Master Chief
Trusted Member
What makes you think a bullet would ever be wasted on those of your ilk?Hey dont shoot me, i only dhare a news item i read
Pakistanis Have Done Good Job Of Sucking Up To Trump": Mehdi Hasan To NDTV
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What makes you think a bullet would ever be wasted on those of your ilk?Hey dont shoot me, i only dhare a news item i read
Pakistanis Have Done Good Job Of Sucking Up To Trump": Mehdi Hasan To NDTV
Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.
However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
By imposing a blockade and violating the ceasefire, Trump wants to turn this negotiating table into a table of surrender or justify renewed hostilities, as he sees fit. We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats, and in the last two weeks we have been preparing to show new cards on the battlefield.
looks lile they will have another round
As long as the Hawks are running the show on both sides nothing will get doneTwo sides with their maximalist demands.
US / Trump demands:
- No enrichment
- Hand over HEU aka nuclear dust.
- No compromise on Strait of hormuz whatsoever. No tolls / not a chance
- No money ( no reparations)
- No unfreezing of Iranian previous assets / money.
Iran's demands:
- Enrichment is our right.
- Give us reparation costs
- Lift all sanctions
- Accept Iran's control over strait of hormuz
I think resumption of war is more likely after ceasefire as both sides are not budging. I think below should be acceptable to both sides, If I be mediator I'd offer below points:
Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.
However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
The Strait is already Iran's. They can give all the concessions on that for now and if later another armada comes--which could be years--Iran would know what to do. The HEU was something Iran was already willing to compromise a lot during the Oman negotiations.
If Iran gets to keep its missile stockpiles, gets some kind of financial compensation as toll on the Strait or unfreeze of assets along with Israelis leaving Lebanon alone then that alone would be huge victory. Live to fight another day. This war happened because the Israeli Zionist Netanyahu found an American Zionist as the POTUS. This kind of alignment of stars is not going to happen once Trump leaves office. Never.
But no one in world with a right mind wants that. Belligrance is not the bravery. This war has all the potential to turn into the third world war. Iranians have desperately tried to expand it by repeatedly attacking many Arab countries. Irani leadership is pursuing a suicidal policy without having care for its own people.We would love to see them try the first one.
Let's wait , Iran fought and fought well and now ..... they build the country after US-GCC-Iraq 8 years war and now again US-Israel attack Iran. They show resilience and wipe out US bases in GCC to Jordan.But no one in world with a right mind wants that. Belligrance is not the bravery. This war has all the potential to turn into the third world war. Iranians have desperately tried to expand it by repeatedly attacking many Arab countries. Irani leadership is pursuing a suicidal policy without having care for its own people.
If Iran has so far lost, let's say, 50% or even 20% of its military capabilities and 70,000 or so buildings destroyed. What it has achieved in return? Are Iranians able to destroy even 1% of the military power of their adversaries?
It's just Trump's reluctance not to push the world economy off the cliff that is saving Iran so far. If they can destroy 70000 buildings in Iran, destroying Iran's energy and oil infra is not impossible task. At the most, Iranians will be able to shoot down a few more enemy planes. That's not a prohibitive cost in any means. But Iran will then be brought to beg for ceasefire. Iranians will be then forced to accept terms akin to Saddam's acceptance. Let's all hope that never happens. But the reality is that there is no comparison between Iran and USA's military might.
A new factor also matters. The civilian leadership may accept harsher terms unacceptable to IRGC. It is the IRGC that controls the strait. The civilian leadership has no power over Hormuz.Two sides with their maximalist demands.
US / Trump demands:
- No enrichment
- Hand over HEU aka nuclear dust.
- No compromise on Strait of hormuz whatsoever. No tolls / not a chance
- No money ( no reparations)
- No unfreezing of Iranian previous assets / money.
Iran's demands:
- Enrichment is our right.
- Give us reparation costs
- Lift all sanctions
- Accept Iran's control over strait of hormuz
I think resumption of war is more likely after ceasefire as both sides are not budging. I think below should be acceptable to both sides, If I be mediator I'd offer below points:
Acceptable conditions somewhere in the middle:
- HEU not to be handed over but diluted to 3% locally with IAEA inspectors onsite.
- No enrichment for XX number of years. But this point to be cancelled incase of any future attack on Iran.
- Lift all sanctions over Iran.
- Strait of hormuz to be opened by Iran and Iranian blockade to be removed by US.
- Unfreeze Iranian FX and assets.
However, I don't think above is not acceptable to US or even Iran. So chances of resumption of new waves of bombing campaign looks likely unless both sides climb down to middle ground.
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