Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Eşbah]

I think Qatar is one of the least likely countries to participate in this war. Saudi Arabia and the Emirates are highly likely to enter the war for purely different reasons and they're probably weighing this as we speak.

1. Saudi Arabia is likely to enter the war because their role as a regional power has been completely undermined and crushed here. They have been humiliated time and time again by the IRGC in the last 3 weeks. They're losing face and credibility and they're no longer seen as a rival for Iran, and not even as the daddy of the Arab sheikhdoms in the region. Also, they have a large air force and important security pacts to back them up.

2. The Emirates has their eyes set on our 3 islands in the Persian Gulf (Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa). They are not going to make a move unless the US decides to launch a ground invasion of Iran, particularly targeting our islands.

The US dollar has a huge bubble but as long as Petrodollar is in place and the US absolutely dominates the energy and technology markets, it is unlikely to burst soon.

There are no reformists in the Sheikhdoms in our region. They are first and foremost US assets. Anything else they do should be purely seen through the lens of economics, rather than long-term strategic thinking.

Qatar has never been as opposed to Iran as Saudi Arabia or the UAE. Over the years, Kuwait has remained relatively quiet, yet it has aligned itself with the same policies as the Saudis and Emiratis without any reluctance.

Oman has maintained a more neutral stance, but the dynamics of Qatari-Iranian relations are far more intricate than many Iranians and Arabs realize.

I would argue that soft power is significant. Perhaps a smart operational differentiation among Gulf nations could serve as a comprehensive approach for Iran.

This strategy would allow for more efficient use of precious resources like missiles and drones in Iran while simultaneously fracturing the Arab coalition and demonstrating to the world the morally superior stance of Iran and its actions, fostering greater understanding and empathy for Tehran both in the Middle East and globally.

 

[Gripen9]

Chinese were reluctant to sell fighter aircraft to Iran as it would jeopardize their commercial relationship with the GCC. Iran could have overcome that obstacle with enough attention and relationship building with China but did not do so.

Didn’t Chinese announce a $400B investment in Iran a few years ago?
Pretty sure GCC did not care for that.

 

[Navid09]

I was in Iran and my youngest uncle passed away on the first day of war after they shut down the internet. It was such an unexpected news.

I didn't have access to the internet. I'm surprised that some Iranian members here have been able to get online. The whole nation is in a digital blackout in Iran. I have left Iran at the moment, after staying for Nowruz. I might be less active for a while but I'll try to visit PDF more often.

some are able to connect to certain VPN's, and I think buying private ip's are working

 

[Immortals]

 

[Ravenman]

Look how the Western media just snowed the F-35 under.

What happened to the F-35 ? Did the search and rescue team found it? What was te damage?

Why did they stop talking about it?

Because its the most expensive and important jet in the West? And there is a whole industry and a lot of jobs involved?

“Free press”

“Free world”

“Independant journalists”

To hell with you fake and phony “standards”.

Westerners are hypocrites.

 

[clutch]

Theory:

America could do a regime change in UAE instead of Iran.

Think about it:
If the UAE is unable to defend itself and is open for the taking like Venezuela and Greenland.
1. Dubai model has failed
2. It can become an American colony
3. Direct Middle East base
4. Israeli base
5. Expel all the locals who are a very small population unable to fight
6. Give Hindus residence with living standards better than India
7. Already built out infrastructure
Now Americans will control the Strait of Hormuz

 

[Maarkhoor]

Theory:

America could do a regime change in UAE instead of Iran.

Think about it:
If the UAE is unable to defend itself and is open for the taking like Venezuela and Greenland.
1. Dubai model has failed
2. It can become an American colony
3. Direct Middle East base
4. Israeli base
5. Expel all the locals who are a very small population unable to fight
6. Give Hindus residence with living standards better than India
7. Already built out infrastructure
Now Americans will control the Strait of Hormuz

They are too tamed to be change.

Whatever BB or Trump would say they will fallow.

 

[Persian Gulf]

some Iranian media channels are reporting that the US/Israel recently attacked energy infrastructure in Khorramshahr and Esfahan.

Iran should use this opportunity to escalate severely instead of allowing the enemy to decide the timing and pace of escalation.

unfortunately, each time our leaders say that we have entered a new phase, or changed our doctrine to offensive operations, it is not true, and our operations remain fundamentally reactive and defensive in nature.

 

[Immortals]

 

[Shags101]

Him trying to calm markets only lasts for a couple of days before it skyrockets again trying to put a band aid on it isn’t going to last much longer still waiting for that imaginary armada that he promised was going to escort ships

 

[ShapurII]

some are able to connect to certain VPN's, and I think buying private ip's are working

But how can a VPN work in this case? As far as I understand, no system in Iran has access to the internet. So, to tunnel your traffic through a VPN, first you need to establish a connection with that system, which is impossible, no?

 

[Navid09]

Pretty good analysis on where the US is most likely to actually deploy their marines if they decide to do it:

Or option 5, just send these marines for market manipulation and to buy time, showing the world "We have a plan"

 

[Maarkhoor]

 

[Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ]

there is no prospect of an imminent deal with the US.

Trump is buying time for escalation.

Iran must use this time to prepare.

At this point... he's playing everyone(foremost Americans) for fools in the stock market.

The response should also be losses on his positions in the market and his coterie of conmen! Because losses and real life pain is for everyday people globally while he raids the bank.
Mideast burns... People die and he makes buck on their death.
For him and those prosperity gospel eyes wide shut crowd only FINANCIAL PAIN matters... which no other suffering can replicate.

 

[Immortals]

Guess it wasn’t JD Vance, will still watch the flight as the route looks like it’s going Islamabad.