Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Maarkhoor]

Centrifuge production lines? Destroyed
Arak heavy water nuclear plant? severely damaged
Natanz? Destroyed
Esfahan nuclear site? Destroyed
Fordow? severely damaged
Missile production plants? Destroyed

Even USA / Israel not claiming it with such certainty how does you?

 

[ShapurII]

They are planning something bad. Acting like they’re angry at eachother again

Obviously. We need to prepare for the worst now

 

[brazensword]

We may need to have a separate thread on contemplating Iran’s disastrous performance during the first few days of the war.

Iran responding to Israel

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[VCheng]

In this meanwhile, no nuclear program may open your path to prosperity and your financial situation might improve.

Is that advice for Iran only? Charity might better begin at home, perhaps?

 

[BigMela2onin]

They are planning something bad. Acting like they’re angry at eachother again

IR will keep falling for everything, it's natural selection at this point

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

As if Pakistan didnt waste last 50 years trying to turn Afghanistan into its 5th province.

I don't think so. Pakistan just wants to do trade with Afghanistan but they want our land instead.

• Afghanistan hasn't recognised the border with Pakistan since the 1940s.
• Pakistan entertained the idea of a federation with Afghanistan (Afghanistan-Pakistan Confederation Plan).
• Afghanistan supported creation of Pashtunistan in the 1950s.
• Afghanistan invaded Pakistan in 1960-1961.
• Afghanistan started training BLA in the 1970s.
• Afghanistan fired 17 ballistic missiles on Pakistan in the late 1980s.
• Afghanistan violently opposed the construction of Pak-Afghan border fence between 2017-2023.
• Afghanistan has just agreed last month to stop TTP operation against Pakistan.

 

[ghazi52]

 

[Aad80]

This war thought me that ballistic missiles are truly formidable weapons. I have no words. Massively increase the production of Ballistic missiles and Hypersonic missiles and launch capabilities. And for the love of God, buy Chinese weapons. Jets, radars, SAMs. Buy buy buy.

 

[Abid123]

We may need to have a separate thread on contemplating Iran’s disastrous performance during the first few days of the war.

"Disastrous" is a bit of a stretch, isn't it?

 

[Mobius]

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[Meengla]

There's a good chance that Netanyahu will fall after this war.
Today's attacks against Israel were scarily powerful to an unprecedented scale. If Israel accepts the ceasefire after this, it will be over for him. Israelis will blame him for this war and he may very well be impeached and then thrown into jail.

Who knows? Iran might've achieved "regime change" in Israel after all. What a turn of events.

Yes, there is a good chance Netanyahu falls in case the ceasefire holds.

 

[Pakistan Space Agency]

Or Iranian oil and gas maybe

A lot of oil and gas but it would appear their oil and gas infrastructure was also attacked that will require a lot US dollars to repair.

 

[mangekyo]

IR will keep falling for everything, it's natural selection at this point

Told you ceasefire is bad. You can’t trust them. They have shown this time and time again.

 

[SABRE]

How long does it take to build one of Irans latest ( IR-6 ) centrifuges ? 20-30k were in those locations that were bombed. How much of an effort is it to build them new for just 1 unit? I am curious. Has anyone followed this closely enough to know?

The IR-6 Centrifuge Needs Further Development | ISIS Reports | Institute For Science And International Security

isis-online.org

Iran's Centrifuges: Models and Status | Iran Watch

In recent years, Iran has developed and deployed centrifuge models that can enrich greater amounts of uranium with fewer machines relative to its original IR-1 design. This table sets out the number of installed and operational centrifuges at Iran's enrichment sites, as well as the capacity and...

www.iranwatch.org

ie how long will it take for Iran to recover from this ?

@Persian Gulf ?

Depends on several factors.

An industrial scale enrichment facility like Natanz, which house thousands of centrifuges, can take 3 to 5 years to become functional/operational, and ~5 more years to reach industrial capacity. But this is starting from the scratch. If critical parts of the enrichment facilities are still intact it probably wouldn't take too long, but could still be years - 2 to 3 years. Cascade of centrifuges is not a simple thing to design and manufacture. Centrifuges are sensitive - a smallest mistake or miscalculation in single centrifuge could knockout the entire cascade, which has happened in Iran before.

Then there is issue of slow and painstaking enrichment process and U-235 extraction. Uranium is turned into uranium hexafluoride gas and centrifuges are used to separate U-235 (required) and U-238. Each centrifuge provides only a fraction of U-235, which is further enriched depending on its purpose. In the end, timing of all things depends on the quality and efficiency of the centrifuges and the size of the cascade.

Another key question is if the procurement network is still intact, and if it is, how quickly it can deliver. If Iran intends on developing nukes its priority would not be to produce new Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) but to further enrich that speculated 400kg of HEU from 60% to 90%, which is the bomb grade fissile material. Taking Hiroshima as the benchmark 400kg could produce 4 to 5 nuclear warheads of 15 kilotons of TNT yield. But given that major facilities have been struck, it will take quite a time for Iran to do that.

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

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