It's got nothing to do with any visa lottery.
That's just an example
Anyone who has committed immigration fraud and is out of status can be deported and barred from entering the country for ten years. Their application for adjustment to legal status can be refused. It doesn't matter if they are married to a US citizen; it doesn't matter if they are married to the President of the United States.
This penalty can be waived by a judge or by some sort of amnesty, as the Dems are doing.
First of all, this is not always applies, and usually only applies to actual fraud (like fake marriage or counterfeiting document, or any sort of felony had been committed) Notice that no deportation can happen until a judge sign off, that is the policy since Reagan admin (and last changed by Clinton Admin)
This is the USC about deportation
www.law.cornell.edu
Notice that illegal entry alone is not listed as a clause to be deported.
On the other hand, Section 1186a (c) (4)already qualified for a hardship waiver for any such case if removed. They can still apply for the spouse visa out of state and be granted one and land in the US even if deported. And people who are qualified under this plan would have high chance on a hardship waiver anyway, you have to be married over 10 years, have children and have a job in the US.
So again, this did nothing. As these people will have a visa regardless (it's not like you are barring them for applying a K-visa forever) even at the worse case scenario when they were banned and bar from entering in 10 years, which mean you still can apply for a visa in 10 years if you can't get the hardship waiver. And if it's like you said it's a medium to long game, what is the different between having to wait for 5 years and having to wait for 10?
Of course no one can predict any individual's future actions but demographic trends are studied and well known. Campaign strategies are based on observed demographic trends, not individual actions.
It only works if this is a short-term scheme, if it is like you said it's mid-long term, campaign strategy NOW won't apply in 2 or more election cycle. People preference
WILL change, social problem/issue
WILL change in 5+ years, I mean would Hilary Clinton Campaign Strategy (can't use Trump as he was in the last 2) still applies in Harris case??
Anything done by an executive order can be undone by the next POTUS executive action or by Congress, as we already discussed elsewhere.
The point is that it is much harder to deport someone who is in status than someone who is out of status. The whole game plan for Dems is to make as many illegals in status as quickly as possible so they can not be deported even if the administration changes.
This is not what I meant, what I meant is, if Biden wanted to do that as some kind of grand plan to sway vote, he could have done it on Day 1 in 2021 with an executive order, do notice that you can't backdate executive order, which mean if this is his plan to get more illegal to vote for him or the dem, he would have 4 years to maximise this already, that would have however much illegal alien turn legal ALREADY, why wait until the end of his political career to do that?
And again, they CAN'T be deported anyway unless they have actually committed crime as per 18 USC 8 1227, again, what's the point? Might as well just give them the green card if they are going to get it anyway