Islamabad Talks - News & Discussions

Two sides with their maximalist demands.

US / Trump demands:
- No enrichment
- Hand over HEU aka nuclear dust.
- No compromise on Strait of hormuz whatsoever. No tolls / not a chance
- No money ( no reparations)
- No unfreezing of Iranian previous assets / money.

Iran's demands:
- Enrichment is our right.
- Give us reparation costs
- Lift all sanctions
- Accept Iran's control over strait of hormuz


I think resumption of war is more likely after ceasefire as both sides are not budging. I think below should be acceptable to both sides, If I be mediator I'd offer below points:

Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.


However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
 
Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.
However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.

The Strait is already Iran's. They can give all the concessions on that for now and if later another armada comes--which could be years--Iran would know what to do. The HEU was something Iran was already willing to compromise a lot during the Oman negotiations.
If Iran gets to keep its missile stockpiles, gets some kind of financial compensation as toll on the Strait or unfreeze of assets along with Israelis leaving Lebanon alone then that alone would be huge victory. Live to fight another day. This war happened because the Israeli Zionist Netanyahu found an American Zionist as the POTUS. This kind of alignment of stars is not going to happen once Trump leaves office. Never.
 
We hope peace is achieved, Pakistan gets the right kind of attention to attract investment and the psychopathic regime of India is muzzled.

We also hope our Arab and Persian partners now understand the multi dimensional threats they all face. Its not just Pakistan v India in isolation.
 
By imposing a blockade and violating the ceasefire, Trump wants to turn this negotiating table into a table of surrender or justify renewed hostilities, as he sees fit. We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats, and in the last two weeks we have been preparing to show new cards on the battlefield.
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looks lile they will have another round
 
By imposing a blockade and violating the ceasefire, Trump wants to turn this negotiating table into a table of surrender or justify renewed hostilities, as he sees fit. We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats, and in the last two weeks we have been preparing to show new cards on the battlefield.
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looks lile they will have another round

The entire Negotiation process is hanging by thread.
 
Two sides with their maximalist demands.

US / Trump demands:
- No enrichment
- Hand over HEU aka nuclear dust.
- No compromise on Strait of hormuz whatsoever. No tolls / not a chance
- No money ( no reparations)
- No unfreezing of Iranian previous assets / money.

Iran's demands:
- Enrichment is our right.
- Give us reparation costs
- Lift all sanctions
- Accept Iran's control over strait of hormuz


I think resumption of war is more likely after ceasefire as both sides are not budging. I think below should be acceptable to both sides, If I be mediator I'd offer below points:

Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.


However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
As long as the Hawks are running the show on both sides nothing will get done
 
The Strait is already Iran's. They can give all the concessions on that for now and if later another armada comes--which could be years--Iran would know what to do. The HEU was something Iran was already willing to compromise a lot during the Oman negotiations.
If Iran gets to keep its missile stockpiles, gets some kind of financial compensation as toll on the Strait or unfreeze of assets along with Israelis leaving Lebanon alone then that alone would be huge victory. Live to fight another day. This war happened because the Israeli Zionist Netanyahu found an American Zionist as the POTUS. This kind of alignment of stars is not going to happen once Trump leaves office. Never.

The last line is why I feel, while hoping for the best, the talks will fail, and we might be back to a conflict.
 
We would love to see them try the first one.
But no one in world with a right mind wants that. Belligrance is not the bravery. This war has all the potential to turn into the third world war. Iranians have desperately tried to expand it by repeatedly attacking many Arab countries. Irani leadership is pursuing a suicidal policy without having care for its own people.
If Iran has so far lost, let's say, 50% or even 20% of its military capabilities and 70,000 or so buildings destroyed. What it has achieved in return? Are Iranians able to destroy even 1% of the military power of their adversaries?
It's just Trump's reluctance not to push the world economy off the cliff that is saving Iran so far. If they can destroy 70000 buildings in Iran, destroying Iran's energy and oil infra is not impossible task. At the most, Iranians will be able to shoot down a few more enemy planes. That's not a prohibitive cost in any means. But Iran will then be brought to beg for ceasefire. Iranians will be then forced to accept terms akin to Saddam's acceptance. Let's all hope that never happens. But the reality is that there is no comparison between Iran and USA's military might.
 
But no one in world with a right mind wants that. Belligrance is not the bravery. This war has all the potential to turn into the third world war. Iranians have desperately tried to expand it by repeatedly attacking many Arab countries. Irani leadership is pursuing a suicidal policy without having care for its own people.
If Iran has so far lost, let's say, 50% or even 20% of its military capabilities and 70,000 or so buildings destroyed. What it has achieved in return? Are Iranians able to destroy even 1% of the military power of their adversaries?
It's just Trump's reluctance not to push the world economy off the cliff that is saving Iran so far. If they can destroy 70000 buildings in Iran, destroying Iran's energy and oil infra is not impossible task. At the most, Iranians will be able to shoot down a few more enemy planes. That's not a prohibitive cost in any means. But Iran will then be brought to beg for ceasefire. Iranians will be then forced to accept terms akin to Saddam's acceptance. Let's all hope that never happens. But the reality is that there is no comparison between Iran and USA's military might.
Let's wait , Iran fought and fought well and now ..... they build the country after US-GCC-Iraq 8 years war and now again US-Israel attack Iran. They show resilience and wipe out US bases in GCC to Jordan.

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Iran war accelerates America’s breakup with the world​

President Donald Trump’s erratic moves aren’t helping.
Donald Trump points to a reporter for a question as he speaks to reporters in the briefing room at White House.

President Donald Trump speaks with reporters at the White House on April 6. | Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP
By Nahal Toosi, Zack Colman and Paul McLeary04/20/2026 06:58 PM EDT




The Iran war is damaging America’s influence around the world and exacerbating tensions with countries already whipsawed by President Donald Trump’s second term — an erosion of power that could be tough to reverse as U.S. adversaries such as China take advantage.

From Bangladesh to Slovenia, fuel rationing has throttled transportation, frustrating leaders dealing with the fallout of a war they did not want. In Muslim-majority countries, anti-U.S. narratives are flooding the airwaves, often with tacit permission from governments. Even America’s allies in NATO have limited their help to the U.S., with some stressing the Trump administration did not consult them before launching the fight with Iran.

The war appears to be accelerating what some see as a U.S. break-up with much of the rest of the planet since Trump returned to office and began flexing U.S. economic and military might in haphazard ways, including tariffs.


“A lot of people are fed up with how chaotic this war has been and scared of the potential economic impact, but I haven’t seen any major protests in response,” a Washington-based Asian diplomat said, having been granted anonymity because the topic is sensitive. “If a more reasonable person becomes the next president, the image of the U.S. might improve, but for policymakers this raises some tough long-term questions about the alliance, how far we can go to stay aligned with the U.S. and what we should do if we can’t rely on the U.S. anymore.”

In the latest sign of foreign powers distancing themselves, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney described his country’s economic ties with the U.S. as “weaknesses” to correct in a video message released Sunday.

“We have to take care of ourselves because we can’t rely on one foreign partner,” said Carney, who has been increasingly critical of Trump due in part to his threats to Greenland. “We can’t control the disruption coming from our neighbors. We can’t bet our future on the hope that it will suddenly stop.”

Trump’s constant vacillation on what he wants to accomplish in Iran hasn’t inspired confidence, some former U.S. officials say.



“Allies don’t know what to believe, adversaries don’t know what to fear, and his own Cabinet do not know what his strategy or intentions actually are,” said Thomas Wright, a former National Security Council official in the Biden administration who focused on long-term strategy. “The long-term prognosis isn’t terminal. But the question is what China, Russia, North Korea and Iran do with the next two years and nine months if this drift continues.”

Asked for comment, White House spokesperson Anna Kelly said Trump’s America First approach has translated to better trade deals, enhanced partnerships for combating drug trafficking and increased defense spending by allies.

“World leaders have talked about the threat posed by Iran for 47 years, but no one had the courage to address it,” Kelly said. “Once all of our objectives are met, including eliminating Iran’s nuclear threat for good, the entire world will be safer, more stable, and better off.”

Sparks fly over energy prices​

Since the U.S. and Israel launched the war with Iran on Feb. 28, the global energy sector has been walloped by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s attacks on Middle Eastern energy facilities.

The U.S., which already was the world’s top oil and gas producer, has seen its influence over energy markets bolstered in the near term, but those gains may be short term.

Asian countries most exposed to volatile energy prices — some of whom mandated working from home or halted exports to conserve fuel — have vowed to accelerate renewable energy installations and restart nuclear power plants. Europe, keen to heed its lesson from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, wants to avoid depending on a single energy supplier. It instead plans to expand energy efficiency and renewable power programs and deploy more electric vehicles.

Watch: The Conversation​




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Nations that want to limit the shocks from fossil fuels like shortages and sudden price spikes — all of which have led to dreadful stagflationary scenarios of slow growth and rising costs — have come to view alternatives like solar power, batteries and electric vehicles as necessary. Many may turn to China, which controls an overwhelming majority of the solar energy supply chain. Beijing is producing electric vehicles at cut-rate prices and controls the bulk of minerals for clean energy and batteries.

“The goal here is not just to survive the shock. It is to use this period of uncertainty to build a foundation for more durable stability,” Asian Development Bank President Masato Kanda said last week at a Council on Foreign Relations event in Washington.

Energy Department spokesperson Ben Dietderich referred POLITICO to comments Energy Secretary Chris Wright made in a Sunday appearance on CNN. Wright criticized the effectiveness of subsidies to promote renewable energy and said the U.S. would maintain its influence through oil and gas.

“We’re a net exporter of oil to the world and we’re by far and away the world’s largest net-exporter of natural gas,” he said.

Fewer friends on the battlefield​

The strain on America’s military alliances has been impossible to ignore as the war continues.

In previous wars in the region, U.S. presidents have managed to rally even reluctant allies to the cause. That included the Trump administration asking for help in defending Israeli cities and civilian infrastructure in the region from Iranian attacks last year.

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Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney, center, arrives to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping, at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, Friday, Jan. 16, 2026. (AP Photo/Vincent Thian, Pool)

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This time the Trump administration didn’t brief even its closest allies beforehand, according to two diplomats from European countries, and hasn’t made clear asks of them since.

That has had an effect. In response to the closure of the strait, the U.K. and France have convened several meetings with dozens of allied states, but not the U.S., to devise a plan to keep the strait open after the war ends.

The European initiative will be aimed at conducting defensive operations to protect commercial shipping in the strait, but timing, and the forces to be involved, remain a work in progress.

That comes as the European Union is also exploring ways to beef up the bloc’s collective defense mechanism, Article 42.7, should it be tested in a move that can be seen as a response to Trump administration threats to take Greenland by force.

Still, U.S. defense relationships run deep around the world and are hard to unravel. Trump has repeatedly threatened to unwind some of them (including leaving NATO), but he has not taken any serious steps in that direction. Many countries, while frustrated by Trump, still want U.S. military prowess on their side.

On Monday, the U.S. and the Philippines kicked off major military exercises that are expected to include Japan and Canada and serve as a warning to China.

In the Middle East, the U.S. attacks on Iran have produced mixed responses.

Israel has been a stalwart partner in the fight against Iran, and it appears intent on weakening the Islamic Republic as much as possible if it can’t outright overthrow the regime.



While Persian Gulf countries tried to dissuade the U.S. from its first attacks on Iran, many have since been incensed by Iranian retaliatory strikes on their soil. The United Arab Emirates, for one, has increasingly sided with the U.S.-led war effort, even as it reportedly has raised the possibility it might need a financial lifeline from Washington.

Diplomatic debacles​

The war in Iran has also damaged America’s reputation and sway in countries where U.S. efforts to strengthen relations face tough competition.

In an excerpt of a State Department cable dated Thursday, U.S. diplomats at the American Embassy in Dushanbe, Tajikistan, warned that “the conflict in Iran has led to the emergence of a persistent anti-American narrative in Tajikistan’s heavily constrained media environment as foreign actors deepen their influence and local outlets chase clicks and external funding.”

The excerpt, newly obtained by POLITICO, added, “Our competitors are expending resources to ensure narrative dominance in a country that sits at the intersection of China, Afghanistan, Russia and Iran.”

Similar cables sent from U.S. diplomats in Bahrain, Indonesia and Azerbaijan — and previously reported upon by POLITICO — also described a proliferation of anti-U.S. messaging and warned that, in some cases, America’s security and diplomatic ties were at risk.

Asked for comment, State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott shared a stock statement he’s used before: “President Trump’s actions are making the United States, future generations, and the entire world safer by preventing the Iranian regime from obtaining a nuclear weapon. That’s the reality, and the entire administration is lockstep in that effort.



Trump’s moves in Iran have compounded alienation some U.S. allies felt when he launched a “Board of Peace” that was conceived as a body to help implement an agreement between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip, but that critics grew to suspect was designed to supplant the United Nations. Hungary and Bulgaria were the only two EU members to formally join the board by the time it launched in February. Other EU countries stayed at arms length by sending observers only, and Belgium underscored its hesitation Monday.

Belgium’s Foreign Affairs ministry spokesperson David Jordens told POLITICO his country does not intend to donate funds via the Board of Peace.

Still, Trump backers argue any current pains resulting from the U.S. president’s actions in Iran will be worth it in the long run.

Alexander Gray, who served as a top National Security Council official in Trump’s first term, said the decision to go after Iran and its destabilizing activities now will “pay dividends for future presidents.”

Daniella Cheslow and Phelim Kine contributed to this report.
 
Two sides with their maximalist demands.

US / Trump demands:
- No enrichment
- Hand over HEU aka nuclear dust.
- No compromise on Strait of hormuz whatsoever. No tolls / not a chance
- No money ( no reparations)
- No unfreezing of Iranian previous assets / money.

Iran's demands:
- Enrichment is our right.
- Give us reparation costs
- Lift all sanctions
- Accept Iran's control over strait of hormuz


I think resumption of war is more likely after ceasefire as both sides are not budging. I think below should be acceptable to both sides, If I be mediator I'd offer below points:

Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.


However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
A new factor also matters. The civilian leadership may accept harsher terms unacceptable to IRGC. It is the IRGC that controls the strait. The civilian leadership has no power over Hormuz.
 

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