Gaza-Israel Conflict | 2023-2024

[PakFactor]

The law of strength prevails in the world. Israel is thinking twice before attacking Hezbollah because it knows the consequences. Weakness attracts death and misery and only strength prevents you from being destroyed.

Israel will not fight two-sided conflict at this moment; they will wrap up Gaza and hit Lebanon unless cooler heads prevail.

 

[Solomon2]

Hezbollah's miscalculation puts Israel in a bind​

Opinion: The Iran-backed terror group's strike on Majdal Shams, killing at least 11 children, is the closest Israel has been to a war in Lebanon since October 7​

Avi Issacharoff|07.27.24 | 15:50

In late July 2006, during the Second Lebanon War, the IDF attacked targets in the village of Qana and mistakenly killed dozens of civilians, including 21 children. This incident was, in many ways, the war’s turning point, as the U.S. government decided to pressure Israel to end it quickly following the civilian casualties.

The rocket strike in Majdal Shams, which also resulted in the deaths of children and teenagers, could have the opposite effect – it’s likely to escalate the war that’s been ongoing for nine months on the northern border at a relatively low profile and turn it into a much broader one. In fact, this tragic incident brings us closer to the brink of a full-scale confrontation between Hezbollah and Israel than any other day since October 7.


3 View gallery

Scene of rocket impact in Majdal Shams
(Photo: Jalaa MAREY / AFP)

The rocket fired by Hezbollah that hit a soccer field in Majdal Shams is nothing less than a severe operational miscalculation by the Shiite terrorist organization. It can be said with high certainty that this wasn’t the intention of those who launched the rocket.

Majdal Shams is a Druze village, many of whose residents hold Syrian citizenship and consider themselves Syrians rather than Israeli citizens. Many Majdal Shams residents have relatives in Syria and Lebanon and Arab social networks, including Palestinian ones, have severely criticized Hezbollah, explicitly noting that the town isn’t Israeli or Jewish.

Furthermore, the hit on a playground where so many children were present, and the killing of eleven of them will likely intensify criticism in Lebanon and the Middle East against Hezbollah, which already faces considerable criticism at home and beyond, alleging it serves Iranian interests rather than Lebanese ones.

But Israel now finds itself facing a dilemma. Should it respond harshly, as logic seemingly dictates, against various Hezbollah targets – risking a full-scale war in the process – or should it show restraint given the situation in Gaza and the ongoing war?

Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, fires in the Galilee, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
(Photo: Alex Kolomoisky)

An extensive attack on Hezbollah and Lebanese targets may sound necessary to many in Israel, but the cost of a full-scale escalation and its consequences must be considered as well. It is doubtful the IDF in its current state has the ability and means to achieve a swift victory in Lebanon, something that seems far off even in Gaza.

Entering a full-scale war in Lebanon will lead to a difficult war that will last for many months and will probably end in a cease-fire, despite empty slogans about "total victory." The Israeli home front will be under heavy and prolonged rocket fire every day, at every hour.

And again, all this while many of its resources, human and material, are dedicated to the war in Gaza, which Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu refuses to end or even reach a hostage release deal in exchange for a cease-fire.

There are quite a few politicians in Israel, including in the current government, who think there’s a quick-fix solution for this: to attack Lebanon and its infrastructure. This statement is unlikely to impress Hezbollah or its Iranian puppet masters, for whom the state of Lebanon will always be secondary to Hezbollah's Shiite interests.

Scene of the strike in Majdal Shams
(Photo: EPA/ATEF SAFADI)

In fact, destroying Lebanon and its infrastructure will greatly help create a growing dependency on the Islamic Republic and Hezbollah in post-war Lebanon.

Ultimately, even after the tragic incident in Majdal Shams, Israel needs to ask itself what it can achieve in a full-scale war in Lebanon. What will be the goal of such a war, is it attainable, and what’s Israel’s exit strategy, rather than only thinking about how it can be started?

Without clear answers to these questions, a war in Lebanon will end in nothing but unthinkable destruction and many casualties on both sides.

 

[lightning f57]

Hard to believe Israel they could have killed their own citizens not that they see the Druze their citizens. May the innocent rest in peace.

 

[Liquidator]

View attachment 57371

Sexual deviance, especially sodommy is part of their religion. Isn't that right @Solomon2 @Truth ?

 

[Liquidator]

Hard to believe Israel they could have killed their own citizens not that they see the Druze their citizens. May the innocent rest in peace.

It's called the hanninal directive

See this "Israeli " newspaper

IDF ordered Hannibal directive on October 7 to prevent Hamas taking soldiers captive

***

www.haaretz.com

 

[hussain0216]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1817940573946261559

I think (I could be mistaken) this was targeted by a Chinese anti tank missile our B.Shikan system is a copy of

It would be interesting to note, what kind of damage it's causing the merkavas

Update: sorry wrong event, but I read today Islamic jihad in Gaza hit a merkava with the system

 

[Mobius]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1817835878607110433

 

[Falcon29]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1817963294801694824

 

[Falcon29]

Israeli's are terrorists, rapists, and murderers. And this is being proven to the world, right now. Unlike the fake and false atrocity propaganda Israel and the Jews drew up, which in their minds, would give them total freedom to commit every crime in Gaza.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1818005278786298113

 

[clutch]

 

[Falcon29]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1818029184536752396

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hamas message to Hezbollah: "we are sure that you will complete the mission"

https://twitter.com/x/status/1817955220678213915

did you see this video? @Falcon29

https://twitter.com/x/status/1818018391531393276

 

[GoMig-21]

Hey TikTok zionist demons getting ambushed like this, why don't you ask your politicians who are forcing you to murder women and children to go on these types of patrols themselves, or send their own kids and see what they say. Turn up the volume on this one, fellas.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1817856134352605186

 

[clutch]

@Solomon2 fried IDF terrorists....

 

[The SC]

#Urgent Israeli President:
I call on the demonstrators to leave the military base and let the army work to achieve victory.

#Urgent Israeli President:
We are going through one of the most difficult weeks at the security level, and we must not burden our soldiers and leaders.

#Breaking Israeli media:
The Israeli army withdraws forces from the Gaza Strip and pushes them towards the Beit Lid camp and nearby areas.

Urgent | Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid: Today all red lines have been crossed

Urgent | Israeli Army Radio: Halevy conducts a security assessment regarding the storming of Beit Lid camp with the police district commander and other leaders

Urgent | Israeli Army Radio: More than 1,200 demonstrators arrived in Beit Lid, and dozens of them succeeded in storming the camp.

Urgent | Yedioth Ahronoth: Military police order its members to hide their faces amid continued attempts to storm Beit Leed camp

Urgent | Israel Hayom: The Israeli army summons soldiers from their leave to deploy near the Beit Lid camp


Haaretz: Army data show that an investigation was conducted with soldiers into 48 deaths of Palestinians, most of whom were prisoners arrested from Gaza.