Following the recent meeting between Pakistan’s field marshal and President Trump, several developments have come into focus. Pakistan has expressed clear interest in acquiring the Vkit upgrade package for 18 of its existing F-16s, aimed at enhancing avionics, radar, and combat capabilities. Additionally, Islamabad is exploring the procurement of 18 to 36 new F-16s from the latest production block, contingent on U.S. Congressional approval. If approved, deliveries are expected in batches of six aircraft.
Pakistan may also seek surplus F-16s from U.S. inventories, provided the airframes retain sufficient operational life. This approach could offer a cost effective boost to fleet readiness while awaiting newer platforms.
According to defense analysts, Pakistan appears to be strategically pacing its fifth generation fighter acquisition, particularly the Chinese J-35 platform. While initial pilot training and procurement discussions are underway, full scale induction may be deferred until 2028–2029, allowing time for the platform to mature and integrate with Pakistan’s broader airpower doctrine.
Interestingly, the timing of J-35 deliveries may hinge on India’s decision regarding its own fifth-generation fighter. If New Delhi opts for the Russian Su-57 and Moscow agrees to release units from its active inventory, Pakistan could accelerate its J-35 induction to maintain regional parity. However, current indicators suggest India may adopt a wait and watch approach, evaluating both the Su-57 and its indigenous AMCA program before committing to a fifth-gen platform.
In parallel, Pakistan is also shifting focus toward mass-producing indigenous UCAVs, with NESCOM (National Engineering and Scientific Commission) expected to lead this effort. Building on the operational success of the Burraq and Shahpar platforms, the country aims to expand its drone capabilities for both ISR and strike missions. This move reflects a broader push for self-reliance in unmanned systems.
Moreover, Pakistan is reportedly collaborating with Turkey to jointly produce advanced UCAVs, including potential co-development and assembly of platforms. This partnership could enhance Pakistan’s access to high altitude, long-endurance drones and advanced payloads, while also deepening defense ties with Ankara.
These developments signal a multi-pronged modernization strategy, balancing conventional fighter acquisitions with next-gen unmanned systems positioning Pakistan to adapt to evolving regional threats and technological shifts.
[This analysis is based on the current situation, things may change tomorrow or next week. But as of now, PAF is moving in this direction. A detailed write up will follow on Trump’s conditions for accepting the Abraham Accord, for which the field marshal has already given the green signal.]