Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Magi]

He is having his 15 mins of fame. But I watched his videos in the first weeks of the war. And he was accurately predicting the war would go on for some time while everyone in the news thought it would be over very quick (either Iranian capitulation or ceasefire) and even users on this very board that now act like experts were saying Iran was finished after the first week.

He’s run out material since then, but his core thesis is right — Trump will escalate to not appear weak and Iran can match him. Trump has no good cards to extract himself from this conflict without paying some type of price.

Another one of his early war predictions was that Iran would become a nuclear weapons power within a years time. That prediction remains to be seen if it turns out to be correct.

Maybe he was objective at first to build credibility and a following so he could then use that to create the image that Iran = Isis. How else can this be explained? The most effective liars tell the truth most of the time.

 

[Immortals]

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[Watandar]

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[RocketLaw]

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38 minutes ago

 

[Flotilla]

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This is a ballistic type antiship missile, check how damage came from top, missile Cruiser type Noor/Gadhir are sea skimmer and hit just above floating line.
Obviously Irán is escalating.

 

[FUB]

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[FUB]

back to business

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[FUB]

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[tsunset]

What gets me thinking they will not invade is why are they bombing bridges and not sending troops immediately? The bridges are right now under repair and will be completely back to service in a few days. Why aren't they bombing the repair teams?

If you intend to cut bridges and routes then invade immediately afterwards instead of giving time to repair them

 

[Watandar]

What gets me thinking they will not invade is why are they bombing bridges and not sending troops immediately? The bridges are right now under repair and will be completely back to service in a few days. Why aren't they bombing the repair teams?

If you intend to cut bridges and routes then invade immediately afterwards instead of giving time to repair them

Once the bridges are repaired the US will bomb them again. It's about pressuring Iran to return to the negotiating table. There isn't any ground invasion happening, at the most some reckless attempts to seize some islands.

 

[Watandar]

Good analysis on a question asked frequently around here....why has the conflict resumed.

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[BananaRepublic]

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But Iran’s ability to attack hasn’t been diminished, sweetheart!

Only their ability to defend cowardly attacks from the air has been diminished.

This was exactly US’ position in all their wars since the Second World War.

Ability to kill and maim with impunity from the air.

But US still had to beat a cowardly retreat.

 

[Ali_Baba]

We need to give some allowance to the Iranian posters here. Even to the level-headed Persian Gulf Mod. Their country is being attacked and is literally facing an existential threat. Regardless of the mistakes the Iranian leadership made since 1979, they are at a point of no return: Either they survive as a nation-state with sovereignty (and hopefully course correction) or they become another vassal state with even more castastrophic wars to launched on them should they stray from the path.

I am in the minority view on this thread, and It is fair for the Iranians to be emotional with all that they seeing of their country being hurt the way it is but I do think Iran has made the right decision at every point including the MOU and ceasefire(which has settled the debate in Iran itself, and shown the world that the USA is not serious about ending the war at all and it was nothing more than a ruse).

People seem to relate victory to the cost of oil, and not the draw down charts on strategic reserves? The strategic reserves are exactly at the same point as they were at the end of the war before the ceasefire. That energy crash is coming if the Americans don't stop soon.

There is nothing new that the USA has achieved that it could not have done under fire, people refer to being able to refill ammunition stocks and interceptors in the region but we all saw the flight charts of the Americans being able to do that fine under fire from what RescueRanger was posting on logistics movements from the USA to the region.

Iran's decisions has at every point resulted in strategic success. This is the Battle of Hormuz, and I do think from what I see ( and even in light of the very very large CENTCOM buildup of aircraft in region ) that Iran will win the Battle of Hormuz. The criteria for Iran's success in this battle are quite low, ie demonstrate they can sink tankers at will and stop the oil flow. Nothing else. The Americans have a bigger job for what success looks like for them.

Strategically, the USA is losing this war badly, despite its many tactical wins and destruction and it's very very impressive military capabilities. The clock is ticking on the USA and it is not looking good for them.

 

[ShapurII]

What gets me thinking they will not invade is why are they bombing bridges and not sending troops immediately? The bridges are right now under repair and will be completely back to service in a few days. Why aren't they bombing the repair teams?

I'm sure at least one major bridge in Bandar Abbas is not getting repaired at the moment and the responder team is creating an alternative path. That's per official reports in the Iranian media.

The same goes for one of the railway stations that was hit yesterday. They are using buses for transferring people to by pass that part of the railway.

 

[sharreman10]

I am in the minority view on this thread, and It is fair for the Iranians to be emotional with all that they seeing of their country being hurt the way it is but I do think Iran has made the right decision at every point including the MOU and ceasefire(which has settled the debate in Iran, and shown the world that the USA is not serious about ending the war at all and it was nothing more than a ruse). People seem to relate victory to the cost of oil, and not the draw down charts on strategic reserves. The strategic reserves are exactly at the same point as they were at the end of the war before the ceasefire. There is nothing new that the USA has achieved that it could not have done under fire, people refer to being able to refill ammunition stocks and interceptors but we all saw the charts of the Americans being able to do that fine under fire from what RescueRanger was posting on logistics movements.

Iran's decisions has at every point resulted in strategic success. This is the Battle of Hormuz, and I do think from what I see ( and even in light of the very large CENTCOM buildup of aircraft in region ) that Iran will win the Battle of Hormuz. The criteria for Iran's success in this battle are quite low, ie demonstrate they can sink tankers at will and stop the oil flow. Nothing else. The Americans have a bigger job.

This is it.