Are Pakistanis really poor?

Faani83

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ISLAMABAD:
Not at all, if you look at the per capita consumption and spending patterns. Yes, if you consider the per capita GDP (gross domestic product).

When evaluating a country's economy, income and poverty status, the per capita GDP is considered to be the most common indicator. For Pakistan, this indicator is certainly on the lower side and categorises us as a low-income country, and a nation struggling with poverty.

However, a deeper dive into the consumption patterns of Pakistanis reveals a more nuanced reality. Despite a relatively low per capita GDP, Pakistanis exhibit consumption behaviours that suggest a higher standard of living than the GDP numbers alone would indicate.

The current GDP per capita, in Pakistan, stands around $1,600, which places us among the low-income countries globally. This figure, however, does not fully capture the economic activities and consumption habits of its population.

The household consumption expenditure was around $285 billion in 2023, with the size of GDP of $374 billion. It is evident that a significant portion of our economy is driven by consumer spending.

One of the most telling indicators of Pakistanis' consumption patterns is their spending on luxury goods. The luxury fashion market in Pakistan is projected to grow by 2.12% annually, reaching $400 million by 2029.

This is in addition to the luxury items that Pakistanis purchase abroad, estimated to be more than $1.3 billion per annum. This growth suggests a robust demand for high-end products, which is not typically associated with a poor population.

In 2024, the per capita spending on clothing and footwear in Pakistan is estimated to be $55. While this may seem modest compared to developed countries, it is significant when compared to other nations with a similar GDP per capita.

For instance, Bangladesh, with a comparable GDP per capita, has lower spending in this category, indicating that Pakistanis prioritise and allocate more resources to their apparel needs.

Eating out is another area where Pakistanis spend a considerable amount. The restaurant and the dining sector have seen substantial growth, with urban areas like Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad boasting a vibrant food scene.

This trend is indicative of disposable income being spent on leisure and social activities, further challenging the notion of widespread poverty.
It is estimated that the middle and upper middle class eat out at least three times a month at present, as compared to only once a month just a few years ago. The surge in restaurants and eateries testifies this trend.

To put Pakistan's consumption in perspective, let's compare it with countries like Egypt and the Philippines. Egypt, with a per capita GDP of around $3,000, has a similar levels of consumer spending pattern like Pakistan, particularly in urban areas where dining out and luxury goods are also popular. This shows that Pakistanis spend double than the Egyptians.

The Philippines, with a per capita GDP three times than that of Pakistan, also has the same level of per capita consumption, thus Pakistanis spend three times higher than the Filipinos.

It's important to note the disparity between urban and rural consumption patterns. Urban areas, such as Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad, exhibit higher spending on luxuries, dining out, and entertainment.

In contrast, rural areas tend to have lower consumption levels, focusing more on essential goods and services. This urban-rural divide highlights the uneven distribution of wealth and consumption within the country.

A major factor contributing to this paradox in income versus spending is the significant inflow of remittances from Pakistanis working abroad. These remittances boost household incomes and enable higher spending on goods and services.

The absence of any productive sectors or savings options result in remittances leading towards spending on food, clothing and luxuries.

While Pakistan's per capita GDP suggests a nation grappling with poverty, its consumption patterns tell an entirely different story.

Consumption behaviour suggests higher standard of living than what GDP numbers indicate

The significant spending on luxuries, clothing, dining out, and other non-essential goods indicates that many Pakistanis enjoy a higher standard of living than the GDP figures alone would suggest. This paradox underscores the importance of looking beyond traditional economic metrics to understand the true economic landscape of a country.

This insight is crucial for policymakers, economists, and businesses looking to engage with and understand the Pakistani market in its true structure, realities and potential.

The size of the private credit market is also quite telling in this regard. This may not be termed healthy by some economists, but it is important to consider at least while analysing our economy and the trends thereon.

It is often said, in Pakistan, that we are not poor at heart. Probably we are not poor at pockets as well, or at least most of us.

The writer is an international economist
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2517676/are-pakistanis-really-poor
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This is one of the paradoxes in macroeconomics where appearances can be deceptive. For rigorous analysis that goes beyond anecdotal observations, it is better to take good measurements that are indicators of quality of life. For example, the internationally used barometer is called HDI (Human Development Index). For south Asia, the ranking and values are:

78 Sri Lanka 0.780 High
125 Bhutan 0.681 Med.
129 Bangladesh 0.670 Med.
134 India 0.644 Med.
144 Myanmar 0.608 Med.
146 Nepal 0.601 Med.
164 Pakistan 0.540 Low
182 Afghanistan 0.462 Low

Countries ranked from 1 to 69 in 2022 are designated "very high" HDI; those ranked from 70 to 118 are designated "high" HDI; those ranked from 119 to 159 are denoted "medium" HDI; and those ranked from 160 to 193 are designated "low" HDI.

 
Majority of Pakistanis live in dirty areas, ride the same old 70cc bike through roads that have gutter water leaking out onto them.

If I only look at the Gulbergs and DHAs then yes I think Pakistan is great.
 
Best way to look at living standards is with GDP PPP per capita - Pakistan is not as far behind in actual wealth as the below numbers suggest, as until very recently it had higher living standards than BD and India.

Pakistan - 7,000 US dollars
India - 11,100 dollars
BD - 9,900 US dollars

PS - In fact Pakistanis may still be slightly wealthier than BD'shis as of now.
 
This is one of the paradoxes in macroeconomics where appearances can be deceptive. For rigorous analysis that goes beyond anecdotal observations, it is better to take good measurements that are indicators of quality of life. For example, the internationally used barometer is called HDI (Human Development Index). For south Asia, the ranking and values are:

78 Sri Lanka 0.780 High
125 Bhutan 0.681 Med.
129 Bangladesh 0.670 Med.
134 India 0.644 Med.
144 Myanmar 0.608 Med.
146 Nepal 0.601 Med.
164 Pakistan 0.540 Low
182 Afghanistan 0.462 Low

Countries ranked from 1 to 69 in 2022 are designated "very high" HDI; those ranked from 70 to 118 are designated "high" HDI; those ranked from 119 to 159 are denoted "medium" HDI; and those ranked from 160 to 193 are designated "low" HDI.

Well what your bringing up and what this article talks about are a bit different.

HDI is going to pretty bad for Pakistan due to education being embarrassing weak especially for women which is large factor in HDI.

This article does bring up a good point where the average Pakistan spends quite a bit on themselves compared to its peer on a per captia basis. Mostly likely due to Remittance and our large informal economy driving this spending,

Foundationally it brings another problem our growth is constrained due to bad policies which led to brain drain and then leading to consumer spending being what drives our economy sadly.
 
ISLAMABAD:
Not at all, if you look at the per capita consumption and spending patterns. Yes, if you consider the per capita GDP (gross domestic product).

When evaluating a country's economy, income and poverty status, the per capita GDP is considered to be the most common indicator. For Pakistan, this indicator is certainly on the lower side and categorises us as a low-income country, and a nation struggling with poverty.

However, a deeper dive into the consumption patterns of Pakistanis reveals a more nuanced reality. Despite a relatively low per capita GDP, Pakistanis exhibit consumption behaviours that suggest a higher standard of living than the GDP numbers alone would indicate.

The current GDP per capita, in Pakistan, stands around $1,600, which places us among the low-income countries globally. This figure, however, does not fully capture the economic activities and consumption habits of its population.

The household consumption expenditure was around $285 billion in 2023, with the size of GDP of $374 billion. It is evident that a significant portion of our economy is driven by consumer spending.

One of the most telling indicators of Pakistanis' consumption patterns is their spending on luxury goods. The luxury fashion market in Pakistan is projected to grow by 2.12% annually, reaching $400 million by 2029.

This is in addition to the luxury items that Pakistanis purchase abroad, estimated to be more than $1.3 billion per annum. This growth suggests a robust demand for high-end products, which is not typically associated with a poor population.

In 2024, the per capita spending on clothing and footwear in Pakistan is estimated to be $55. While this may seem modest compared to developed countries, it is significant when compared to other nations with a similar GDP per capita.

For instance, Bangladesh, with a comparable GDP per capita, has lower spending in this category, indicating that Pakistanis prioritise and allocate more resources to their apparel needs.

Eating out is another area where Pakistanis spend a considerable amount. The restaurant and the dining sector have seen substantial growth, with urban areas like Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad boasting a vibrant food scene.

This trend is indicative of disposable income being spent on leisure and social activities, further challenging the notion of widespread poverty.
It is estimated that the middle and upper middle class eat out at least three times a month at present, as compared to only once a month just a few years ago. The surge in restaurants and eateries testifies this trend.

To put Pakistan's consumption in perspective, let's compare it with countries like Egypt and the Philippines. Egypt, with a per capita GDP of around $3,000, has a similar levels of consumer spending pattern like Pakistan, particularly in urban areas where dining out and luxury goods are also popular. This shows that Pakistanis spend double than the Egyptians.

The Philippines, with a per capita GDP three times than that of Pakistan, also has the same level of per capita consumption, thus Pakistanis spend three times higher than the Filipinos.

It's important to note the disparity between urban and rural consumption patterns. Urban areas, such as Karachi, Lahore, and Islamabad, exhibit higher spending on luxuries, dining out, and entertainment.

In contrast, rural areas tend to have lower consumption levels, focusing more on essential goods and services. This urban-rural divide highlights the uneven distribution of wealth and consumption within the country.

A major factor contributing to this paradox in income versus spending is the significant inflow of remittances from Pakistanis working abroad. These remittances boost household incomes and enable higher spending on goods and services.

The absence of any productive sectors or savings options result in remittances leading towards spending on food, clothing and luxuries.

While Pakistan's per capita GDP suggests a nation grappling with poverty, its consumption patterns tell an entirely different story.

Consumption behaviour suggests higher standard of living than what GDP numbers indicate

The significant spending on luxuries, clothing, dining out, and other non-essential goods indicates that many Pakistanis enjoy a higher standard of living than the GDP figures alone would suggest. This paradox underscores the importance of looking beyond traditional economic metrics to understand the true economic landscape of a country.

This insight is crucial for policymakers, economists, and businesses looking to engage with and understand the Pakistani market in its true structure, realities and potential.

The size of the private credit market is also quite telling in this regard. This may not be termed healthy by some economists, but it is important to consider at least while analysing our economy and the trends thereon.

It is often said, in Pakistan, that we are not poor at heart. Probably we are not poor at pockets as well, or at least most of us.

The writer is an international economist
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2517676/are-pakistanis-really-poor
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Go ask the 40% population which lives on a "hand to mouth " situation. Daily wagers and unskilled labour. Population from rural areas shift to urban areas in search of work and end up becoming beggars.
 
@Faani83

The data you have is absolutely correct. For most of the post 1971 period, PAK has the highest GDP per capita, followed by IND and BD. Somewhere in the mid 2000s overtook PAK and now BD has. There is however a catch. Consumption expenditure as part of GDP is much higher than IND or BD which is why your data shows (correctly) that PAK has a fairly good consumption level.

There is a downside to it though. It means the savings rate is much lower (around 10% compared to 30% in IND and BD). The implication of this is twofold

Pak is much more vulnerable to any external shock than IND or BD, since there is limited savings.
Lower savings and capital formation means economic growth is much lower which is why lately PAK is trailing IND and BD in economic growth.

Regards
 
Anyone who is part of the elite or has relatives abroad or is part of the small wealthy class is alright.

Ask the working class, see why the average height of Pakistanis is reducing. Look at shrinking brains due to malnutrition.

Ik pase pukh bhangre pa ri ye, aur doosre pase faujiyo De chamchay bhangre pa re.
 
@Faani83

The data you have is absolutely correct. For most of the post 1971 period, PAK has the highest GDP per capita, followed by IND and BD. Somewhere in the mid 2000s overtook PAK and now BD has. There is however a catch. Consumption expenditure as part of GDP is much higher than IND or BD which is why your data shows (correctly) that PAK has a fairly good consumption level.

There is a downside to it though. It means the savings rate is much lower (around 10% compared to 30% in IND and BD). The implication of this is twofold

Pak is much more vulnerable to any external shock than IND or BD, since there is limited savings.
Lower savings and capital formation means economic growth is much lower which is why lately PAK is trailing IND and BD in economic growth.

Regards
What factor are you using it seems to be the gross national savings which isn't indictive of capturing the saving rate of a household as it includes business and government saving rates as well.

Ireland has 60%+ saving rate that's from businesses offshoring their profits. Pakistan on the other hand has almost 0 saving between businesses and their government that 8-9% is probably more likely to be just household savings which is quite good.

This article talks about the average pakistani household. This isn't about savings for the general economy which is different topic yes, those external shocks are mostly the problem of poor policy and lack of investment in foundational areas such as education.
 
These Articles comes only from Pakistan. Definitely political motivated to brainwash already brainwashed awaam. This is an illusion. Pakistan has lowest Export and doesn't make anything. Most of Economy only depends on agriculture. How people got rich without any industry running?
 
Well what your bringing up and what this article talks about are a bit different.

HDI is going to pretty bad for Pakistan due to education being embarrassing weak especially for women which is large factor in HDI.

This article does bring up a good point where the average Pakistan spends quite a bit on themselves compared to its peer on a per captia basis. Mostly likely due to Remittance and our large informal economy driving this spending,

Foundationally it brings another problem our growth is constrained due to bad policies which led to brain drain and then leading to consumer spending being what drives our economy sadly.
You are correct. I was gently suggesting to the OP that it is better to focus on things that matter like education, health, life expectancy, skill level and productivity rather than brag about a bunch of aristocrats showing off iPhone 16 Pro Max or some other doodad when the majority can't afford electricity, don't have clean water and Pakistan remains one of the few countries in the world with polio.
 
Goverment of pak is poor due to pathetic tax collection system .i think people of pak are doing fine if not good.
 
These Articles comes only from Pakistan. Definitely political motivated to brainwash already brainwashed awaam. This is an illusion. Pakistan has lowest Export and doesn't make anything. Most of Economy only depends on agriculture. How people got rich without any industry running?


Pakistan doesn't have at least 200 million of the world's most severely malnourished people. india does:


Sort out your own problems before you criticise other nations and races.
 
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Are We Poor? I Poverty in Pakistan - Myths, Realities & Solutions I EconFest Debate​


Completely agree with PIDE professors Dr. Shujaat and Shahid (From 10.30 onwards) that:
1. There is no absolute poverty in Pakistan. It is relative.
2. The "Poverty industry" is Donor driven, so there is a reward to show and push it up to 40%.
3. Pro poor expenditures increased from 3 trillion rs in 2017 to 5 triilion rs in 2022.
4. Poverty over time has come down significantly.
5. It depends on how poverty is measured.
 

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