Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Hi,

Israelis are known to manipulate situations---.

Azerbaijan would not allow israel to carry out these attacks.

Israel did that to create animosity between Iran / Azerbaijan---with out the knowledge of Azerbaijan.

For israelis---proofs mean nothing---they will make millions of them and all will look real.
 
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You know the script of every Hollywood movie? The hero pulls the trigger first, aims to kill, aim is perfect. The loser is the one that misses one or all of the above, rightfully dead.

Iraq of the 90s and Syria until the collapse were punching bags. Zion cannot wait out anyone who it considers an adversary. It has a date of maturity and an expiry date... while not being part of NATO or any formal military alliance had tens of tankers refueling it's aircraft doing bombing runs over Iran. Iranis forget... they didn't choose their enemy, their enemy chose them
... they're working a prophecy(making it conducive)... they're fighting Persia of the prophecy they inferred... did every deed, sin or atrocity for that... they killed morality, killed conscience to do that...

Either play their game or do whatever necessary to nip it! There are no two ways!

We are doing all we can , if our cuckold negation lover politicians let us to do.
 
Are you assuming that by testing a nuclear explosive device Iran will automatically have nuclear weapons forthright? That's not the case.

First, Iran needs to somehow enrich uranium to 90%. It seems to difficult to do so immediately.

Second, let's assume Iran does enrich U-235 to 90%, it will then have to develop its test explosive device.

Third, let's assume test takes place, its success will depend on if the yield is supercritical and enough for weapons development.

Fourth, let's assume test is successful and the yield is good enough for weapons development, it will only validate that Iran now has the full capacity but not the capability, i.e. the weapon itself.

Fifth, to translate the capacity into capability, Iran will need to analyze the hot test data and design nuclear warhead accordingly. The warhead should be able to be incorporated on Iran's ballistic missile (the IRIAF is a non-factor, so gravity bombs are the door. Otherwise it might be "relatively" quick to develop a rudimentary nuke bomb for the air force as stand-in measure).

- Iran's warhead choice will be between gun-barrel or implosion-device. In the case of former, the trigger mechanism needs to be timed - its a science of nanoseconds with critical mass coming together and neutrons releasing on time, not before or after, otherwise the bomb would either explode untimely (perhaps somewhere over Iran itself) or fizzle out. These calculations take time and multiple cold test in congruence with the hot test data. Implosion-type device is usually not used for uranium based atomic bomb and is more intricate than gun-barrel. It is used for plutonium based devices and since Iran has no known plutonium reprocessing facility we'll have to rule this one out.

- Iran would also need to develop new ballistic casing suitable for housing nuclear package. Casing should be able ensure that isotopes from the U-235 do not escape outside and the critical mass remains intact for a long-long duration.

In short, transforming a succesful nuclear test into a weapons capability is a complex process that takes time - which might be enough time to for the US and Israel to do a bombing run again across Iran and perhaps enforce regime change. Whether the regime survives or not is besides the point (they'll leave Reza Pahalvi hanging on the rope for all they care). But they would have done away with all things nuclear by then. India and Pakistan both tested nuclear devices in 1998, and save for the handful of rudimentary gravity bombs with their respective air forces, niether actually had deliverable weapons until 2001-2002. Taking that as a bench mark, I would say it might take Iran 2 to 3 years to achieve ballistic missile based credible nuclear deterrence.
Respectfully, can you please do some research about Iran's capabilities before writing a long comment about such trivialities?

Iran already has a working implosion device that is comparable to Mark IV/Mark V. We don't need to go after the gun-type but we can certainly do that extremely easily. Read about the Emad/Amad Project first. I don't have time to educate you on this project but I may do so if you ask nicely and do some research on your own instead of writing long comments like that.
Iran has had nuclear-capable missiles since Shahab-3. Khorramshahr can lift 1,800 kg to 2,000 km. We have already mastered thermal shielding and MIRV technology in Khorramshahr and Sejjil. The delivery mechanism has been there for more than 2 decades.

The only question at this point is if Iran has a secret uranium metal conversion site. This is possibly the golden question now. The rest of it is not that difficult to predict. We have mastered laser isotope separation and it is easy to do LIS covertly at some random civilian looking building.
The tuning for 90% might be iffy, but if it fails and if reports are true, we already have enough centrifuges to convert 60% to enough HEU for 10-15 bombs. And we have two sites +200m underground to continue enrichment.
 
@tsunset @Persian Gulf @shapurzolaktaf @OldTwilight @mangekyo
Guys, how likely do you think it is for Israel to restart her strikes on Iran during Tasu'a and Ashura?
Israel probably won’t strike during Ashura itself, but they’ll definitely use the time to rest, resupply, repair air defenses, and plan the next round while Iran’s busy doing ceremonial things.

But its not impossible. IRI will be distracted, and let’s be honest, they’re not great at multitasking or mobilizing quickly.
 
@tsunset @Persian Gulf @shapurzolaktaf @OldTwilight @mangekyo
Guys, how likely do you think it is for Israel to restart her strikes on Iran during Tasu'a and Ashura?
Not soon, they lack airdefence missiles. But as long as the US forces are not back in Qatar base, it's a sign that a second attack is possible. Our biggest enemies are inside: traitors/agents and incompetence. Israel is a weak 1-month-war-state. It can't fight longer than a month (even with support of entire west)
 
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Are you assuming that by testing a nuclear explosive device Iran will automatically have nuclear weapons forthright? That's not the case.

First, Iran needs to somehow enrich uranium to 90%. It seems to difficult to do so immediately.

Second, let's assume Iran does enrich U-235 to 90%, it will then have to develop its test explosive device.

Third, let's assume test takes place, its success will depend on if the yield is supercritical and enough for weapons development.

Fourth, let's assume test is successful and the yield is good enough for weapons development, it will only validate that Iran now has the full capacity but not the capability, i.e. the weapon itself.

Fifth, to translate the capacity into capability, Iran will need to analyze the hot test data and design nuclear warhead accordingly. The warhead should be able to be incorporated on Iran's ballistic missile (the IRIAF is a non-factor, so gravity bombs are the door. Otherwise it might be "relatively" quick to develop a rudimentary nuke bomb for the air force as stand-in measure).

- Iran's warhead choice will be between gun-barrel or implosion-device. In the case of former, the trigger mechanism needs to be timed - its a science of nanoseconds with critical mass coming together and neutrons releasing on time, not before or after, otherwise the bomb would either explode untimely (perhaps somewhere over Iran itself) or fizzle out. These calculations take time and multiple cold test in congruence with the hot test data. Implosion-type device is usually not used for uranium based atomic bomb and is more intricate than gun-barrel. It is used for plutonium based devices and since Iran has no known plutonium reprocessing facility we'll have to rule this one out.

- Iran would also need to develop new ballistic casing suitable for housing nuclear package. Casing should be able ensure that isotopes from the U-235 do not escape outside and the critical mass remains intact for a long-long duration.

In short, transforming a succesful nuclear test into a weapons capability is a complex process that takes time - which might be enough time to for the US and Israel to do a bombing run again across Iran and perhaps enforce regime change. Whether the regime survives or not is besides the point (they'll leave Reza Pahalvi hanging on the rope for all they care). But they would have done away with all things nuclear by then. India and Pakistan both tested nuclear devices in 1998, and save for the handful of rudimentary gravity bombs with their respective air forces, niether actually had deliverable weapons until 2001-2002. Taking that as a bench mark, I would say it might take Iran 2 to 3 years to achieve ballistic missile based credible nuclear deterrence.
frankly speaking, I do not think they have such capacity or capability, and there isn't enough time left. Wars/conflicts are already started(with some pauses in between), and it would be near impossible to do it even if they get 20 yrs peacetime bcaz they want those sanctions lifted first.
With the wars heating up, the world does not have that much time. IF Iran had that capablity, it would've done the test already and then would've flexed it muscles around it too. I personally think their enriched uranium isn't even in the country anymore. Besides, its true that other nations do not want them to have it.

They also have bigger issues to solve, such as a cleanup of their country from all the moles, sleeper cells, indian cia/mosad agents, and governance and actual moving forward policy. Right now its all up in the air with utmost confusion amongst their population.......nothing is actually clear. When there is confusion, it usually does not end well. Just being a "former persian empire" will not win them anything, unfortunately. They should've done all these things YESTERDAY and now its too little and too late. Reality is hard to swallow. It takes decades for air forces to develop and be good at their skills, it can't be learnt in a month or so, its a gradual process. With geopoliticial happenings, I think it will be difficult to procure foreign fighter jets and the necessary ammo. Who will sell to them? Remember there's moles in their orgs everywhere and the technology secrets can be revealed to "enemy".
 
Guys, how likely do you think it is for Israel to restart her strikes on Iran during Tasu'a and Ashura?
Anything is possible but I dont expect any Israeli attacks for another 6 to 12 months. This is because they need to refill their interceptor stocks. Those dont get built too frequently.
 
Anything is possible but I dont expect any Israeli attacks for another 6 to 12 months. This is because they need to refill their interceptor stocks. Those dont get built too frequently.
I believe NATO will resupply them with interceptors for another round. This time they will try to attack us even harder than before to finish the war fast.

These f*ckers have been planning for this day for 20 f*cking years. And they knew quite well that the only way Iran could reach them is through our missiles.
 
It is surprising for people without an understanding of the region. For a person that understands the geopolitics of the region, it is not surprising that Iran supports Armenia against a Zionist-loving Republic of Azerbaijan.

Iran and Turkey are frenemies. We don't mind each other, and maintain economic ties for the benefit of both countries, but we aren't allies either. As I said, Turkey hosts one of the early-warning systems for THAAD that is meant to be used for tracking Iranian missile attacks on Israel. Actions speak louder.
Every NATO installation in Türkiye has received government approval only if it was advantageous for Türkiye itself.
That radar system located in Eastern Türkiye provides data for our military.
If Türkiye can prevent the US from using its land and airspace to halt their invasion of Iraq, it clearly indicates that our NATO membership is based on our own choice.

In contrast to Iran, Türkiye has opposed the US and NATO's invasion and devastation of Iraq.
Tehran, however, assisted the Americans.
You also destroyed Syria by denying the people the opportunity to choose their leader freely because the outcome would have not been to your liking.

Currently, the Western world utilizes Iraqi and Syrian airspace to attack and kill your own citizens.
What goes around, comes around, brother.

Ultimately, you brought this upon yourself.
The unfortunate part is that you are unable to recognize this which means you are bound to repeat your mistakes.
 
Every NATO installation in Türkiye has received government approval only if it was advantageous for Türkiye itself.
That radar system located in Eastern Türkiye provides data for our military.
If Türkiye can prevent the US from using its land and airspace to halt their invasion of Iraq, it clearly indicates that our NATO membership is based on our own choice.
The problem is that we believe Turkey's public stances and intentions do not really match. Therefore, it is hard to take your words for granted. Turkey has been constantly violating the sovereignty of Iraq in recent years. So, it's hard to believe that Turkey did not want Iraq to fall.

*** The AN/TPY-2 radar is definitely aimed at Iran's ballistic missiles as part of the early-warning system for THAAD. You do not have the full THAAD system to use it for your own protection, so it is obvious who is benefiting from this.

In contrast to Iran, Türkiye has opposed the US and NATO's invasion and devastation of Iraq.
Tehran, however, assisted the Americans.
In contrast to Iran, Turkey has violated the Iraqi sovereignty by establishing military bases in the northern territory of Iraq. You are an invading force in Iraq, in violation of international law.

You also destroyed Syria by denying the people the opportunity to choose their leader freely because the outcome would have not been to your liking.

Currently, the Western world utilizes Iraqi and Syrian airspace to attack and kill your own citizens.
What goes around, comes around, brother.

Ultimately, you brought this upon yourself.
The unfortunate part is that you are unable to recognize this which means you are bound to repeat your mistakes.
You destroyed Syria by supporting a NATO-instigated civil war that had no purpose but to install an Israel-friendly regime and we are already seeing this as we speak today. Unfortunately, the Syrians do not see this now because of their hatred for the previous Syrian regime who was admittedly unpopular. They had tried the Assads and they wanted a fresh start. Something that gives them hope about the future, but it doesn't necessarily mean that they are right. People get played all the time, unfortunately. It's all to be seen and time will tell.

Syrian airspace was in no way used to attack or kill our citizens, but good to see that you are happy about Iranian civilians getting killed. You've been exposed. But I do agree that what goes around, comes around. And Turkey may very soon taste this firsthand. Again, time will tell.

No, we have brought this upon ourselves by supporting the Palestinian cause, unlike you who pretend to support the Palestinian cause while behind the scenes you facilitate the Israeli plans for the new Middle East.
 
Scott Ritter recently touched on this issue. He stated that during the Gulf War, the USAF was unable to destroy any SCUD launchers. I think it is in the video below.
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Initially, the B-2 Spirit's role in the Cold War was to hunt mobile ICBMs inside Soviet territory with the help of the LaCrosse radar, but after they failed to hunt Iraqi Scuds in Gulf War 1.0, the B-2's role was revamped.

Israel seems to have managed to suppress the IRGC-ASF with air superiority and the lack of reaction to counter infiltrated Israeli commandos attacking with Drones and ATGM radars, SAMs and TELs.
 

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