VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
This is the key statement. Iran cannot expect to successfully take on so many countries all at once. Something must give.
Or may be they are still hiding something very potent in reserve, to be used at the right time?
US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War
- Thread starter AZ_HighCountry
- Start date
This is the key statement. Iran cannot expect to successfully take on so many countries all at once. Something must give.
Or may be they are still hiding something very potent in reserve, to be used at the right time?
Pakistan Space Agency
SpeedLimited
The main military branch of Iran is being systematically destroyed and we're not seeing hundreds of drones being launched by Iran like they were in March-April. Why is that, buddy?
The US on the other hand appears to be doing some mopup operations.
US military strikes on Iran due to ceasefire violations by the IRGC
Date | No. of Targets | Source |
26/06/2026 | Not stated | |
27/06/2026 | 10 | |
07/07/2026 | 80 | |
08/07/2026 | 90 | |
11/07/2026 | 140 | |
12/07/2026 | ”Dozens" | |
13/07/2026 | Not stayed |
Surprisingly, despite the ceasefire has ended, Iran has not attacked Israel.
KAL-EL
VIP Member
I wouldn't be surprised if they were already looking for him
Ali_Baba
VIP Member
Yeah - I do think he wants to kill him too - in Trumps dementia ridden mind, that is what "winning" looks like.
ShapurII
Trusted Member
Trump is trying to "peel the onion" in the sense that he is killing all the people he considers to be "hardliners", layer by layer, until the US reaches a new core of people who are not willing to fight against the US and would sign the surrender deal he wants.
VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
There is something to be said about utilizing this as a military strategy. This just might work, if the targets can be located in the first place - which is not exactly easy.
KAL-EL
VIP Member
I concur. But he's wrong because there's going to always be somebody to come up in the ranks.
shapurzolaktaf
Registered Member
This war is a disaster,’ Omani foreign minister says
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi says the war on Iran “has achieved none of its officially assigned objectives” and lacks a UN mandate.“This war is a disaster,” he wrote in an opinion piece published in the French newspaper Le Monde.
The minister added: “Nevertheless, if it finally buries the myth of containment in the Gulf, then there is reason for hope: the emergence of a fairer, more realistic and more effective system, thus correcting nearly half a century of strategic errors.”
For him, the most serious threats to the region do not come from Tehran but from Tel Aviv, he said.
ShapurII
Trusted Member
The US has employed it for years. It may take a while, but it is the only strategy that might work. The only problem is that there's zero trust between the Americans and whoever that is in control in Iran, and the US hasn't found an answer to this yet, and it won't work unless the US agrees to give them some sort of guarantees that they will be left alone.
If the US thinks it can retake the Strait of Hormuz from Iran using military force, that's delusional. Iran can always stop navigation through the Strait of Hormuz at will. It's neither expensive nor militarily difficult.
At some point, the international shipping companies will decide that it's actually cheaper and easier to recognize Iran's control over the waterway instead of paying for higher insurance or being subject to unpredictable demurrage whenever they want to travel to the Middle East. And I'm sure most countries in the world will reach the same conclusion if oil prices stay above $100 per barrel.
VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
Geopolitically, I do not think USA would have any issue with whomever controls Iran, as long as there is an understanding about a few policies regarding regional matters. That would, and should, be eminently achievable.
Iran can control its own coastal waters as it sees fit. But it cannot hope to be able to control the rights of other coastal states to use their own coastal waters as they see fit.
ShapurII
Trusted Member
I think if the US has reasonable demands, there might be a chance for reaching an understanding with some factions in Iran. However, it is important for the US to give concessions when it comes to security. The US should no longer be seen as an existential threat to the system in Iran.
The truth is that as long as Iran sees the US or Israel as remaining threats to its national security and territorial integrity, Iran will not give up the Strait of Hormuz as one of its most potent cards. Iran didn't control the Strait of Hormuz prior to this war and I think if real normalization happens, and the US effectively packs her bags and leaves the region and stops being an existential threat to the system in Iran, then Iran can reach an understanding with the US over the Strait of Hormuz.
RescueRanger
Meme Lord
The share expecting a prolonged conflict rose to 79% from 65% in late March
VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
Well, that is exactly why negotiations are so important - both sides have to be willing to give up something in return for something that they want from the other side.
But Iran has to realize it is not the sole coastal state in that region. It cannot speak for others as well, because the other coastal states have their own sovereign rights over their own coastal waters.
ShapurII
Trusted Member
I believe you know quite well that this war is not over the rights of coastal states of the Persian Gulf, or their sovereign rights. By the way, the only other coastal state with rights to the Strait of Hormuz is Oman and they're passive as hell. Trump was even willing to have a share of the SoH passage fees and for Iran and the US to control the strait jointly lol
VCheng
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
That was exactly what the MoU was supposed to work out over the next 60 days. One still hopes that negotiations can result in a workable solution.
