Asfandyar Bhittani
THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
- Thread starter
- #346
+2Weeks.
Update as of July 11, 2026.
649,898 have been returned /deported. in 2026. Average of 1 lakh per month. 43,786 since last update 2 weeks ago. 3127 per day average of those two weeks.
(2.58 million) Afghan illegal settlers have been repatriated back to Afghanistan since illegal foreigners repatriation plan began in 2023 under Kakar caretaker government.
There are still give or take 1.5 million pre 2023 afghan settlers in Pakistan.
With repatriation rate oscillating heavily due to moods of power that be, it increasingly looks like instead the end of 2026 according to rate calculated back in November, the program might dragon until the second half of 2027.
Which also won't guarantee 0 settlers. Only that estimated 4 million in 2023 have been repatriated. Those who have sneaked in since or have been allowed in, are not included. A reasonable educated guess would be 500k-1 million.
And once more, Pakistan could be near end of the program by now had it not paused in 2024 for Islami baradar reasons.
Between mid-September 2023 and 30 May 2026, approximately 6.04 million Afghan settlers have returned by Iran and Pakistan Accord to IOM . That's 15% of Afghan population that Kabul had dumped on it's neighbors and have been returned. And there are millions more squatting in Iran and Pakistan. Easily somewhere between 20-30% of all Afghans are/were in neighbouring countries. THIS is strategic depth.
