Govt moves to scrap 12-slab gas tariff, enforce single rate

hydrabadi_arab

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ISLAMABAD: The Petroleum Division has started work on a major restructuring of Pakistan’s gas tariff system, aimed at abolishing the existing 12-slab consumer categories and introducing a single gas tariff, while shifting the basis of subsidies for vulnerable, or protected consumers from gas consumption to household income.

According to top official sources, Federal Minister for Petroleum and Natural Resources Ali Pervaiz Malik and his team have stepped up efforts to push through sweeping reforms of the gas tariff system.

Under the proposed arrangement, protected consumers would no longer receive cheaper gas merely because they fall within a particular consumption slab. Instead, eligible low-income households would be provided with targeted financial assistance based on their income.

The proposed single average gas tariff of Rs1,708 per MMBtu would apply across the board—not only to high-end domestic consumers but also to CNG stations, cement manufacturers and commercial and industrial users. The move could provide significant relief to industrial, cement and commercial consumers, whose gas input costs would fall substantially under the proposed regime. At present, high-end domestic and CNG consumers are among the categories contributing to the roughly Rs160 billion cross-subsidy used to keep gas tariffs lower for protected and some non-protected consumers.

The reform would abolish the cross-subsidy and replace consumption-based gas subsidies with targeted, income-based assistance through BISP, shifting the basis of support from how much gas a household uses to how much it earns. Top officials of the Petroleum Division have sent a summary to the Council of Common Interests Economic Coordination Committee (CCoE), seeking the release of Rs162 billion for targeted subsidy.

The issue is likely to be taken up during the IMF’s fourth review in September-October 2026. The transition to the new tariff structure was earlier scheduled to be completed by January 2027. “We are hoping that the single gas tariff system will be enforced in the next financial year.” The average gas tariff currently stands at around Rs1,708 per MMBtu, and following implementation of the new regime, all categories of consumers are expected to move towards this uniform average tariff.

At present, cross-subsidies worth around Rs160 billion are being financed through higher tariffs imposed on a number of consumer categories, including captive power plants (CPPs) operated by export industries, general industry, commercial consumers, CNG stations, cement manufacturers and high-end domestic consumers.

The biggest change would be for protected domestic consumers. Those using up to 0.25 hm3 of gas per month pay Rs200 per MMBtu, while those consuming up to 0.5 hm3 pay Rs250 per MMBtu. Consumers using up to 0.6 hm3 are charged Rs300 per MMBtu, while those consuming up to 0.9 hm3 pay Rs350 per MMBtu. In addition, they pay fixed monthly charges of Rs600 plus Rs40 meter rent.

Among non-protected domestic consumers, households using up to 0.25 hm3 currently pay Rs500 per MMBtu. Those consuming up to 0.6 hm3 pay Rs850, consumers using up to 1 hm3 pay Rs1,250, while those consuming up to 1.5 hm3 are charged Rs1,450 per MMBtu. Non-protected consumers using up to 1.5 hm3 also pay fixed monthly charges of Rs1,500, while those consuming above 1.5 hm3 pay Rs3,000, along with Rs40 meter rent.

Higher-end domestic consumers are already paying tariffs above the average gas price. Consumers using up to 2 hm3 per month pay Rs1,900 per MMBtu, those consuming up to 3 hm3 pay Rs3,300, consumers using up to 4 hm3 pay Rs3,800, while households consuming above 4 hm3 are charged Rs4,200 per MMBtu.

Commercial consumers currently pay Rs3,900 per MMBtu, general industry pays Rs2,300, captive power plants for industry pay Rs3,500, CNG stations pay Rs3,750, and cement manufacturers pay Rs4,400 per MMBtu. These higher-paying categories are currently an important source of the cross-subsidy used to keep tariffs for protected and other lower-paying consumers below the average cost.

The estimated cross-subsidy position for FY2026-27 illustrates the wide differences between consumer categories. The Petroleum Division has also sought the support of CCoE for the settlement of legacy arrears for indigenous gas and liquid-fuel supplies to power producers and settlement of re-gasified liquefied natural gas actualisation tariff for the power sector. The division has further called for the settlement of general sales tax refunds pending with the Federal Board of Revenue and resolution of unaccounted-for-gas, gas theft and recovery issues of SSGC in Balochistan through the constitution of a political committee
 
The proposed single average gas tariff of Rs1,708 per MMBtu would apply across the board—not only to high-end domestic consumers but also to CNG stations, cement manufacturers and commercial and industrial users. The move could provide significant relief to industrial, cement and commercial consumers, whose gas input costs would fall substantially under the proposed regime. At present, high-end domestic and CNG consumers are among the categories contributing to the roughly Rs160 billion cross-subsidy used to keep gas tariffs lower for protected and some non-protected consumers.

This should have been done long ago. Shift cheap gas to industries. Let household move to electric stoves and solar. Otherwise industries will either shut down or even stop using gas. That mean 3000 MMCFD local gas production mean more circular debt.

Consumer CategoryCurrent Tariff (USD/MMBtu)Proposed Tariff (USD/MMBtu)Per-Unit Savings (USD)Cost Reduction (%)
Cement Manufacturers$15.83$6.14$9.6861.2%
Commercial Consumers$14.03$6.14$7.8856.2%
CNG Stations$13.49$6.14$7.3554.5%
Captive Power Plants$12.59$6.14$6.4551.2%
General Industry$8.27$6.14$2.1325.7%


$6.14/mmbtu is still very cheap for household compared to LPG cylinder, about half of the price.
 
Does anyone actually know how many different subsidies the Pakistani government provides?

There seem to be subsidies for almost everything—electricity, petroleum, food, fertiliser, agriculture, housing, exports and various financing schemes.

The federal government has allocated more than Rs1.1 trillion for subsidies in FY2025–26, with the overwhelming majority going towards the power sector.

I can't help but wonder whether maintaining such a large and persistent subsidy system is itself contributing to the pressure on Pakistan's economy.
 

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