J10 C for Pakistan also appeared out of thin air in no time. So based on historical factors you are incorrect. You are talking about petty issues like construction of facilities. If a military cannot construct those facilities within a few days, I don't know what good it is for?
Pakistan military has a peculiar way of doing things. There are no red tapes for the military to navigate. There are reports of them transporting nuclear material disguised in ambulances and ordinary looking vans for ultimate stealth & secrecy. They can pull off stunts like that which no other military normally would.
If they want to do it, they will do it within a surprisingly tight time frame. You have to understand one thing, the probability of this happening within the exact given timeframe is exactly the same as it not happening. If they want to do it, they will get it done. Now none of us can judge what real decisions and intentions are? This all can very well be a diversion for the enemy and they might be hoping to acquire something else.
There are no "habits" and "historical factors" to look at here, all of us know this. It will remain a 50-50 probability till we get the actual outcome, any analysis would just be an analysis. J10C acquisition was announced on Dec 21 and inducted in march 22, within 3 months time. At that time also, many analysts said this can't be true. 3 years is a long time for them to induct 5th gen aircrafts.
1. The Pakistan Army's procurement methods are not peculiar and it continues to follow basic rules. The Chinese military operates on a completely different model from that of the West. China, in turn, is the main supplier of military equipment to Pakistan, which results in Pakistan's military procurement being slightly different from that of Western countries. But it still follows the traditional pattern.
The J-10CE did not come out of nowhere. In fact, PAF started approaching CAC for procurement of J-10 series fighters many years ago.
2, J-10CE is a 4th Gen fighter, its maintenance is not much different from JF-17. But 5th Gen fighters are totally different. the J-35 needs dedicated hangar parking.
3, 5th Gen fighter is an information node of the modern combat system, advanced command system is the nerve center, high-speed data chain is the connecting line. Leaving the data chain and command system of the 5th Gen fighter, its combat effectiveness is far lower than the 4th Gen fighter.
Of course, these infrastructures don't usually get much official press. As a result, it's hard to know what level of capability the PAF is at right now in this area.
“A-fire B-guidance” is an important signature capability of the high-speed bi-directional data link for operational use. We know that the J-10C+PL-15 combination has this capability. However, PAF has not yet demonstrated this capability with the J-10CE+PL-15E combination. Some sources suggest that the JF-17B3 also has this capability, but we have not seen PAF actually demonstrate this capability either.
“A-fire B-guidance”. The “A” here is the fighter, and the wider the range of the “B” here, the wider the use of the high-speed two-way data link, and the greater the capability of the advanced command system.
4. Many of the tactical capabilities demonstrated by PLAAF's J-10C are not demonstrated by PAF's J-10CE. I'm not sure if this is an adjustment PAF made when customizing the J-10CE? Or PAF's current base platform is difficult to support? Anyway, we need to see further. With what PAF has shown so far, PAF is currently only just entering the threshold of the 4th Gen fighter platform, and there is still a long way to go with the 4.5th Gen fighter platform.
At this stage of PAF, the 5th Gen fighter platform is still just a dream. Even if PAF gets the J-35 right away, it can only use it as a 4th Gen fighter and cannot utilize the capabilities of the J-35.
It's like, I bought a HUAWEI Mate XT phone and took it to Balochistan, Pakistan to use it. What do you think I can do with this state of the art phone?