Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[kobra]

 

[BananaRepublic]

Textbook siege tactics. They know Iran doesn't have an air force and now they're blocking Iran's land routes as well. I wonder how the IR wants to defend Iran if it cannot even move its troops.

Given Iran has been carved up into local units.

They aren’t reliant on troops movements directed from a centralised command?

 

[Oldenwisdom...قول بزرگ]

The terrorist American regime also attacked another airport

I know that Iran has been calibrating escalation... however, without a response it allows the belligerent to escalate. Lack of response makes for a mounting cost that now the aggressor can compound on the bearer.

It is the same thing when clown attacked from multiple countries but the reciprocal attacks, shocked him... he didn't expect a retaliation. He assumes the same...

 

[ShapurII]

Although your commentary usually offers valuable insights, you occasionally lapse into an unwarranted pessimism. Predicting a US land invasion feels like a hypothetical worst-case scenario rather than a realistic outcome. Beyond that, what is the ultimate goal? Is it to hold southern Iran, and for how long? It is hard to see how this scenario would actually result in regime change and control of Hormuz.

Shouldn't we always consider the worst case scenarios to prepare for the future? Because it's not wise to assume your enemy will not exploit your weaknesses.

Suppose that the US manages to annex the Kharg Island and parts of the Khuzestan province. How do you think the system in Iran can survive economically then?

That will be their ultimate goal, to completely cripple the Iranian economy and take our oil and gas until the IR decides to accept unconditional surrender. And since Iran cannot move its troops in the air or on the ground, I do not see how we want to defend against such attacks. We had 90 days to prepare after the ceasefire but how many soldiers have been deployed in the south since then?

The situation this time is very different from the Iraq-Iran war where we had one of the world's best equipped and best trained air forces in the world.

 

[ShapurII]

Given Iran has been carved up into local units.

They aren’t reliant on troops movements directed from a centralised command?

Even if we assume that is true and 50K-100K soldiers can resist against tens of thousands of better-equipped American soldiers with air support, how long can they survive without reinforcement, weapons, food and medical supplies?

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[ShapurII]

By the way, it is not only me that is worried about a ground invasion of Iran.

At least 3 high ranking officials have talked about the same thing in the last 48 hours:

1. Kamran Ghazanfari (Parliament Member, representing Tehran)
2. Rashidi Koochi (former Parliament Member, representing Marvdasht)
3. Mohammad Ali Larijani, one of the highest officials in Iran responsible for Iran's doctrine and strategy since the revolution. Also, Ali Larijani's brother.

Rashidi Koochi has talked exactly like me. He says a ground invasion is certain at this point and Trump is only waiting for the weather to get better.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Governor of Bushehr: Following the continued aggression by the American enemy, two explosions were heard in the city of Bushehr a few minutes ago.

According to initial reports, no injuries or fatalities have been reported so far, and various aspects of this incident are being investigated by the relevant authorities.

Farsna

 

[Persian Gulf]

The terrorist American regime has struck a railway station in Bandar Abbas, murdering two civilians

 

[Immortals]

Why hasn’t Vahidi staged a coup yet and arrested Qalibaf?

 

[Immortals]

Iran is acting too feeble. Bab El-Mandeb is still open and Houthi’s just make toothless threats.

Iran refuses to strike Saudi Arabia, Qatar, or UAE where vast majority of US equipment is currently positioned.

They continue to avoid fighting the escalation ladder that Trump is climbing vs the war where they were not afraid to strike larger.

 

[BananaRepublic]

No!

You definitely shouldn’t plan for the worst case scenario.

It leads to overreaction and miss allocation of precious resources.

This is why contingency planning is done by clever people who know how to do cost benefit analysis.

Otherwise this job could be done by anyone with a fertile imagination - leading to bankruptcy.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[BananaRepublic]

Iran is acting too feeble. Bab El-Mandeb is still open and Houthi’s just make toothless threats.

Iran refuses to strike Saudi Arabia, Qatar, or UAE where vast majority of US equipment is currently positioned.

They continue to avoid fighting the escalation ladder that Trump is climbing vs the war where they were not afraid to strike larger.

Patient brother.

They are being saved for Armageddon.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

‘Series of explosions in Kuwait’: Fars news agency​

Iran’s Fars news agency, citing Iraqi media, is reporting a “series of explosions” in Kuwait.

The blasts could be heard as far away as Basra in southern Iraq, the report said.