Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[tsunset]

The problem with Jordan is that the embassy has been probably cleared since 7th, it would not kill any Israelis

Israelis officials/soldiers/settlers critically needs to die in a retaliation

 

[Persian Gulf]

Just now

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman said Iran, while reserving its rights to take countermeasures, will decide on the type of reaction against Israel. Iranian ambassador to Damascus said the response will be “proportionate” and at the “right time and place”.

Still think they will attack tonight?

 

[tsunset]

Still think they will attack tonight?

As i said, i still think tonight and in a maximum of 3 days

Remember Pakistan was also saying the exact same quotes yet did their operation the night following the attacks

Usually Iran says *insert we condemn the attack quotes* followed by a *insert revenge quote*

 

[Immortals]

What did I say last week?

Let’s refresh the pacifists minds on here:

Remains to be seen if this was a Strategic mistake on Iran’s part. They sacrificed Hamas largely for geopolitical theater. Now HZ and Iran will be routinely targeted in Syria with no response.

Strategic deterrence outside of Iranian soil has been lost for years. It is only a matter of time till the enemy concludes it can strike Iranian soil without major response.

Just now

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman said Iran, while reserving its rights to take countermeasures, will decide on the type of reaction against Israel. Iranian ambassador to Damascus said the response will be “proportionate” and at the “right time and place”.

To which I said:

But when that redline is violated, what will you all say then? I’m sure you will Surprised when Iran takes the path of least resistance in that day as well.

 

[Immortals]

As i said, i still think tonight and in a maximum of 3 days

Every Kurdish businessman with a villa in Kurdistan should probably evacuate.

 

[Persian Gulf]

As i said, i still think tonight and in a maximum of 3 days

Remember Pakistan was also saying the exact same quotes yet did their operation the night following the attacks

Usually Iran says *insert we condemn the attack quotes* followed by a *insert revenge quote*

I hope you are right

I think IRI would love to find excuse not to respond properly but this time it really cannot avoid some kind of strong action against Israel

But they are still very reticent to enter a war so I have to rule out a strike on Israeli territory itself, leaving the most we can hope for as a direct strike against an Israeli consulate/embassy abroad, but this has its own issues

 

[Persian Gulf]

Every Kurdish businessman with a villa in Kurdistan should probably evacuate.

I said that a few pages back

Nonetheless, instead of bragging and revisiting past debates: what do you think Iran should do *now*?

 

[jauk]

What did I say last week?

Let’s refresh the pacifists minds on here:





To which I said:

No 'refreshing' needed. You're thought process was always simplistic and this event does little to confirm it.

 

[tsunset]

Saying it would open the door to put Iran as an agressor is wrong, all the PR is in favor of Iran right now

Israel just attacked what is legally Iranian soil, now basically Iran has the right legally and morally to strike inside Israel or their consulate in a foreign country as they did themselves

 

[jauk]

Attack on Zionia embassies is useless. They are almost certainly evacuated. Response will be far more complex...and never ever 'tit-for-tat'

 

[mangekyo]

When there is no response with positive outcomes, we can either pick the one with the least negative outcome, or do nothing at all. Far too long, we have chosen to do nothing, or what effectively amounts to nothing.

The way things are heading, I think it's time to realise how weak and vulnerable we are. Its time we realise that Israel can and will attack us, and there's not much we can do about it.

Either test the damn nukes, and adopt a more aggressive stance. Or start adopting a different, effective, beneficial foreign policy worthy of a proud rich nation such as Iran.

 

[jauk]

At what point does a provocation cross the line and become a declaration of war? Currently they have trapped us in a cycle of not responding, which is making them even more emboldened to the extent they are now directly striking Iranian territory (legally) to murder multiple high ranking IRGC officers. For any other country in the world, this is a declaration of war. Failure to respond suitably now will only invite further 'provocation', each one more serious and damaging than the last. Should we wait until the end point before we respond, or nip it in the bud while we still can?

I agree. That's the game this IRI has chosen to play. I believe this scenario was definitely envisioned.

However the main question is: If your opponent is self-destructing and yet has the ability to cause pain AND directly engaging it will bolster it internally...what options are available? Anyone with a sense of strategy should be focusing on answering that question. The answer will point to the Iranian response.

 

[Persian Gulf]

When there is no response with positive outcomes, we can either pick the one with the least negative outcome, or do nothing at all. Far too long, we have chosen to do nothing, or what effectively amounts to nothing.

The way things are heading, I think it's time to realise how weak and vulnerable we are. Its time we realise that Israel can and will attack us, and there's not much we can do about it.

Either test the damn nukes, and adopt a more aggressive stance. Or start adopting a different, effective, beneficial foreign policy worthy of a proud rich nation such as Iran.

I agree with parts of this

But we can do a lot: Eilat is not well defended against ballistic missiles and we can start to accumulate uranium enriched to 90% to further minimise our 'breakout time'. Further, stop sending senior IRGC commanders to Syria - until we address Israel's qualitative dominance in intelligence, they are sitting ducks.

 

[jauk]

I agree with parts of this

But we can do a lot: Eilat is not well defended against ballistic missiles and we can start to accumulate uranium enriched to 90% to further minimise our 'breakout time'. Further, stop sending senior IRGC commanders to Syria - until we address Israel's qualitative dominance in intelligence, they are sitting ducks.

Yeah, Iran has a serious asset protection problem. In fact, that should be the primarily point to put the blame on--not obvious attacks by the an opponent.

 

[Immortals]

Saying it would open the door to put Iran as an agressor is wrong, all the PR is in favor of Iran right now

Israel just attacked what is legally Iranian soil, now basically Iran has the right legally and morally to strike inside Israel or their consulate in a foreign country as they did themselves

Forget what Israel attacked. It’s the substance of it. You lost 3 generals including the successor to the other 2 in case **** hits the fan, plus up to 5 officers.

Add that to the other 10+ officers lost in last 12 months.

People would like you to believe that there is no degrading of capability. That come tommorrow Iran presses a button and magically 3 generals with same capability and cohesion and thought process materialize out of thin air and resume working on what the others left off.