Hassan Al-Somal
Elite Member
Financial Times: The continuous rise in prices is a serious threat to Trump in the congressional midterm elections
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Without knowing the full details of what they did (we know they certainly did attack some USN vessels, but don't seem to have scored any hits, though they did cause some evasive maneuvers that indicates they got pretty close), it's difficult to draw any comparisons. Where was their location intelligence coming from? What exactly were they using? How was this being provided to them? Etc etc. Besides, depending on who you believe, it seems like Iran was able to target some USN ships in the area last month/earlier this month, causing at least some level of disruption. But it's just really, really hard to score an actual hit.But somehow the Ansarallah (aka Houthis) in Yemen was targeting the USS Harry S. Truman AC when it was 800 KMs away in Northern Red Sea. And according to US military leaders, the Ansarallah in Yemen converted ballistic missiles to anti-Ship missiles.
Now, couldn't IRGC increase the range of their anti-Ship missiles like the Yemenis did? Remember, the IRGC were the people who assisted the Yemenis to develop their missile capabilities.
I think in general Simplicius' analysis more or less encompasses and even agrees with what you've said. He talked about satnav too but that has very real drawbacks (sat availability/orbits, lack of active comms to missiles, bandwidth considerations, etc)Wrong analysis, I think.
@Persian Gulf and @Immortals are probably better at this topic. So, they can correct me if I'm wrong.
But Iran has both AShBMs and AShCMs. Iran's Persian Gulf missile is a solid-fueled ballistic missile that uses INS with IR/EO sensors in the terminal phase. It's probably been equipped with satnav too, but I'm not sure about that. It has been tested against a replica of an aircraft carrier with success previously. Although, the replica didn't enjoy the agility of a US aircraft carrier. So, that's clearly a weakness that can render it useless in real warfare. Its maximum speed is estimated at 4 Mach, and its operational range has recently been extended to 700km.
Iran also has a handful of cruise missiles with anti-ship capabilities. Probably the best one is Abu-Mahdi CM. It is a subsonic missile with a range of 1,000 km, but if fired in large numbers, it may have a chance. After all, there's always quality in large quantity.
If Iran fires, say 100-150 cruise missiles and 5 PG missiles at a carrier, then maybe it can work. Who knows?
As I tried to point toward this: Before this war on Iran was launched, the 'negotiations' in Oman were almost done and successful because Iran was willing to give up a lot more than what was given up during JCPOA, short of Iran's long range missles. Basically, Iran was trying to avoid a war and ride it out till Trump leaves the office. But, of course, Netanyahu is too smart to fall for that when the best Israeli stooge like Trump is in office. And hence this war.
Going forward.... if Iran would give similar concessions, as Iran was about to give during the Oman negotiations then that would not be too drastic except now Iran has gained the strategic dominance due to the Strait/global economy and due to Iran's resilience.
There is nothing left in Trump/Netanyahu arsenals except to do a Dresden style carpet bombing of Iran and/or dropping multiple nukes to make Iran to capitulate.
I feel Khawaja Asif s tweet was the establishment account putting aWhat is most remarkable about Trump's Pakistan stance is that AFAIK, Trump has not once badmouthed Pakistan and its leadership since assuming his second term. Not even Pakistan's Khwaja Asif's very hostile comments about Israel got a reaction from Trump.
This seems too good to be true but so far--and it is a good 15+ months-- is true.
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