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@Yasser76

50% tariff is essentially a trade embargo

You know I suppose that our largest exports to US- software, services, electronics, mobiles, pharma- are all duty exempt. Have you considered the possibility that the wily banya will reroute some of the other exports (such as gemstone and jewelry, textiles) through third countries like UAE and KSA which have 10% duty?

Regards

This isnt as easy. Indian companies will have to make products in UAE to enjoy 10% tariff.

UAE will not risk US sanctions for rerouting Indian goods.

Pharma/ electronics are temporarily exempt. US can start to shift IT outside India. India still have time to accept USA demands.
 
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@Yasser76

50% tariff is essentially a trade embargo

You know I suppose that our largest exports to US- software, services, electronics, mobiles, pharma- are all duty exempt. Have you considered the possibility that the wily banya will reroute some of the other exports (such as gemstone and jewelry, textiles) through third countries like UAE and KSA which have 10% duty?

Regards
Yes, surely you will, but isn't it this exactly the sort of tomfoolery that you thought you were getting away with for your Russian crude addiction?

Chanakiya doesn't work except in your ancient history syllabi.
 
@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

Indian companies will have to make products in UAE to enjoy 10% tariff. UAE will not risk US sanctions for rerouting Indian goods.

There is no such requirement on part of UAE.

US can start to shift IT outside India.

It is US companies who will decide. They may or may not comply with any such directives from the GoUS. And as you can see even in the last few days, many US MNCs have announced expansion of GCCs in India

India still have time to accept USA demands.

What are those demands? Why is India not accepting them?

Regards
 
That is beyond the comprehension ability of those who have only done "Yas ser , Yas ser " all their life and are being paid per post by ISPR.
Per post???!

@Fatman17 Please direct any commission to my Cayman Islands account....for "offshore administrative" purposes.
 
@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

Indian companies will have to make products in UAE to enjoy 10% tariff. UAE will not risk US sanctions for rerouting Indian goods.

There is no such requirement on part of UAE.

US can start to shift IT outside India.

It is US companies who will decide. They may or may not comply with any such directives from the GoUS. And as you can see even in the last few days, many US MNCs have announced expansion of GCCs in India

India still have time to accept USA demands.

What are those demands? Why is India not accepting them?

Regards

US is actively working on preventing rerouting. USA govt decides where investment goes. See Oracle just laid off 10% of Indian employees on behalf of USA government.

We are in early days. Even 50% tariff is 10 days away.

Demands are simple. Fight with China. Stop buying Russian oil and weapons. No easy way around this. India will survive, its a not a big deal. Pakistan went through similar phase in last 20 years.
 
This isnt as easy. Indian companies will have to make products in UAE to enjoy 10% tariff.

UAE will not risk US sanctions for rerouting Indian goods.

Pharma/ electronics are temporarily exempt. US can start to shift IT outside India. India still have time to accept USA demands.
Nobody is going to manufacture in UAE for the tariff arbitrage. There are many other countries which are poor and weak with 10% tariffs. Nepal is one example. There are several others in Africa and Central and South America. These are the countries that nations with higher tariffs like India and China will target, assuming they dont lower their own rates by striking deals.
 
US is actively working on preventing rerouting.
In theory, there is an additional tariff on transhipped goods, but no one in the Administration has yet stated how precisely it would be defined. Even if it is defined at some point in time, DOGE and the Trump administration have completely gutted the federal bureaucracy that would have policed it. The trade officers are already facing huge challenges as a trade system where almost all countries faced the same MFN tariff has become massively more complex overnight, without even taking transshipment into account.
 
@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

US is actively working on preventing rerouting.

Source of info?

USA govt decides where investment goes.


Google says No.

Fight with China.

Why should we? Is USA fighting PRC?

India will survive, its a not a big deal. Pakistan went through similar phase in last 20 years.

Thanks, that is quite comforting.

Regards

You expect USA to pull out in weeks like they did from Russia. Thats never going to happen.

What will happen is USA will spread the pie instead of putting all its eggs on Indian basket. Starting with high tariffs on Indian goods which will force companies to invest in lower tariffs countries.

India told USA that China is their enemy to get preferential market and investment access.
 
@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

Starting with high tariffs on Indian goods which will force companies to invest in lower tariffs countries.

We dont export much to US anyways. At least the tariffed item. We will find alternate markets and reroute some exports.

India told USA that China is their enemy to get preferential market and investment access.

Where did IND say any such thing?

Regards
 
He got even the advisor job only because he went to prison for Trump. He is not actually involved in trade negotiations. Those are handled by adults like Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick and Jamieson Greer.
You better hope so.

Do you really think this huge decision is at the whim of a few individuals?

Trump has obtained concessions from much more powerful and stronger economies than India, honestly not sure what cards you think you have to play here

If you start embracing Russia and china, that simplifies things for USA
 
@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

Starting with high tariffs on Indian goods which will force companies to invest in lower tariffs countries.

We dont export much to US anyways. At least the tariffed item. We will find alternate markets and reroute some exports.

India told USA that China is their enemy to get preferential market and investment access.

Where did IND say any such thing?

Regards

India export to USA $300bn or 37% of its exports. Most of it are IT and that too can be affected if relations don't improve. Electronic/iphones/pharma are temporary exemptions.

Now see iPhones assembly shifted to India from China because of high tariff, it toke some years. All these things don't happen in weeks time. Even in 50% tariff is up in the air for now.
 
2 years ago, local politicians clearly pointed out the territorial losses incurred by India to their latest daddy.


"“Our army is vacating areas which were not disputed at all, while Chinese troops are stationed in the areas traditionally patrolled by India,” said Konchok Stanzin, an elected councillor from the region.

Stanzin claimed that India had already given up territory to China during a 2021 agreement to withdraw from contested areas around Ladakh’s Lake Pangong. “We raised similar concerns in earlier disengagement, like in the Pangong Tso area where our army again lost a huge area,” he said."

It comes as no surprise that Delhi has accepted the new normal in the face of a superior enemy.

Many predicted this exact sequence of events unfolding. India simply does not have the stomach to fight China over the sindoor of its Galwan martyrs' widows. India does not have the stomach to fight China while Beijing quietly settles border disputes on its preferred terms. India does not have the stomach to even boycott Chinese products in response to the humiliation of Indian army infantry units at Galwan. India has a perpetual case of Delhi belly when it comes to China.
 

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