Did I say ALL? You said you were going to cause 'major destruction' on the 'coastal cities', then you changed it to those facing Taiwan, which I pointed out there were 10 major cities. Your circle is getting so small, it is now certain targets in a city? How are you going to cause 'major destruction' if you are just attacking a few buildings.
Well, you said Guangdong, I said coastal cities, you want to think that far, that's you not me.
READ the article i gave you, the crater is the size of destruction. What does your picture tell? It could have been multiple missiles? Could have been artillery mixed with missiles? Go search for a video on the Tomahawk missile then come back and talk. You also need to define damage? damage to what? Humans? Windows? Structures? Is the damage the same across the board? What about reinforced concrete vs mud houses? Are those mud houses or modern concrete structures? If you look at the pic, even the wall is still standing. LOL.
Crater is NOT the total size of destruction; you have no idea how cratering work.
The initial blast created a crater, then the explosion exploded outward and upward, sending both shrapnel and concussion wave toward the damaging area.
Both shrapnel and concussion wave damage an area, one is physical trauma, and the other is seismic trauma.
Both would damage a building.
Again, if you think a 1000 pounder only damage things within 20 meters, please stand 25 meters when one exploded.
Yah, Mr. AI, explain to me how it doesn't work. Do you even know how many satellites we have? Are you confusing recon sats to positioning sats? OOO, I can google satellites and all of a sudden I am a satellite expert? Just like how you google ballast tanks right? LOL. What the fck are you even talking about jumping orbit. Did I say the satellites were going to maneuver every time they wanna track?
First of all, there are no recon sat, no positioning sat, they can do both, if you can't, that would have been an issue, because that mean you can't transmit the coordinate of something.
Second of all, you need a target solution to put into a sat in order to move it, it does not automatically look at the target you want to look at, you need to maneuver that satellite into a position to cover the target, how are you going to get the initial targeting information? It can either be input by a person or have the satellite pick up the target by itself. If it was A, the lag time is whatever you need to identify the target, if it was B.) the lag time is whatever your satellite pick up the target and position itself to track said target.
Satellite move in a very high speed and very predictable orbit, unless the target you are tracking is going the same direction that orbit is going, otherwise you will need to jump orbit, which mean a manual correction of course of your satellite. It's a very simple concept, your target moves south and your satellite float north, then you can't catch that target, because it goes into the opposite direction of where your satellite is going. Geostationary Satellite can eliminate this problem, BUT you will need to have the target enter your monitoring zone, otherwise it won't work.
Jesus, you know absolutely shit about how satellite work, looking it up on google make you look like an idiot by talking shit that don't make sense.
Do you want me to repost your statement? Stop lying and then forgetting what you posted OK. Who tells you we can't have real time tracking? I just proved to you we did have real time tracking a F22. The issue is we don't track ONE F22, we track valuable targets like carriers. China has an AI system in 2008, that can scan hundreds of thousands of security camera in Beijing to identify a given face in 30 mins. That was 17 years ago. I saw it on a DISCOVRY CHANNEL.
Dude, you don't have real time tracking of F-22.
That video show you an unspecific time of that F-22 is flying, you lack the vector (Where that F-22 is going) to be able to track it real time. Meaning by the time that track showing a F-22, that F-22 is no longer in that same position, unless it's stationary
It's like an ATC, the reason why Air Traffic Control can keep track of any aircraft in the sky is because they report back their position in their radar via squawking. Which mean you know where that target is going. Otherwise, it's like a chasing the leader, you can't play chasing the leader without the leader tell you where he/she is going, how do you know where the F-22 is going next? And what if you lost track? Again, you are not shooting the missile at that moment that F-22 is on your screen, it's a few minutes behind, because that missile need time to travel from where fire it to where the F-22 are. You need the vector of that F-22 to do that. Otherwise it will just be constantly chasing the course it was 5 minutes (or however long) ago.
Yah, you conveniently stopped a 2.5-year IT degree and 'changed' to commerce. You didn't drop out right? LOL. That's what my stupid room mate said too, he was in engineering and dropped out in 3rd year.
I don't know what your room mate did or did not do, he can be playmate of the month for all I care
If you did that 2.5 years, that 2.5 years course stick, I mean, just because I change my major does not mean all the computer course does not count, they will still need to give me my diploma in computer science, granted, not the honour one I was going after.
Dude, you don't know how university works?
When did I said I got a top mark in an Australian Uni, I only had 75% average Distinction and partial scholarship. LOL. I wasn't even in CS program, I was in Electrical and Systems Engineering which was much harder, programming was just ONE aspect of my degree. Dumb kids who failed engineering go to IT, dumb kids who failed IT go to buscom. That was the rule. hahahahahah. I don't know what era you are from, we don't use the word HACK in my course. If you do, great for you.
Yes, top mark my arse.
Wave wash away everything? Dude, have you actually been offshore and sailed on a ship? LOL. You only have waves getting onboard during really bad weather. You paint on a bright and sunny day, it hardens within a day even in Northern Hemispheres. You also don't repaint the whole deck, you only paint the affected areas. Common sense mate.
dude, if you ship, you know wave washes up everywhere and everytime, especially when you go outside contagious zone.
Within a day? I been on a cruiser with my cousin, It's lucky if you go 5n minutes without a wave washing up on your ship when you get to international water
This is on a good day in English Channel, not even high sea.
Yes, common sense mate.
Since when did I said they didn't? I am telling you they have their own risk assessment; they stopped sailing for a while and returned after getting the assessments done. Houthis are targeting US and UK military ships, if you are flagged in Bahamas, nobody cares. It is even better if you are flagged in China and is a COSCO ship. Houthis is a blockade capable navy now huh? LOL
Dude, I am not the one that said, "If you are Chinese ship it's A-OK" and it appear you just answer that yourself.
Houthis won't radio ahead and as your crew to speak Chinese before they launch their missile.
I was talking about the gulf war mate. You were talking about US supplying Iraq and Afghanistan amid a war as if they had been capable of blockades, and then you did a schizo 180 deg turn to Iran? Dude, please stay on course? LOL. The US had no problem supplying Iraq and Afghanistan because one Afghanistan is a landlocked country, LOL and Iraq only had ONE point of entry. Get it genius?
I wasn't talking about Gulf War, I don't know why you want to talk about Gulf War. I been very clear that was from Iran/Iraq war.
I told you , US did not face a real war in the 70s. It was the oil crisis, not a War in Saudi Arabia. Ask why MAERSK is not shipping our of Ukraine now. LOL. The same won't happen to TAIWAN?
At A.P. Moller – Maersk, we have been constantly evaluating the situation in Ukraine with a view to minimising disruption to our customers and returning services to normal as quickly as possible.
www.maersk.com
'In light of the most recent developments, Maersk can now confirm that we have identified merchant haulage and carrier haulage options to and from Ukraine via Poland or Romania.'
They tried after 2 years of war, and now it is back to ZERO mate. So you mean Taiwanese can starve for 2 years? HAHAHAHAHAAHAHAH
View attachment 86511
This is current situation in the Black near coastal Ukraine, not a single GREEN commercial ship. RED ships are all Ukrainian flagged ships in danger of getting sunk. LOL. Even a weakened Russian Navy caused all major commercial ships to avoid this area. The only commercial traffic is going to Galati before getting transported to Ukraine.
Again, this is up to individual to go, and again, you say it like MSC is not a thing, as I said MSC will charter the ship to ship to Taiwan, and I even show you the MSC website saying they will do exactly so with their civilian crew (Not to Taiwan but general merchant marine)
And now it's almost 3 years, did Ukraine go strave?
Please don't repeat what I said like a parrot. No commercial ship will sail if there is a WAR going on. You can set up a CIA Express company and try transporting some stuff. But I can tell you 99% of the major lines will avoid a war zone. I am telling you based on facts, not your own 'expertise' in calculating risk by assuming a missile might miss? You think the actuaries will assume some missile will miss and take the risk to send in a ship laden with 400$ million dollars worth of goods? Fine let's assume ONE ship dares to send in supplies, what happens to the other 30 mil Taiwanese? One ship is able to feed ALL Taiwanese? For how long? What about employment? Industries? Coal and Gas? Do you know how many LNG unloading point Taiwan has? One scratch on the LNG tankers and the thing become a huge bomb, are they going to be as smart as you? The Red Sea is not a War Zone, the Houthis are targeting mainly US and UK Naval ships and those owned by Israelis. You think they can do a Naval blockade? Do they even have a Navy? Indonesian pirates routinely capture vessels in the Malacca Straits, so? Are they doing a Naval blockade? LOL
'The ship is owned by a Chinese company, according to the release. The Houthis previously said they would not attack any Chinese ships. It is possible it was a case of old information, as the South China Morning Post reported that the ship’s registered owner changed in February 2024.'
I literally just show you a Chinese ship is being attacked and they can't really tell who own what. I mean sure, if you fly a Chinese flag and it will be A-OK, how about everyship transit thru that strait fly a Chinese flag? So did the Houthis shoot no one then?
Common sense, mate, common sense.
I know ships because I build them, so if you don't know, ain't what you're saying sounded like fart? LOL. So tell me what is DC Central? LOL. Please tell me how to commission the ballast system? How to tune the ballasting valves? How to tune the level measurement system? OOO right, you googled 'ballast tanks'.LOL
Lol you know jack shit about ship like you know jack shit about AI Programming (again, Hack is a Aussie Programming Slang)
If you have to ask, you don't belong here.
Yup DF21 needs 'laser guidance' to hit a carrier. LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL. FFS. Stop.
View attachment 86515
I said this is not how guidance work, I didn't say DF-21 is laser guidance. And do you know what is active radar??
GPS Nav Guide Mode only bring you to the general area. Again, by the time your missile got there, your target may no longer be there.
If that is the case, you can't work with active radar, because you can't ping your target.
This is ISTAR 101, which I doubt you know anything about.
Yah and you think the ADs on coastal China is also just for show? Are those missiles on Chinese ships all for show? So can you cause 'major destruction' to coastal Chinese cities now? LOL
history.state.gov 3.0 shell
history.state.gov
The Blockade of Confederate Ports
LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL. You were saying? You think our ships are going to sit next to port to blockade it? Blockade means denying a ship from entering a port, it can mean blockading near the port or an area safe enough to blockade. If the enemy has no means of attack, you can essentially occupy the port. The aim of a commercial blockade is always the port of entry. You don't put your ships in the South if you want to blockade the port in Keelung right? You put it somewhere near Keelung, with missile and radar coverage. You think we are stupid enough to park our ships 5km from the caost? It could be 50km to 100km away, within a vessel's combat range. Any commercial ships entering the area will be boarded or sunk. Even coast guards can play a role in blockades.
Can you at least try to find naval battle that happen this century?
Back in 1865, the engagement distant is 300-500 yard (around 500 meters) which is how far those black gunpowder cannon can get, of course you need to sit right next to the port to do blockade, otherwise how are you even go engage people who run the blockade if you can only shoot 500 yards away.??
I am talking about naval war in in 21st century
WTF said using 1000 fishing boats to clear coastal defenses? I said transport troops after the coastal defenses had been cleared. These babies can essentially land anywhere along Taiwan, they are small and nimble. How do you think smugglers smuggle shit? I am telling you, there are many ways for unconventional warfare, you don't always need 3-4 large landing ships, you might use 1000 fishing boats, smuggling troops. Just saying.
25'000 troops assuming they can land safely can do a lot of SHIT mate. Imagine your cities and coastal area under constant bombardment and 25k soldiers landed. They can secure a few small town, villages even. They might even occupy a school or a field and use it for helicopter landings. Many ways to achieve different things mate. Again, I am telling you tracking small fishing boats aint easy, how do you think people smuggle stuff.
I am assuming each troops carry rations for a week. They can also secure extra food by occupying supermarkets and food stores. 25k soldiers can do a lot of shit when planned properly. How to support? More landings and more attacks? More supplies flown in? Taiwan is an island, once their air bases are destroyed, and their major defenses gone, you don't have a Poland or Romania to fly from.
why 5 tons mate, think light infantry with ammunition and a weeks supply. You want them to land and occupy a nearby area asap, not drag 5 tons of supply. Once a foothold is establish you can send in the rest of air support etc.
1) Send in decoy drones (old mig convert), this is to exhaust their missiles and exposes their position. Anti-rad drones?
2) Cruise missiles and precision ammunition to destroy those positions. Stealth fighters/bombers come in to finish the rest, any leftover radar systems.
3) Massive MLRS, missile and drone attack on major air bases. If done right and in a surprise, most of their air force can be wiped out in that instance. Heavy bombardment with H-6 bombers/
4) Once 90% of their defenses are down, send in the unconventional landing forces to occupy key areas.
5) Naval blockades and bombardment of the coastal areas.
6) Under heavy bombardment, troops can start occupying some areas and ports. Special forces will also join in.
7) Last after clearance, major amphibious landings under cover of air support and coastal bombardment.
Some acts will happen concurrently.
Wow, again, I don't know where to start.
First of all, assuming them go on shore safely? The only way these people in fishing boat can go onshore safely is when you already had taken the coast, if so, WTF is these people for? Unless you try to up armored your fishing boat, thin tin layer of sheet steel can't stop a M240 firing 7.62 at 2800 to 3000 ft/s. Let alone a 12.5mm machine gun, let alone a AT-4 launcher, let alone a M81 mortar. If you have a Taiwanese soldier armed with a M240 at the board side of where your fishing boat land, it's not going to be safe. And lol, how fishing boat smuggle stuff? Dude, do you even know how heavy is a box of ammo? 200 rounds of 5.56 (Standard load out for an individual soldier, which will last you about 2 hours in firefight) with box is about 13 kg, with mag is about 10. 25 soldier per boat that ammo alone is 250kg, double it and you can last for4 hours for half a tons, just small arms ammo along, and then you have 25 men. your weapon, gear, pack, and you are adding individual drone on them, yeah, good luck on that trip.
Second of all, your plan depends on that 25000 troop make inroad, what if they didn't again, even if you are lucky enough to pull all 25000 troop on shore, you are talking about general engagement that is not going to last for 2 hours, let alone days and week, the first log pack have to be distributed within 2 hours, which is how long it takes to expand all 200 rounds they carried. Otherwise your men run dry, and you have to resupply them every 2 hours or whenever they need in order to make progress. And lol, occupy local supermarket? I am pretty sure these supermarket will roll out their red carpet to welcome the Chinese troop, given if they can get that far. Dude, those store would have been loot clean before you even start your op. You don't teleport to Taiwanese coast, the moment you went feet wet, they would have redistributed all the resource.
Thirdly, sure, fly them in, set aside whether or not you can deal with ALL Taiwanese AD to make that trip safe. Otherwise Y-20 against Patriot or even stinger, well, I don't think the odds are good. Even if you can completely pacified Taiwanese AD, let's just pretend you did, do you not think The Taiwanese would crater their own runway and make it impossible to used by the Chinese? That sound extremely familiar. Wait a minute, that's what the Ukrainian done in Hostomel......And instead of you are looking a land base armour thrust to secure Hostomel, you are looking at light infantry action trying to secure those airport before the Taiwanese dump it, I mean what could possibly go wrong?
1.) Do you think you have more old Mig or Taiwanese have more air defence missile?
2.) Oh, yes, cruise missile for the win, name me one war that you can actually destroy enemy air defence with cruise missile, this is not even being done by the American during Operation Iraqi Freedom. You know how I know? Well, I was there.
3.) well, you just missed something called Alert 5 and Ready 5 system, what if the air force already airborne? And lol, MLRS on a airfield?? With what? 30kg explosive charge? What kind of damage you think it will do?
4.) Yeah, of course you don't need to land to finish 90% of Taiwanese AD. Well, sure, whatever.....
5.) Yeah, of course, you have 3 fleet, and you think you can blockade an island about 40000 sq kilometers 24/7....,
6.) Haha, sure, that's how special force work. Using a lightly equipped, highly specialised force to occupy port and some area. I mean what can possibly go wrong?
7.) So you are saying all these are done before the main event?? Why not just say "Shoot missile, land troop, secure island.....job done instead.,"
Can you please read, I said, do you think when I said 20% it was going to be a few million sleeper agents? Support means you can recruit from a pool easily. Gosh. OKOK, now you are MI. Why do you think DPP always say there is a fifth column in Taiwan. They are referring to the 20% One China supporters. They know we can recruit from this pool of people. Get it?
First of all, if 20% of Taiwanese support One China and as you said before unification supporters, DPP won't get elected at all. You are talking about 20% of the entire population swing, not just 20% of voter
Second of all, supporting unification does not mean they will do jack for China. Again, if you really have 20% of Taiwanese working for you, there won't be a war.
Of course a missile is not an artillery, I was telling you DUH, obviously and MLRS is one.
Again, MLRS rocket don't do 400km. You are talking about ATACMS type missile, that's not artillery.
