIBLE in every sense. Twenty years ago, when Iran didn't have drones, hypersonic missiles, or missiles capable of reaching US and Israeli bases, the US already considered it unfeasible. Today it's even worse. The objective of globalist Zionism, therefore, is to overthrow the government through some kind of weakening/color revolution, but even this has proven complicated because Iran stopped a color revolution in less than 10 days!The way I see it:
1) All out war leading to:
a)IRGC victory consolidation of power, American objectices not met with military failure.
b) American victory with a US viceroy in charge
2)
a) Internal shift of power with a different group given the chance to lead, this would have to be a neutralish group.
b)civil war
For me options 1a and 2a are more probable.
The US could militarily destroy allot of Iran but just like in Afghanistan, ,Yemen to some degree Iraq it failed geo-strategically and politically. Trumpy dont have the stomach for a long war either and a shock and awe wont work now given power has been devolved and autonomous command structures locally will be in place.
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