Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[jauk]

Seems The Resistance is running interference and will further deplete/degrade Zionia resources. It's the tickle on the cheek before the punch in face.

 

[RescueRanger]

As I said, you still can't trust these numbers. The delivery of the third battery of Arrow 2 was speculated and as Israel had already received the first launcher of the first battery of Arrow 3 in 2017, TMB 2024 would have to be informing that there are 4 Arrow 2/3 batteries. In any case, we are approaching the number close to Israel's anti-aircraft defense.

THAAD I haven't seen confirmation yet.

Although the US sent:

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-sending-additional-air-defense-systems-middle-east-pentagon-2023-10-22/

Probably from some CENTCOM country that had THAAD.

Jordan.

 

[tsunset]

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@tsunset look at this clown.

When I first followed him he posted sources and credible info. Then he amassed a ton of followers and became a propaganda spewing machine.

I followed him for a time, he was posting reliable information and predicted Iran military deliveries, when he had less than 100k followers

Then suddenly posting unreliable theories and no source, and when asked for a source, he blocks you even if you hold the same ideas as him

Classic change of content, good content, amass followers, then quickly turns into propaganda and fake news machine for clicks

But to me, OSINTdefender is a plague that spreads a ton of false alarms and is biased for zionists, i would say ME Observer and War Monitor, Amir, Neutrino, Patamares for Iran and for worldwide Clash Reports, LordBebo are the mostly reliable, also AryaEjay but focused on politics

 

[Immortals]

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It’s high altitude Russian ICBM test.

Possible Message: Russia warning US/Israeli assets in Middle East to not target Iranian nuclear program….Pandora’s box should remain closed for the welfare of humanity.

I think there will be no attack for this week, better wait 2 or 3 weeks/ a month, for the moment they judge the best

I think attack is tonite or tomm. 30% chance for Sunday.

My feeling is it was scheduled to happen few nights ago, but they called it off to review the strike packages after US/Iran exchanged back channel comms. There is many things we are not seeing behind the scenes and may not find out till years if not decades down the road.

I think Iran downgraded to a less escalatory package and saved its “real” response based on what Israel does in its counter-strike.

It will all lay in the hands of Bibi and his far right coalition. While Bibi himself is right wing he had to ally with even FURTHER right wing nut job parties to secure a coalition. This is the hawkish ruling coalition Israel has had in years if not decades.

How Bibi chooses to respond will be everything. Just like Trump and his decision not to respond to Iran after Al-Assad.

 

[Immortals]

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[Nuffle]

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Israeli media reports suggest that if Iran targets strategic facilities in Israel directly then Jerusalem will likely retaliate with an exceptional response: an electromagnetic attack. Although an electromagnetic bomb has never been used before, its effects are known. It does not harm humans and creates a large EMP (electromagnetic pulse) in surrounding areas, completely destroying all electronic systems. Experts say that an Israeli EMP strike on Iran will “bring it back to the Stone Age”. - (Sources: Daily Times/British)

 

[mangekyo]

US destroyed 85 targets within days after the attack in Jordan. It's been almost 2 weeks now. The longer we wait, the greater we have to respond. We are risking a bigger retaliation from Israel, and now that US is prepared in defending Israel, we probably have to launch hundreds of missiles if we intend to hit anything. Because, what kind of message do we send if our retaliation that took us 2 weeks to plan fails to hit any meaningful targets? At this point, it's better to swallow our pride and not do anything.

I think the situation exposed that our military is not ready for any major conflict.

 

[Immortals]

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Seems like people don’t understand basic physics. A widespread EMP is extremely hard to do and would require so many different variables to determine its strength and range.

Either way you would need to do higher altitude thermonuclear explosion to have any hope.

US destroyed 85 targets

“85 targets” is propaganda. One site they targeted most of it was still standing per Sat imagery. And none of the sites were on Iranian soil. And US did not have to worry about a large scale war or counter response.

within days after the attack in Jordan.

About 5 days. Apples to oranges comparison.

Because, what kind of message do we send if our retaliation that took us 2 weeks to plan fails to hit any meaningful targets?

You wouldn’t have hit “anything mebagidul” if your counter response was 1 second after Israel’s attack.

You would have hit anything meangifuk if you launched missiles for 3 days.

You aren’t going to “bomb” Israeli capability away. Anything destroyed is replenished by America free of charge.

So the message is that you are willing to for the first time in history of Islamic Republic, directly attack Israeli sovereignty. That in itself is a massive feat that no other state has done since Saddam in 1990 PG War.

 

[Immortals]

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[mangekyo]

Seems like people don’t understand basic physics. A widespread EMP is extremely hard to do and would require so many different variables to determine its strength and range.

Either way you would need to do higher altitude thermonuclear explosion to have any hope.



“85 targets” is propaganda. One site they targeted most of it was still standing per Sat imagery. And none of the sites were on Iranian soil. And US did not have to worry about a large scale war or counter response.



About 5 days. Apples to oranges comparison.



You wouldn’t have hit “anything mebagidul” if your counter response was 1 second after Israel’s attack.

You would have hit anything meangifuk if you launched missiles for 3 days.

You aren’t going to “bomb” Israeli capability away. Anything destroyed is replenished by America free of charge.

So the message is that you are willing to for the first time in history of Islamic Republic, directly attack Israeli sovereignty. That in itself is a massive feat that no other state has done since Saddam in 1990 PG War.

You failed to understand my point.

Now that we have given them enough time to prepare, and with the US and Israel being on high alert, there's a very high chance our BMs are going to get intercepted. That is unless we launch a huge missile barrage. That would put enough pressure on the US and Israel to attack us.

If we decide to launch a small scale attack that gets intercepted or fails to hit anything meaningful after 2 weeks of preparation, we lose. If we decide to launch a large scale attack that leads to US/Israel attacking us, we lose.

 

[Immortals]

You failed to understand my point.

Now that we have given them enough time to prepare, and with the US and Israel being on high alert, there's a very high chance our BMs are going to get intercepted.

Lol and 3 or 5 or 7 days ago they weren’t? You think Israel air defense crews were sitting at home playing call of duty? When Houthi’s launch munitions every week at Israel?

It wouldn’t have made a major difference. Don’t let the leaks fool you, Israel started preparing as soon as the strike happened. Iran had to prepare its own forces for the counter strike and prepare all contingent plans of what to do in the hours after.

When Solemani was killed it happened on foreign soil and Iran was able to respond quicker because they attacked Al-Assad which was a Iraqi airbase.

This situation is different, Iran has to hit another country’s actual soil. A country who doesn’t back down and is known for escalating attacks in a disproportionate way.

So now it wasn’t as easy as firing 5 missiles 2 days later and as long as you hit something you can call it a day.

If we decide to launch a small scale attack that gets intercepted or fails to hit anything meaningful after 2 weeks of preparation, we lose. If we decide to launch a large scale attack that leads to US/Israel attacking us, we lose.

It was a lose-lose situation the second the strike happened. Waiting an extra week wasn’t going to change reality on the ground.

There is nothing to hit that will radically weaken Israel. Everything is replaceable. So any strike from the get go was going to be superficial.

That’s not an “Iranian thing” btw, look at Saudi Air campaign (Yemen), US air campaign (Iraq/Yemen/Syria), and Israel air campaign (Lebanon/Syria), hundreds of airstrikes and the enemy continues to expand. So what good will one or two salvos by Iran do? Nothing. Wether every missile hits or doesn’t the whole point is to defend your redlines. Which is that attacks on your soil is a redline.

 

[Nuffle]

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Several American fighters took off from British bases to the Middle East.

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Movement of US air defenses on the border between Iraq and Jordan.

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The United States is enhancing its air defense capabilities in Jordan. A USAF Lockheed C-5M Super Galaxy, codename RCH2624, has been deployed to reinforce defenses at Shaheed Mwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base in Al Azraq, Jordan.

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The US military transferred 12 F-15 fighter jets from the United Kingdom to the Middle East

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IRGC City of missiles

 

[Nuffle]

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Israel has a huge intelligence network operating in Azerbaijan to neutralize air defense systems in Iran

If Iran does not act immediately in the face of Israel's threat from Azerbaijan, the consequences will be catastrophic for Iran

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The Carriee Strike Group 2 from the aircraft carrier USS Eisenhower approached the Suez Canal.

Watch how US assets are moving closer to strategic locations in anticipation of an open conflict between Iran and Israel.

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The airspace over Israel is almost empty...
Awaiting a response from Iran. The situation is extremely tense

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Marco Rubio is quoting the Bible

 

[RescueRanger]

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[mangekyo]

Lol and 3 or 5 or 7 days ago they weren’t? You think Israel air defense crews were sitting at home playing call of duty? When Houthi’s launch munitions every week at Israel?

It wouldn’t have made a major difference. Don’t let the leaks fool you, Israel started preparing as soon as the strike happened. Iran had to prepare its own forces for the counter strike and prepare all contingent plans of what to do in the hours after.

When Solemani was killed it happened on foreign soil and Iran was able to respond quicker because they attacked Al-Assad which was a Iraqi airbase.

This situation is different, Iran has to hit another country’s actual soil. A country who doesn’t back down and is known for escalating attacks in a disproportionate way.

So now it wasn’t as easy as firing 5 missiles 2 days later and as long as you hit something you can call it a day.



It was a lose-lose situation the second the strike happened. Waiting an extra week wasn’t going to change reality on the ground.

There is nothing to hit that will radically weaken Israel. Everything is replaceable. So any strike from the get go was going to be superficial.

That’s not an “Iranian thing” btw, look at Saudi Air campaign (Yemen), US air campaign (Iraq/Yemen/Syria), and Israel air campaign (Lebanon/Syria), hundreds of airstrikes and the enemy continues to expand. So what good will one or two salvos by Iran do? Nothing. Wether every missile hits or doesn’t the whole point is to defend your redlines. Which is that attacks on your soil is a redline.

I dont care about Israeli air defence. I am worried about the increasing amount of American fighters, carriers and air defences beings stationed everywhere around us and Israel as we speak.