could you substitute the strings on usage with strings on sustainment and support to exert policy pressure?
First, strings on sustainment—like maintenance, spare parts, technical assistance, and logistical support—are also there with USA, france along with strings on usage. what are the chances that USA and European suppliers wont imposed sustainment restrictions, often with stricter conditions? For instance, has the USA upgraded Pakistan’s F-16s mushkil say aik baar wo b war on terror main pakistan ka bairha ghark kar kay 18 block 52 diye. Even the Block 52 F-16s are becoming outdated now, especially when India is acquiring more Rafale jets, will USA upgrade them for us? karwa kay dekh lo.
Second, China doesn’t impose usage restrictions, which is a significant advantage. Unlike USA, China hasn’t placed arms embargoes on Pakistan or pressured us to alter our strategic policies. Yes, China could potentially use sustainment as leverage in the future, but that’s a long-term concern. In the meantime, Pakistan should focus on building indigenous capabilities, like the PFX program, to reduce dependency. By the time China might exert such pressure, we could have a fully indigenous platform or leverage Turkey’s 5th-generation fighter program for collaboration.
Third, let’s consider the alternatives. If we rule out China, what realistic options does Pakistan have? The USA won’t supply F-35s for at least the next 20 years, and even F-16 Block 70/72 upgrades are unlikely. If they do provide F-16 upgrades, they’ll likely restrict us to using only their legacy weapons (like the AIM-120D) and prohibit integration of our own systems. In contrast, China allows us to integrate our weapons, even on platforms like the J-10C. You might now argue that it is allowed only with JF-17 because it’s a joint project, but for J-10C it wont? we can clear this thing now before in the future china puts string on sustainment. Also, China will phase out the J-10 in the coming years, meaning we could negotiate for its source code, assembly line, fly-by-wire systems, and other critical technologies now so we can save ourself in the future sustainment. This would enable us to upgrade and customize the platform independently in the future.
Finally, if we don’t procure from China, what’s left? The USA is unreliable—its priorities align with Israel, and even NATO allies like Turkey have been denied F-35s, not just because of the S-400 deal but because the US uses such excuses to limit technology transfers to non-preferred allies. Even Qatar example is in front of our eyes. Also as you said that Pakistan can’t produce even basic components like nuts and bolts domestically, then dismissing China leaves us with no viable options. We can’t trust the USA for consistent procurement, so China remains our most practical partner for now.
What other options do you see for Pakistan’s defense procurement, given these realities?