General Economic Updates

@hydrabadi_arab

Hydra bro,

Industrial Consumers to Buy Power Directly From Suppliers​


This is the right way forward. In fact, I would recommend that Pak industry adopt the group captive model that many Indian corporates are embracing to meet their power need. Here a specialist power producing company, which could either be a local genco or a PE backed platform sets up a 74-26 JV with an industrial consumer and supplies power to it.

You had in an earlier post somewhere pointed out that industries will get slowed down in growth because they have to invest their capital in power plants. Not only does this model solve that problem but also bring in large amounts of global capital.

Regards


Pakistan to seek bids this month for first 400 MW competitive power auction​


  • Islamabad is moving from single-buyer power system to one allowing industrial consumers to buy electricity at negotiated rates
  • Pakistani business associations urge government to reduce high power tariffs so exporters can compete with others worldwide
KARACHI: Pakistan will seek bids from power suppliers this month for its first competitive auction of 400 megawatts (MW) of electricity, energy officials said on Friday, with industry stakeholders urging the government to reduce high power tariffs to help Pakistani exporters compete worldwide.

Pakistan is moving from a single-buyer electricity system to a Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM) that allowing industrial consumers to buy power directly from suppliers at negotiated rates.

The government will invite bids through a Request for Proposals (RFPs) within this month, officials at Pakistan’s energy ministry said, with the 400 MW auction expected to be held this year in the fourth quarter.

“ISMO will launch the Request for Proposals within September for conducting these auctions,” Zeeshan Khan, director corporate affairs and strategic communication at the state-owned Independent System and Market Operator (ISMO), told Arab News.

He said ISMO will complete the auction as per the timelines provided by Pakistan’s electricity regulator. He added that the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) has approved the auction process and determined grid charges.

He did not specify when the auction would take place. However, a senior energy official said it was expected to be held in the fourth quarter of 2026.

“RFP is being published this month,” the official said on condition of anonymity as he was not authorized to speak to the press. “Then we will give two months’ time to investors to submit their proposals and bids.”

The government has capped the market demand of the auction at 800 MW, with 400 MW to be auctioned initially and 100 MW in each subsequent auction. The auctions will be open to competitive suppliers and captive generators using the grid to wheel power for their own use.

“These entities have to secure rights to wheel electricity by participating in the auction,” Khan said.

He said the auction will result in making power cheaper for industrial consumers.

“The players participating in the auctions must offer lower rates than the existing applicable regulated rates,” he explained. “Otherwise, no consumer will switch from the existing suppliers and sign contracts with these market players.”

Khan said he could not estimate the reduction in industrial tariffs, saying it would depend on generation portfolios proposed by bidders.

“It shall definitely be lower than the current tariffs,” he said.

‘BARE MINIMUM’ INVOLVEMENT

Khan said ISMO does not have any verified figure for the number of generators or industrial consumers that have formally committed to participating in the first 400 MW auction. Successful bidders will receive letters of award and must begin transactions within the timelines committed during the auction.

“The maximum time period for commencing transactions is three years from the auction date,” he said.

He said the auction will allow all producers to participate. Wind and solar projects, however, will be required to install co-located battery energy storage systems to improve the flexibility and reliability of renewable power.

Pakistan’s business community urged the government to reduce the power tariff so that they can compete with the competition worldwide.

Karachi Chamber of Commerce & Industry President Muhammad Rehan Hanif said industrial consumers were paying as much as 12.5 cents per kWh, while those in Bangladesh and other competing markets.

“Without bringing our industrial power tariff down to 9 cents, we cannot be competitive in the international market,” Hanif told Arab News.

All Pakistan Textile Mills Association Chairman Kamran Arshad also complained about high power tariffs, saying that textile owners in Pakistan’s competitor countries pay less.

“These legacy costs should be absorbed by the government rather than carried into the competitive market,” Arshad said.

He said at the current rates, the CTBCM may provide some relief but is unlikely to substantially close the competitiveness gap.

Muhammad Saad Ali, head of research at Lucky Investments Limited, described the competitive market as a long-term reform.

“The buyers and sellers will negotiate a price and ultimately the government’s involvement in the power sector, long-term, will be bare minimum,” Ali said.
 


You really need to listen to this, maybe few times so it fully sinks in. I’ve been warning about this since last year. China is clearly unhappy with the Pakistani establishment.
 


Do you think world is blind and they don't see what's happening in Pakistan?
50% of Pakistani living under poverty and our corrupt politicians spending money like water.
 

Rs. 1 Trillion Imports Cleared for Tribal Areas Magically Appear in Punjab and Sindh​


Rs. 1 Trillion Imports Cleared for Tribal Areas Magically Appear in Punjab and Sindh
By Business Desk | Published Sep 14, 2026 | 10:26 pm

The Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) has intensified its probe against 108 companies accused of allegedly avoiding taxes on imported goods worth Rs. 1,120 billion through FATA and PATA-related exemptions.

Sources told ProPakistani the companies brought the goods into Pakistan under the tax-exempt facility and allegedly moved them to other provinces instead of keeping them within the designated areas.

The investigation found that the companies imported cooking oil and ghee worth Rs. 371 billion, steel worth Rs. 214 billion, textile products worth Rs. 174 billion and tea worth Rs. 65 billion.

The goods were allegedly supplied to markets in Sindh, Punjab and Balochistan after being imported under the FATA and PATA arrangements.

FIA has collected key records related to the transactions and recorded statements from more than 60 companies as part of the investigation.

Sources said 48 companies are being issued fresh notices in connection with the case.

The inquiry is focused on alleged misuse of tax exemptions and the movement of imported goods outside the areas eligible for such concessions.
 

Rs. 1 Trillion Imports Cleared for Tribal Areas Magically Appear in Punjab and Sindh​


Rs. 1 Trillion Imports Cleared for Tribal Areas Magically Appear in Punjab and Sindh
By Business Desk | Published Sep 14, 2026 | 10:26 pm

The Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) has intensified its probe against 108 companies accused of allegedly avoiding taxes on imported goods worth Rs. 1,120 billion through FATA and PATA-related exemptions.

Sources told ProPakistani the companies brought the goods into Pakistan under the tax-exempt facility and allegedly moved them to other provinces instead of keeping them within the designated areas.

The investigation found that the companies imported cooking oil and ghee worth Rs. 371 billion, steel worth Rs. 214 billion, textile products worth Rs. 174 billion and tea worth Rs. 65 billion.

The goods were allegedly supplied to markets in Sindh, Punjab and Balochistan after being imported under the FATA and PATA arrangements.

FIA has collected key records related to the transactions and recorded statements from more than 60 companies as part of the investigation.

Sources said 48 companies are being issued fresh notices in connection with the case.

The inquiry is focused on alleged misuse of tax exemptions and the movement of imported goods outside the areas eligible for such concessions.

No shit, anyone could see this coming mile away.
 

Pakistan developing virtual grid system as govt prepares for battery revolution, says energy minister​


Virtual grid regulations expected by last quarter of FY27; Discos directed to install grid batteries as government pushes energy storage

The government is developing a virtual grid system that would allow consumers to generate and store electricity as Pakistan prepares for what the energy minister described as a “battery revolution” in the power sector.

Federal Minister for Energy Awais Leghari said regulations for virtual grids were under development and were expected to be finalised by the last quarter of the current fiscal year. The government has also directed power distribution companies (Discos) to install grid batteries as part of efforts to expand energy storage and improve the electricity system.

“A battery revolution is coming to Pakistan,” Leghari said, adding that the government wanted to increase the use of batteries across the power sector.


The plans were disclosed following a meeting of the National Assembly Standing Committee on Power, where prolonged electricity load-shedding and the performance of the distribution system came under discussion.

Leghari said load-shedding was currently being carried out on around 3,500 of Pakistan’s 14,500 electricity feeders due to power theft and line losses.

He maintained that no additional load-shedding was taking place, saying other outages were mainly caused by technical faults resulting from overloading of the system.

The government plans to shift load-shedding controls from entire feeders to individual transformers within a year, allowing electricity supply to be managed more selectively rather than shutting down a complete feeder.


An on-off control system is being introduced for around 190,000 transformers. According to the minister, consumers who regularly pay their electricity bills would not be affected by the new system.

The planned upgrades would require significant investment, for which approval would be sought from the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra).

The minister also linked some recent power-sector pressures to disruption in energy supplies following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which he said had affected the Petroleum Division’s ability to receive LNG cargoes.

As a result, the government has had to use locally produced gas for electricity generation.


According to Leghari, a gas cargo that previously cost around $30 million now costs more than $95 million, increasing pressure to reduce fuel costs.

He said load-shedding had been carried out during peak hours to save fuel costs, arguing that otherwise consumers could face an additional electricity cost of around Rs6 to Rs6.50 per unit.

The minister also rejected reports that the government had entered into any new agreements with Independent Power Producers (IPPs).

During the committee meeting, lawmakers criticised continued load-shedding and electricity prices, with concerns also raised over the impact of government power-sector policies on consumers.


Leghari rejected criticism that power policies were primarily being shaped to meet International Monetary Fund requirements, challenging lawmakers to substantiate the claim.
 

The SECP wants the “plotistan” capital to spill over into REITs​

New regulations give a framework for plots and paperwork to be formalised as financial market instruments, but will the people bite?

On September 10, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan put out a set of draft amendments to the REIT Regulations, 2022 as an effort to "create a more enabling REIT framework that can mobilize long-term capital, broaden investor participation and unlock greater potential in Pakistan's real estate sector."

The framing only makes sense once you look at how little potential has actually been unlocked so far. Pakistan's REIT framework has existed since 2015, and has been overhauled once already in 2022. Yet as recently as two years ago PSX was still marking milestones as modest as listing its second REIT in seven years.

Listings have picked up pace this year as JS Rental REIT in April, and the New Nazimabad Apartments REIT became the 13th PSX public offering of 2026 in August. But the entire sector sat at six listed REITs and roughly Rs82.7 billion in combined market capitalisation as of April.

For a country where real estate is arguably the single most popular store of household wealth, that is a strikingly small footprint for the one vehicle designed to let ordinary investors hold it formally, through a regulated channel.

Part of the reason is that Pakistanis love investing in real real estate. It is the single biggest aspiration of people to buy and own a tangible piece of land. And not just for primary homes but also a secondary or tertiary piece of land to secure their capital.

And while a REIT may not be as tangible as a physical piece of land, it is definitely a strong competitor of the infamous “file” in the real estate sector (which is also not a tangible piece of land). The money that goes into the file is precisely what the SECP is coming after.

The gap between how Pakistanis actually invest in land-based property and how the regulated REIT market lets them do it is the problem this reform package is most directly aimed at closing.


What are REITs?

A REIT takes a real estate project and turns it into something that can be owned collectively by investors. Instead of one developer holding the entire project, the property is placed inside a regulated structure and divided into units. Investors buy those units, while the money raised is used to acquire, develop or operate the underlying real estate. Returns then come from whatever the property generates, whether through sales, rent or an increase in value.

Under Pakistan’s REIT Regulations, 2022, the project is managed through a licensed REIT Management Company and operates under SECP oversight. That gives the structure more formal governance, disclosure and valuation requirements than a conventional property development. Publicly offered REITs can also bring ordinary investors into projects through units rather than requiring them to buy an entire plot, apartment or building themselves.

The important distinction is that buying a REIT unit is not the same as buying a piece of property directly. The investor owns a stake in the scheme that owns or develops the property. That makes real estate easier to divide among investors and, in listed structures, potentially easier to buy and sell, while leaving investors exposed to the same basic risks of construction, pricing, demand and property values.


REITs as plots

The single biggest shift in the draft amendment is that Investment-based REITs funds, built to buy property purely for capital gain, will now be allowed to invest in vacant land and plots, something the regulations previously excluded outright.

The catch is a mandatory minimum one-year holding period before any plot can be sold, meant to stop REITs from becoming vehicles for the same fast, speculative flipping that already defines much of the informal plot market and file trading.

This matters because plot-buying, not rental towers or shopping malls, is the default way most Pakistanis who invest in real estate actually do it. Usually it is done informally, in cash, and in housing schemes with little documentation.


By letting a regulated REIT hold that same asset class, SECP is effectively trying to offer a formal substitute for the country's dominant real estate habit, rather than asking investors to adopt an unfamiliar one. If it works, it is the clearest path to REITs actually growing beyond Rs82.7 billion (current market cap), because it taps into an existing appetite instead of manufacturing a new one.

But how are REITs better than plots?

REIT vs Plot

One key difference is that a plot or a file can sit idle for years, producing nothing while its price is set through a thin, opaque market with little public data. The price can sometimes fall or sometimes appreciate so slowly that the point of investing in that land becomes moot. And most importantly, a lot of the rise and fall in plot prices is based on hearsay, word-of-mouth campaigns, a dazzling launch event, and often the good old rumour mill.

Once land sits inside a REIT, however, its value is pulled into a more visible financial system. Its pricing becomes more transparent, ownership is documented, transactions leave a trail, and the asset is managed under rules that discourage indefinite speculative holding. The land itself is still unchanged, but the way it behaves in the economy is not.

That could matter for Pakistan’s wider property market. If REITs own a sizable share of plots, land prices may increasingly be influenced by reported valuations, rental yields, development potential and market disclosures rather than only dealer networks and informal expectations.

Over time, that could create clearer benchmarks for what land is actually worth and make it harder for large parts of the market to operate entirely through undocumented cash transactions.

Another clear distinction for the state is that REIT purchases also require money to enter through formal financial channels, creating a barrier that the traditional plot-and-file market largely lacks.


The effect of that however, should not be overstated. REITs will not eliminate black money, speculative behaviour or under-declaration across the property market, especially while most land remains outside regulated structures.

But they can shift a portion of real estate away from being a passive store of wealth and towards being a priced, disclosed and professionally managed asset. If that share becomes large enough, the bigger change may be that REITs begin setting reference prices for the very plots and projects that trade outside of them.

Coming back to the amendments at hand, there are a few others in the requirements for what construes a REIT. REITs are required to prove each year that a set share of their income and assets is genuinely tied to real estate. That threshold will drop from 75 percent to 65 percent across every REIT type. SECP's own stated reasoning is to let funds invest in and earn income from "digital infrastructure and other ancillary real estate assets".

This is a kind of data-centre and telecom-adjacent holding that have become a major REIT category globally but wouldn't have passed a stricter test locally. Real estate still has to be the clear majority of the fund and this proposed amendment can just widen the margins around it. While some may argue that at 65% the REIT will fail its purity test, others will have


A door to institutional money state land

Group-level trusts and employee funds, provident and pension funds belonging to the same corporate family as a REIT's management company, will now be allowed to invest in unlisted REIT schemes, something previously reserved for listed ones over liquidity and oversight concerns. It is a narrow channel, limited to a sponsor's own corporate group, but it is new institutional capital that unlisted REITs will now have access to.

Separately, REIT managers acquiring property from government entities, state-owned companies or development authorities will be able to treat a signed, irrevocable sale agreement as sufficient compliance with transfer deadlines, even where the actual government-side paperwork lags.

Given how slow land transfers involving Pakistani state bodies typically are, this is a direct fix aimed at making REITs a workable vehicle for monetising public land and buildings, relevant at a moment when asset liquidation, and selling off underperforming state entities is a live fiscal priority for the current regime.


Softer edges everywhere else

The rest of the amendment package is about removing friction rather than opening new markets. For example, REITs will be able to borrow from their own sponsors and directors for up to 36 months instead of 24, giving development-stage schemes more room before related-party debt comes due, though unitholders still have to approve any such loan by special resolution.

Rental and Investment-based REITs facing genuine delays outside their control can now apply for up to a one-year extension on their listing deadline, rather than being forced into breach by market timing they don't control. A separate clarification confirms that Hybrid REITs, i,e; schemes combining a capital-gain component with a rental one, can now earn rental income on properties during the holding period, rather than those assets sitting idle while the fund waits out its one-year plot restriction.

Of course, none of this is finalised. The amendments are open for public comment before SECP moves to adopt them, and nothing here forces any REIT to actually launch. What the package does is remove a specific, identifiable set of obstacles. These include the plot ban, the strict real estate purity test, the narrow investor base, and the tight borrowing and listing clocks. All these obstacles can in part explain why a market this old, based on Pakistan's favourite asset class, has remained this small.


Whether Pakistan's REIT sector actually grows past six listings and Rs82.7 billion now depends on whether investors can treat a REIT holding a plot the same way they've always treated the plot itself. But to be fair, the very reason the government is now showing interest in empty land REITs, is precisely the reason it remains Pakistan's cash-based capital's favourite asset class. And changing the name would not make the REIT beneficial for a plot’s intended clientele. However, what it does is give the formal customer a reasonable and clean alternative.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Country Watch Latest

Back
Top