Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

The midterm election won't change much in reality.
It may stop a US invasion of Iran, but it won't stop the blockade of Iran's sea and air routes.
There won't be any ground invasion of Iran. None of the troop movements I've been seeing lean toward that scenario. Most are normal rotations or a slight reinforcement.
 
There won't be any ground invasion of Iran. None of the troop movements I've been seeing lean toward that scenario. Most are normal rotations or a slight reinforcement.

they have nothing to win invading iran.
 
dont go so fast.

Here in Europe, gas stations keeps fuel prices to historic maximum.
This is very true. We have discussed before on this very thread the unscrupulous nature of both western petrol pump owner "cartels" AND the governments here who fail to clamp down on their practices because slapping on extra fuel duty is MUCH MORE LUCRATIVE for western governments rather than enforcing the reductions in wholesale commodity indices onto the pump owners.

Minimal shift, if any, should be expected at the forecourt. It's probably the same in USA too.

I.e. this repugnantly high pricing is due to the profiteering by western governments and pump owners, not necessarily due to worsening of or even sustained hostilities in the Middle East.
 
There won't be any ground invasion of Iran. None of the troop movements I've been seeing lean toward that scenario. Most are normal rotations or a slight reinforcement.
They don't need any reinforcements or air support

They can cross the border from Iraq with Humvees and rifles and take Iranian western cities one by one
 
This is very true. We have discussed before on this very thread the unscrupulous nature of both western petrol pump owner "cartels" AND the governments here who fail to clamp down on their practices because slapping on extra fuel duty is MUCH MORE LUCRATIVE for western governments rather than enforcing the reductions in wholesale commodity indices onto the pump owners.

Minimal shift, if any, should be expected at the forecourt. It's probably the same in USA too.

I.e. this repugnantly high pricing is due to the profiteering by western governments and pump owners, not necessarily due to worsening of or even sustained hostilities in the Middle East.
too high fuel prices destroy country's economy, it's not good for governments, maybe the get more taxmoney in short term, but less in a mid term.
 
*PRESIDENT TRUMP AT UN: "I HAVE A BIG DECISION TO MAKE. WILL A DEAL BE MADE WITH IRAN OR DO I ANNIHILATE THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC? DO I DRIVE THEM INTO HELL? I BELIEVE A DEAL WILL BE MADE, AFTER THE ELECTIONS. WHAT THEY DON'T REALIZE IS, I'M NOT RUNNING. I'LL BE HERE FOR 2.5 YEARS."
 
*PRESIDENT TRUMP AT UN: "I HAVE A BIG DECISION TO MAKE. WILL A DEAL BE MADE WITH IRAN OR DO I ANNIHILATE THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC? DO I DRIVE THEM INTO HELL? I BELIEVE A DEAL WILL BE MADE, AFTER THE ELECTIONS. WHAT THEY DON'T REALIZE IS, I'M NOT RUNNING. I'LL BE HERE FOR 2.5 YEARS."
Seems like he’s willing to wait it out

Ball is back in Iran’s court to escalate to increase pressure or Trump to give in and accept his terms. But current status quo is back in the US’s favour
 
Seems like he’s willing to wait it out

Ball is back in Iran’s court to escalate to increase pressure or Trump to give in and accept his terms. But current status quo is back in the US’s favour
And the US consumer will pay the bill.
 
The US administration came down hard with threats of sanctions against Turkish companies. Those flights aren't coming back anytime soon. And it's not just Turkish Airlines getting hit; Pegasus and Ajet are in the same boat too.

That said, flights running between Tehran and Istanbul are basically handled by Iranian carriers only. By mid-March 2026, Turkish airlines had stopped their regular service to Tehran already, not wanting to risk their business in Europe and Northern America.

Passenger and cargo services on this corridor are exclusively handled by Iran Air, ATA Airlines, Iran Aseman Airlines, Iran Airtour, Qeshm Air, Sepehran Airlines, and until recently, Mahan Air for months.

The Iranian companies are happy about the situation because they don't have to share profits from these routes with their Turkish rivals which is why you probably never heard anyone complain in Tehran.

The ban also includes Iranian companies. Unless I misunderstood, you imply that Iranian carriers can still fly to Turkey? That’s not true, is it?

But it’s not just Turkey, USA has asked all countries to do the same.
 
*PRESIDENT TRUMP AT UN: "I HAVE A BIG DECISION TO MAKE. WILL A DEAL BE MADE WITH IRAN OR DO I ANNIHILATE THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC? DO I DRIVE THEM INTO HELL? I BELIEVE A DEAL WILL BE MADE, AFTER THE ELECTIONS. WHAT THEY DON'T REALIZE IS, I'M NOT RUNNING. I'LL BE HERE FOR 2.5 YEARS."
This is a bluff. He wants a deal right now to improve his party's chances in the elections. After the elections he will have too many domestic headaches.
 

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