Bangladesh Economy

First domestic produced 4k Panel for BD. Think only Japanese, Korea, Europe and USA have reached this level.


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BD really need only 1 company that devleops to become like SAMSUNG etc., in order to push the GDP above 1 Trillion. The manufacuring sector have a huge potential with access to a booming population.
 
Onion prices climb back to Tk 150 per kg

Mon Oct 28, 2024

Prices of local varieties of onions again reached Tk 150 per kilogramme (kg) in different kitchen markets in Dhaka while hitting as much as Tk 165 per kg in certain cities outside the capital, deepening the woes of low and fixed-income people.

In November 2023, local varieties of the popular cooking ingredient were being sold for Tk 150 per kg in Dhaka, but prices had settled below that point since, according to traders.

Muzahidul Islam, a grocer in Pallabi Extension area of the capital, said prices of local varieties of onions saw gradual increments for more than a week. He was selling local varieties for Tk 140 to Tk 150 per kg today.

According to him, wholesalers are not getting local varieties of onions as per demand, so prices are quite high.

The sudden hike in prices comes as food inflation has hovered above 10 percent since April this year, according to data of the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS).

Data from the Trading Corporation of Bangladesh (TCB) shows that local varieties of onions were selling for Tk 130 to Tk 150 per kg today compared to Tk 110 to Tk 130 a week ago.

Meanwhile, imported onions were fetching Tk 80 to Tk 120 per kg today, down 4.76 percent from Tk 100 to Tk 110 a week prior, according to TCB data.

In the past year, prices of local onions have increased by 40 percent and imported onions by 25 percent, TCB data shows.

Mohammad Abdul Mazed, general secretary of the Shyambazar Onion Wholesalers Association, said local varieties of onion were being sold at wholesale for Tk 130 to 135 per kg today, up from Tk 120 to 125 just a week ago.

He said they were only getting enough to meet 20 to 25 percent of demand, which is why prices have increased so much.

Mazed believed prices would come down within three months after new onions hit the market.

The agriculture ministry claims Bangladesh produced 34 lakh tonnes of onion this year. Although that is enough to meet domestic demand, the ministry says that another 6 to 7 lakh tonnes will have to be imported as much of the local yield is wasted due to a lack of cold storage facilities.

However, traders in Shyambazar, a major onion-selling hub, said local output was about 20 percent below the agriculture ministry's estimate due to crop losses amid adverse weather in February.

Onion prices have increased by Tk 50 per kg over the past five days in retail markets in Pabna, the biggest onion producing hub in the country.

Besides, prices of imported onions increased by Tk 20 to Tk 30 per kg over the same period.

When this reporter visited Pabna's Boro Bazar, the biggest retail market in the district, on Monday noon, each kg of onion was selling for Tk 160 to Tk 165.

Prices have been increasing since Thursday by a minimum of Tk 10 a day, said Md Rafikul Islam, a vendor at the market.

Speaking to The Daily Star, Rabiul Islam, a wholesale trader at the Pushpopara Bazar in the same city, said the price of each maund (around 37 kgs) of local onions increased by Tk 2,000 in the past five to six days.

They were fetching Tk 5,600 to Tk 6,000 per maund last Monday, he said.

Noor Alam Chowdhury, senior scientific officer of the Spice Research Centre in Bogura, told The Daily Star on October 25 that retail prices of onions normally increase by Tk 10 to Tk 15 per kg around October.

"This is because many growers plant early winter varieties of onions, which will be sold in the market in December-January. To do so, many farmers use old onions and produce seeds from them at this time," he said.

Due to this, the demand for onions increases around October each year, he said.


Inflation is plummeting in the rest of the world. But not in Bangladesh.

Btw, I thought new government was going to import essentials from “friendly countries” cheaper?
 
I don't understand what it will exactly change though in serious way.

There is already Tax identification number logged into the system for the wealthiest 1-10% that make up 90-99%+ of income tax revenue....and thats putting aside everything thats deducted at source to begin with.

i.e it needs better investigation and prosecution authority of any lapses there (w.r.t capital gains and so on).

That can only be seen results wise many years later....along with any commensurate improvements objectively passed on to lowering non-progressive taxes (sales taxes etc) on the poorer folks, lower debt reliance for the govt and so on.

Simplifying for those that pay about 10% of the revenue I suppose is welcome...it might increase the tax base numerically too with easier compliance at these rungs, according to following article, BD has about 1.4% of its people filing returns compared to about 5.8% in India:


So some springiness there to harness for tax base improvement, but the serious improvement can only come from reform pertaining to where the 90% tax bulk comes from (who are already filing as its simply too obvious if they dont given capital on view to tax authority already regarding capital gains etc). Then the tax that comes from corporate sector too is another big thing to take on....again easing compliance only helps so much compared to effective prosecution of any fraud and corruption, especially anything that then exits the country illegally rather than at least be circulated inside untaxed as black money etc.

When your tax base is in low single digits - it’s a sure sign of third world craphole.

In the long run BD can getaway with a lower base than India because central government spending doesn’t need to be as high due to defence, infrastructure (being much bigger and sparsely populated) and subsidies (India needs a lot more direct intervention to maintain unity).

Anyway, anything that continues the digitisation journey is a good thing. In the long run - this is the best protection against corruption.

AI led tax assessment/validation would also cut out corruption.
 
In the long run BD can getaway with a lower base than India because central government spending doesn’t need to be as high due to defence, infrastructure (being much bigger and sparsely populated) and subsidies (India needs a lot more direct intervention to maintain unity).

No it cannot. It shows in the current official inflation rate of 10% and interest rate by BCB at 10% to try hold it there, when in current environment BD should be firing on all cylinders expanding given its labour surplus and capital deficit (and high attraction to world investment)....all because of lack of buffer to balance of payments pressure (from the bad credit rating, forex level depletion and small market cap to leverage for corporate sector past what govt can do).

This has come from the lack of investment and capital deficit in BD which is very much tied in to BD bureaucratic corruption and lower social trust. It is holding back BD severely.

There are plenty of things in infrastructure alone that BD could and should have invested in 10 years ago that it still hasn't because of its low tax revenue....and certainly could have developed a better govt solvency and foreign sector buffer from that too. So your argument that BD "can get away" because of lower defense needs than India and India having some sparser population density relatively doesn't hold water....as BD is simply very capital deficit to begin with. Besides one can look at other countries past India to begin with too.

i.e Simply get the same tax revenue/capita that India does (as behind India is compared to where it also should be) or countries ahead of India there... and spend the extra for relevant virtuous cycles regarding capital formation.

BD market cap should be 1/10th of India's at least right? Instead it is more like 1/100th. That is direct consequence of years and decades of neglect by BD govt regarding its bureaucracy, tax-related or otherwise.

Yunus is making some smart moves where possible from what we can see...prioritizing some of the low hanging fruit.....but he has his work cut out for him in the bigger picture. That will take time to let pass first to objectively analyse much later....almost all of it will be to do with making the bureaucracy more ship shape than it has been.
 
BD really need only 1 company that devleops to become like SAMSUNG etc., in order to push the GDP above 1 Trillion. The manufacuring sector have a huge potential with access to a booming population.
Walton ftw... really good time to go balls deep in walton shares now and then consider cashing out 30 years down the line.
 
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no biggie... paying off 3 bln of debt without touching the forex is a bigger deal
 
No it cannot. It shows in the current official inflation rate of 10% and interest rate by BCB at 10% to try hold it there, when in current environment BD should be firing on all cylinders expanding given its labour surplus and capital deficit (and high attraction to world investment)....all because of lack of buffer to balance of payments pressure (from the bad credit rating, forex level depletion and small market cap to leverage for corporate sector past what govt can do).

This has come from the lack of investment and capital deficit in BD which is very much tied in to BD bureaucratic corruption and lower social trust. It is holding back BD severely.

There are plenty of things in infrastructure alone that BD could and should have invested in 10 years ago that it still hasn't because of its low tax revenue....and certainly could have developed a better govt solvency and foreign sector buffer from that too. So your argument that BD "can get away" because of lower defense needs than India and India having some sparser population density relatively doesn't hold water....as BD is simply very capital deficit to begin with. Besides one can look at other countries past India to begin with too.

i.e Simply get the same tax revenue/capita that India does (as behind India is compared to where it also should be) or countries ahead of India there... and spend the extra for relevant virtuous cycles regarding capital formation.

BD market cap should be 1/10th of India's at least right? Instead it is more like 1/100th. That is direct consequence of years and decades of neglect by BD govt regarding its bureaucracy, tax-related or otherwise.

Yunus is making some smart moves where possible from what we can see...prioritizing some of the low hanging fruit.....but he has his work cut out for him in the bigger picture. That will take time to let pass first to objectively analyse much later....almost all of it will be to do with making the bureaucracy more ship shape than it has been.

Did you understand what I was saying?

I will repeat it again.

BD can afford to have a significantly lower tax base than India because BD central government has fewer and less strenuous commitments.

E.g. doesn’t need to spend as much on defence. Given the size of country and geographical distribution of population - doesn’t need to spend as much on infrastructure. Think of how much of India is STILL outside the national grid!!! Hardly any place in BD.

It also doesn’t need to provide “national unity subsidies” like the “freight equalisation subsidy”. Mega farm subsidies lol

BD also doesn’t need to be paranoid and insecure when thinking about infrastructure build - means it can leverage investments from countries like Japan, China or even India.

BD also doesn’t need to maintain as high a reserve to hedge against wars with neighbours.

Long term BD needs a base of 15%. Whilst India will need a base of 30-35%.
 
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I think BD is going back to the martial law rate of growth.

Which is 4-5%.

Combination of uncertainty and fewer international partners. The literal elephant on the borders!
 
no biggie... paying off 3 bln of debt without touching the forex is a bigger deal
Yunus admin is getting the basics right. But unfortunately, BAL r***d us too much and Yunus admin will not get 10 years to fix our state 😭
 
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I think BD is going back to the martial law rate of growth.

Which is 4-5%.

Combination of uncertainty and fewer international partners. The literal elephant on the borders!


@Nilgiri You both have good points.

BD does need to increase its revenue as percentage of GDP as it is currently too low but does not need to go up to India's level for the reasons @BananaRepublic stated. Maybe halfway between where BD and India is now would be ok.

IMF and others have stated for many years that BD government revenue is too low and AL did try to increase when they were in power but they mainly failed on this task.
 
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BD can afford to have a significantly lower tax base than India because BD central government has fewer and less strenuous commitments.
Bangladesh is highly susceptible to climate change and to events like cyclone and floods. Also, if you don't cool down the current emotions in Bangladesh, you will find yourself making increasing defense procurements.

Freight equalization was stopped in 1993. The removal did not have any effect on national unity.
 
@Nilgiri You both have good points.

BD does need to increase its revenue as percentage of GDO as it is currently too low but does not need to go up to India's level for the reasons @BananaRepublic stated. Maybe halfway between where BD and India is now would be ok.

IMF and others have stated for many years that BD government revenue is too low and AL did try to increase when they were in power but they mainly failed on this task.
Do not take India as a reference. We too need to increase our tax revenue.
 

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