Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Garcia Sea said:
Given the sunset provisions of the JCPOA, it was clear that if Iran did not surrender by October, bombing would commence.
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The Iranian state seems to be preparing for this. They're very much cleaning the terrorist menace that handicapped both the Iranian air defense and the ballistic missile launches.

Garcia Sea said:
And the situation has worsened. Seeing Iran's weakness, the U.S. and the E3 are now explicitly demanding unconditional surrender.
At this point, the Iranian leadership seems to believe they can avoid both fighting and surrendering by remaining ambiguous and slipping through. Apparently, the elderly leaders don’t even have the memory to recall the events of June.
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In my view, this ambiguity means Iran is hardening its position: No intention of giving its Uranium enrichment. To avoid UNSC sanctions, the IAEA may visit Iran but it doesn't look like Iran wants those IAEA inspectors (in reality, these are spies) back into the country.
 
ShapurII said:
The next 3-5 weeks is extremely important for Iran.
By the end of August, we will know for sure where Iran is heading.

I believe the second round will start before October.
Probably in mid-September.

And the Ayatollahs are not ready for the second round.
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The open war is over for now but its still continuing in the shadows. Explosions happen almost daily and of course the regime and its supporters blame it on 'gas leaks' or 'air defense training' and whatever else.

Nothing the IR has done in recent weeks has convinced me they have changed course. In fact they keep propping up the same outdated politicians while refusing to bring in fresh blood. They arree reshuffling some organs here and there but I seriously doubt it will make any real difference.

Personally i found the statement by Shadmanis daughter shocking. She claimed her father wasnt killed in an airstrike but was actually killed on the battlefield while being chased. If thats true then the situation is even worse than we imagined.

I believe the shadow war will keep going alongside economic isolation. No one knows when the open war will resume but i bet that Trump and Netanyahu are just waiting for the IR to make just one wrong move and they will all jump like a wild dog to 'finish" the job. In my opinion, that means the IR’s politicians are next. One by one they will be eliminated until the regime has a new face.

I estimate the chances of a popular uprising to be very low for many reasons. Its just not going to happen so Netanyahu will have to try other means to achieve his publicly stated goal of eliminating the IR’s missile and nuclear capabilities.
 
sutton9999 said:
in denial,

There is no reason F16/F15 would fly low. Jets released glide munitions over 8000m height, won't be captured by a phone camera.

The fact that 3 large drones （MALE) were shut down indicates a lack of basic air defence. Large drones are not cheap, typically used in counter-insurgency level of warfare. Which means Iran's air defense in some areas was reduced to the Houthis' level.
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You are in denial because you are coming from an emotional place apparently. I am probably the worst critic of IRI and its incompetence on Iranian forum.

Multiple HALE/MALE drones being shot down or F-15 jettisoning twice rather shows AD activity. We saw tons of videos of fighter jets over Iraq, Ukraine, Syria during wars in these zones, in Iranian case we have almost none. I ask again in simple language, where is the evidence of this air-superiority?

Also Jewish propaganda aside which you are apparently buying at face value, if I am an Israeli fighter jet armed with long ranged ALCM/ALBM why would I get the trouble of refuelling after refuelling, getting my plane in enemy zone to deliver payload when I can safely shoot at enemy with same payload from Iraqi Airspace like last year ? Reverse of it would be IRGC moving its Missile/drone launchers near to Israeli borders to launch the same missiles that it can launch safely from deep inside Iran. Its common sense but you carry on.
 
gambit said:
Then it looks like you do not understand the idea of 'Air Superiority' at all. What I posted, I dumbed down as much as possible.


Is that from personal experience?
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I will ask again since you hid behind insecure word play. Where is the evidence of fighter jet activity over Iran? F-15 jettisoned twice and a Spice PGM strike video. Thats it over 12 day? We saw tons of videos of fighter jets over Iraq, Ukraine, Syria during wars in these zones, in Iranian case we have almost none.

Why would Israel get into the trouble of long ranged expensive refuelling, getting planes in enemy zone to deliver payload when it can safely deliver same payload from Iraqi Airspace like they did before last year?

Israeli claim of establishing air-superiority over Iran is as credible as Press TV claiming F-35 being shot down.
 
Another gas leak?

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The IR is on the verge of collapse, and nothing can be done to save this.

The Ministry of Intelligence no longer exists in practice. The country is open to espionage.
I blame it on the IRGC. The IRGC opened Iran for espionage or even the most basic intelligence operations. Ever since the establishment of an independent intelligence organization by the IRGC, we have become so vulnerable that it is like we no longer can conduct even basic counter-intelligence measures.

I was watching the confessions of the Israeli spy that was executed yesterday (Roozbeh Vadi). He says he was employed by the Israeli intelligence system through WhatsApp and he communicated with them via Gmail. Then he met his officer in Vienna. He shared sensitive information about Iran's enrichment activities and the personnel of the Iranian atomic agency with them.

Here are a few points:

1. Why should an employee of the Iranian atomic agency, a highly-sensitive organization, visit Vienna? There used to be strong travel restrictions for people working in sensitive roles.
2. Why is Iranian intelligence service not running counter-intelligence campaigns and honeypots? Why can an employee of the Iranian Atomic Agency trust such a link, knowing full-well that it's not a trap? It's obviously because they're sure of the legitimacy of these advertisements.
3. Why are our employees working in sensitive roles so underpaid that they would sell their country for a few thousand dollars?

To put things into perspective, there used to be a time that our Ministry of Intelligence was so strong that even Iranian dissidents living abroad were afraid of criticizing the Islamic Republic. Ordinary citizens living abroad felt under surveillance all the time and decided not to make a single political comment.

The name of "Ministry of Intelligence" sent shivers down the spine of the Iranian opposition. They were always looking over their shoulders not to be hunted down by the Ministry of Intelligence because it had happened before. Many opposition figures had been assassinated and kidnapped in Europe and North America. Now, even people inside Iran are no longer afraid of the Ministry of Intelligence because everyone thinks they're incompetent and can do nothing against modern technologies.

The Islamic Republic is done. It's over for them. They will fall soon, extremely likely to fall in less than 5 years. And Iran will enter chaos if Iranian patriots don't do something about it.
 
ShapurII said:
1. Why should an employee of the Iranian atomic agency, a highly-sensitive organization, visit Vienna? There used to be strong travel restrictions for people working in sensitive roles.
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There simple reply, HQ of the IAEA in Vienna. Various officials and experts of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization therefore regularly traveled to Vienna. In general, in principle, it was impossible to cooperate with the IAEA, as Iran did and maintain strict security standards. The first is too contrary to the second. The IAEA demanded that Iran report too much information, too many people were obliged to constantly contact foreigners, etc.
 
Navigator said:
There simple reply, HQ of the IAEA in Vienna. Various officials and experts of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization therefore regularly traveled to Vienna. In general, in principle, it was impossible to cooperate with the IAEA, as Iran did and maintain strict security standards. The first is too contrary to the second. The IAEA demanded that Iran report too much information, too many people were obliged to constantly contact foreigners, etc.
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The regular employees of the Iranian atomic agency don't travel to Vienna for IAEA meetings. IAEA meetings with Iranians are mainly on inspection level and held inside Iran. Only heads of Iranian atomic agency and Iranian diplomats meet with IAEA officials in Vienna.
 
Interesting!
The regime is tapping Iranian identity that it tried so hard to erase. If you think about it, they were globalists long before world economic forum. They tried to sell this Islamic unityfor decades. The idea that borders don’t exist that all Muslims should unify and be one entity. After 45 years, they realized that the people are tribal.
Not a single country lifted a finger for the Gaza genicide .
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FUB said:
Interesting!
The regime is tapping Iranian identity that it tried so hard to erase. If you think about it, they were globalists long before world economic forum. They tried to sell this Islamic unityfor decades. The idea that borders don’t exist that all Muslims should unify and be one entity.
Not a single country lifted a finger for the Gaza genicide .
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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
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Beautiful picture

This was unimaginable before the war
 
Roozbeh Vadi (Nuclear Mossad asset executed yesterday) confessions about working with Mossad prior to his execution
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FUB said:
Interesting!
The regime is tapping Iranian identity that it tried so hard to erase. If you think about it, they were globalists long before world economic forum. They tried to sell this Islamic unityfor decades. The idea that borders don’t exist that all Muslims should unify and be one entity. After 45 years, they realized that the people are tribal.
Not a single country lifted a finger for the Gaza genicide .
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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
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Too little too late
 
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