Bangladesh Socio-Political Crisis 2024 and onwards

How do you come to such conclusions ?
Chinese decision making is as opaque as it can get

Name countries that are friendly to China. List them
It is easy to conclude that China does not seek war with India by the way it behaves in critical matters of geopolitics. China did not interfere in any of Indian crisis periods, nor did it support any Indian enemy during wars. It could have easily caused problems during 1965, 1971 but it didn't. China could easily cause problems to India during 1990s crisis but it didn't. China is not trying to encircle India or build any bases against India either. The minor border skirmishes are no grounds for implying hostile intent as even those skirmishes don't use guns or lethal firearms

Decision making of USA & other NATO countries is also opaque and so is the decison of Russia, Middle east etc. China has many friends- Russia, Vietnam, North Korea, Mongolia, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, several African states.
Who are friendly (not under threat or military occupation like Japan) to USA other than christian states?
 
Makes no sense. China does not seek war against India. It never has and there is hardly any reason why it will go aggressive against India. India's threat is from the NATO block more than China. Yes, China can do that but as we saw in Maldives, Sri Lanka etc, it does not do that. Muizzu had to tone down against India & even SL govt has become pro India after their crisis.
It is abundantly clear who the dunderhead here is when one starts imagining enemies based on hypes rather than actual ground realities.
The ground realities are that the peaceful, non-warlike Chinese have occupied significant parts of Indian territory, and are running their transport vehicles over the Pangong Tso over a bridge.

The peaceful, non-warlike Chinese have restricted access to our patrols in the Galwan region.

The peaceful, non-warlike Chinese have posted a large number of their most advanced fighters over as recently as the last two years on airfields within Tibet.

Are you on drugs?
I have made it clear that foreign policy is about making gains, not about perception management. It is irrelevant for India what BD people think. The reality is just that Hasina has not provided anything back to India.
Good.

So by your expert assessment, India has provided huge inputs, and got nothing back.

That, of course, qualifies as expert, competent management of foreign policy and foreign affairs.

Making long term investment is not incompetence. Due to this investment, India can twist BD economy anytime, meaning any govt that comes will have to be non-hostile to India.
Have you heard the Bangladeshis saying what they are saying about India? Or is the plan to overpower them with the flood of our gifts and subsidies? And while we are doing this, the non-warlike peaceful Chinese will be flooding Bangladesh with goods and finances that beggar anything that we can offer.

How did BDR get the supplies? Without supplies, BDR can be crushed and its generals can be jailed for attempted coup.
What supplies? The BDR is not an invading force, it is a native Bangladeshi armed formation. Are you even aware of what it is?

It was not only not crushed the last time that they rose in mutiny, they got away with a metaphorical slap on the wrist, after killing a number of Army officers, threatening their families, and attempting to assassinate SHW.

The only justification for no action, even a slow one (like deteriorating BDR & after couple years, arresting all the generals) is that it was just a good-cop & bad-cop acting. Only dunderheads can get fooled at such tricks
Ah, the Army acquiesced (colluded with) in the BDR massacre, as officers are cheap, but the great game must go on. Very intelligent.

Are you saying that Su30 can't hit targets on ground? Can't ATAGS strike 40-45km into BD and destroy buildings & infrastructure? Do you know that over 50% of BD territory is within 50km from Indian borders and hence within artillery reach? Why do you think India would not sue them if BD fires at Indians? Or are you going completely bonkers when losing an argument and just talking trash?
It is just the feeling of wonder at the disjointed arguments and the weird imaginings on display. While all this hitherto concealed martial bravado takes place, are the Bangladeshis keeping quiet? Look up their artillery force, their armour and their basic infantry. Has it occurred to General Feld Marschal von Manstein that what is within 50 kms of the border from the Indian side also covers a lot of Indian territory from the Bangladesh side? What happens when they start shooting back?

Yeah, the tribals have magical powers to conjure up weapons, ammunition etc out of thin air, isn't it? Can you name the mines from which the tribals obtain raw materials like brass, lead, copper, steel, fuel etc?
Just for your information, look up the armed formations that are currently fighting (and defeating) the Burmese Army. You can start with Rakhine, go to Chin, then Sagaing, finally Kachin. They do not make their guns and arms, but buy them, and use them. The tribes in Chin and Sagaing are identical with those in the proximate Indian states. Look them up. In some places, the border is a small rivulet or a stream, and traditionally commerce and business has flowed easily across the international border. If you have kind friends, they may even give you instances of the Burmese Army taking refuge in Indian territory because they have been defeated by these rebel formations.

I have seriously met very few as totally ignorant, and as a great chairborne expert with no knowledge of the subject, as you.
 
It is easy to conclude that China does not seek war with India by the way it behaves in critical matters of geopolitics. China did not interfere in any of Indian crisis periods, nor did it support any Indian enemy during wars. It could have easily caused problems during 1965, 1971 but it didn't. China could easily cause problems to India during 1990s crisis but it didn't. China is not trying to encircle India or build any bases against India either. The minor border skirmishes are no grounds for implying hostile intent as even those skirmishes don't use guns or lethal firearms

Decision making of USA & other NATO countries is also opaque and so is the decison of Russia, Middle east etc. China has many friends- Russia, Vietnam, North Korea, Mongolia, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, several African states.
Who are friendly (not under threat or military occupation like Japan) to USA other than christian states?

China was seeking Conflict in 2020 but They realised that More than the Indian forces , it is the Terrain in Ladakh and Tawang which is the Real enemy
 
Feels cherry picked but considering the emotional state and obvious religious overtones displayed in various videos there is an angle. However, considering the current pick for leadership I don’t think the Jamaat ideals will take over - instead it may just settle down.

What it might do is a quasi repeat of more Bengali Hindu sentiment going towards India and while I certainly don’t suggest it’s happening now; some hawk in India might come up with the cockamiemie idea of thinking of doing a North South Sudan in BD by cultivating and exploiting what may be a wishful divide in certain Indian media outlets for now.
If such an outlandish thing occurs, or is contemplated, it is quite certain that our expert military strategists, including an IPS officer who fancies himself as a Putin-like figure, will think of Rangpur, to allow greater depth to the Siliguri Gap, or to the Chittagong Hill Tracts, where there is an ethnic and religious minority that has had a thin time of it.
 
China was seeking Conflict in 2020 but They realised that More than the Indian forces , it is the Terrain in Ladakh and Tawang which is the Real enemy
Yeah, China is pretty stupid that it can't do recce beforehand and know the terrain but only has to know it after it was seeking conflict!! Anyways, the ground reality is that India tried to take advantage of Covid & tried pushing the forward policy to take over all the disputed lines and there was a clash. India wanted to secure the border arguing that it is closer to Indian mainland but isn't a concern for China as Chinese mainland was far away. But China was adamant at status quo.
 
Yeah, China is pretty stupid that it can't do recce beforehand and know the terrain but only has to know it after it was seeking conflict!! Anyways, the ground reality is that India tried to take advantage of Covid & tried pushing the forward policy to take over all the disputed lines and there was a clash. India wanted to secure the border arguing that it is closer to Indian mainland but isn't a concern for China as Chinese mainland was far away. But China was adamant at status quo.

Whatever has happened is in our Interests

We cannot force the Bureaucracy to give funds without a crisis

Both Infrastructure development and Force modernisation and Restructuring has happened on a never before scale post 2020

Before 2020 there was no sense of urgency or importance
 
We can very easily Sort them
Out

We have a battle hardened forces

Right now Only BSF is deployed on Bangladesh border

We can increase the Size of our forces and deploy them.

Pakistan can help BD in that regard too.
 
India wanted to secure the border arguing that it is closer to Indian mainland but isn't a concern for China as Chinese mainland was far away. But China was adamant at status quo.
What?

Where did this emerge?
 
Take over Dhaka, silly.


The best way for India to safeguard its interests is to be supportive and willing to work with whatever government comes into power.

There is a lot of animosity(mostly unfair in my opinion) in BD due to Hasina's close working relationship during the last 15 years and so India showing some generosity would go a long way to convince even the most sceptical that India is a reasonble partner for development.
 
The best way for India to safeguard its interests is to be supportive and willing to work with whatever government comes into power.

There is a lot of animosity(mostly unfair in my opinion) in BD due to Hasina's close working relationship during the last 15 years and so India showing some generosity would go a long way to convince even the most sceptical that India is a reasonble partner for development.

We didn't tell Hasina to crush the opposition

As far as economic ties are concerned, Mohammed Yunus will realise it on the First day that India is indispensable

Or you can.start importing goods from China by paying the additional transport costs

Geography cannot be changed
 

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