US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

[VCheng]

In my personal opinion, I think this will (if it hasn't already) turning into the World Vs IRGC instead of US-Israel Vs Iran.

This is the key statement. Iran cannot expect to successfully take on so many countries all at once. Something must give.

Or may be they are still hiding something very potent in reserve, to be used at the right time?

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

Pretty clear trump launching attacks on Iran is having little affect, rinse and repeat, as soon as the oil prices start to go up hel be after a ceasefire again.

The main military branch of Iran is being systematically destroyed and we're not seeing hundreds of drones being launched by Iran like they were in March-April. Why is that, buddy?

The US on the other hand appears to be doing some mopup operations.

US military strikes on Iran due to ceasefire violations by the IRGC

Date​	No. of Targets​	Source​
26/06/2026​	Not stated​	US CENTCOM​
27/06/2026​	10​	US CENTCOM​
07/07/2026​	80​	US CENTCOM​
08/07/2026​	90​	US CENTCOM​
11/07/2026​	140​	US CENTCOM​
12/07/2026​	”Dozens"​	US CENTCOM​
13/07/2026​	Not stayed​	US CENTCOM​

Surprisingly, despite the ceasefire has ended, Iran has not attacked Israel.

 

[KAL-EL]

Trump wants proof of life so that he can use that process, to track him down and then try to kill him...

I wouldn't be surprised if they were already looking for him

 

[Ali_Baba]

I wouldn't be surprised if they were already looking for him

Yeah - I do think he wants to kill him too - in Trumps dementia ridden mind, that is what "winning" looks like.

 

[ShapurII]

Yeah - I do think he wants to kill him too - in Trumps dementia ridden mind, that is what "winning" looks like.

Trump is trying to "peel the onion" in the sense that he is killing all the people he considers to be "hardliners", layer by layer, until the US reaches a new core of people who are not willing to fight against the US and would sign the surrender deal he wants.

 

[VCheng]

Trump is trying to "peel the onion" in the sense that he is killing all the people he considers to be "hardliners", layer by layer, until the US reaches a new core of people who are not willing to fight against the US and would sign the surrender deal he wants.

There is something to be said about utilizing this as a military strategy. This just might work, if the targets can be located in the first place - which is not exactly easy.

 

[KAL-EL]

Yeah - I do think he wants to kill him too - in Trumps dementia ridden mind, that is what "winning" looks like.

I concur. But he's wrong because there's going to always be somebody to come up in the ranks.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

This war is a disaster,’ Omani foreign minister says​

Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi says the war on Iran “has achieved none of its officially assigned objectives” and lacks a UN mandate.

“This war is a disaster,” he wrote in an opinion piece published in the French newspaper Le Monde.

The minister added: “Nevertheless, if it finally buries the myth of containment in the Gulf, then there is reason for hope: the emergence of a fairer, more realistic and more effective system, thus correcting nearly half a century of strategic errors.”

For him, the most serious threats to the region do not come from Tehran but from Tel Aviv, he said.

 

[ShapurII]

There is something to be said about utilizing this as a military strategy. This just might work, if the targets can be located in the first place - which is not exactly easy.

The US has employed it for years. It may take a while, but it is the only strategy that might work. The only problem is that there's zero trust between the Americans and whoever that is in control in Iran, and the US hasn't found an answer to this yet, and it won't work unless the US agrees to give them some sort of guarantees that they will be left alone.

If the US thinks it can retake the Strait of Hormuz from Iran using military force, that's delusional. Iran can always stop navigation through the Strait of Hormuz at will. It's neither expensive nor militarily difficult.

At some point, the international shipping companies will decide that it's actually cheaper and easier to recognize Iran's control over the waterway instead of paying for higher insurance or being subject to unpredictable demurrage whenever they want to travel to the Middle East. And I'm sure most countries in the world will reach the same conclusion if oil prices stay above $100 per barrel.

 

[VCheng]

It may take a while, but it is the only strategy that might work. The only problem is that there's zero trust between the Americans and whoever that is in control in Iran, and the US hasn't found an answer to this yet, and it won't unless it agrees to give them some sort of guarantees that they will be left alone.

Geopolitically, I do not think USA would have any issue with whomever controls Iran, as long as there is an understanding about a few policies regarding regional matters. That would, and should, be eminently achievable.

If the US thinks it can retake the Strait of Hormuz from Iran using military force, that's delusional. Iran can always stop navigation through the Strait of Hormuz at will. It's neither expensive nor militarily difficult.

Iran can control its own coastal waters as it see fit. But it cannot hope to be able to control the rights of other coastal states to use their own coastal waters as they see fit.