Hezbollah-Israel Conflict 2024 - Lebanon & Occupied Palestine Territories

[Mobius]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1838261083569533021

 

[That_Guy]

That is a very good point.

The Zionists have had a year with the help of their US/UK allies to gather as much intelligence as possible.

As Hezbollah has shown evidence of huge underground tunnels where they can store their weapons and also they will disperse as much as possible, it is unlikely they have lost 10s of thousands of rockets and missiles but thousands is entirely possible.

Next 2-3 days will show whether Hezbollah has any real fight in them.

Even thousands is a massive loss.

If we're to take independent analysis and claims from Iran and Hezbullah seriously, then Hezbullah has anywhere between 500,000 to 1,000,000 rockets. Thousands of losses is a huge dent. You also are losing people who have been trained to use those rockets effectively.

Unless Hezbullah responds in force, Israel will just keep destroying Hezbullah's arsenal without facing any real threat.

Of course Hezbullah would risk an Israeli invasion, but it's high time for them to realize that it was going to happen anyway, so they may as well choose the terms of engagement themselves, instead of letting Israel dictate the circumstances.

 

[FHN]

You don't have to question anything, you just have to stop being so excitable

Hezbollah has been hitting Israel is for a year, northern Israel is empty because of Hezbollah

Hezbollah is a irregular militia, so expecting them to suddenly spring out as if they are a massive military is stupid

The vast majority of their fighters have been trained to fight a ground invasion ergo the majority of their fighters are currently not involved in any conflict, as it's the starting of a shooting match

In this shooting match, Israel will ALWAYS have the massive advantage being funded and supplied by the USA with a functional air force



Thus far Hezbollah has fired thousands of rockets over the last year

They do have larger missiles and rockets, but nothing that can't be stopped by A.D
so it's VERY LIKELY they would want and need to deplete Israeli A.D before they start using bigger missiles with other resistance forces joining in

In the meantime their is still a partial risk of a ground invasion, as a result Hezbollah will still be reasonably conservative

This conflict will be brutal and will continue for decades until Israel is finally gone,

Again how is Israel going to be destroyed when hezbollah can't put a dent in Israel defense systems. There's no reason to be conservative would you want your ammunition depots to be destroyed by Israel slowly? Israel will last for as long as the West support them .

 

[GoatsMilk]

Israel will conquer their enemy one by one, Iran, Turkey all will be conquered by Israel one by one and no one make it a collective Muslim countries attack. Unfortunately.

The Palestinians for most of history have been against Turkiye. They have supported the Greeks in their murder of the Turkish Cypriots. They helped train the PKK, they have supported Armenian imperial allegations against Turkey. In the east med in which the collective west including the arab nations like egypt are trying to shut Turkiye in they have sided with.

This is not even to mention that the Arab betrayal of the Ottoman Turks is the reason they are in this hell right now. Maybe this is Allah's punishment.

Can you imagine the Turks spent a thousand years fighting the Europeans indirectly keeping the Muslim world safe, only for Muslims in the Turks darkest hour to side with the European invaders? Allah is no fool, whatever is happening now is because it is deserved.

BTW the Russians already conquered plenty of Muslim lands, the Chinese done the same recently, they dont care about it. Why would anyone care enough about arabs to risk their nation over it? They never cried for anyone else's suffering.

Not to mention the palestinians themselves have a bad reputation in the arab world betraying anyone who ever helped them or gave refuge to them.

Arabs number hundreds of millions and surround the tiny state, they have trillions in energy revenues, its time they get off their arses and do something and stop being collective cowards. The religion doesnt teach them to have riyad season where they piss billions away on westerners for entertainment. Hundreds of millions to pay a spent footballer like ronaldo, but no real work to help their own people.

Oct 7th was dumb, well you cant expect good things from stupid actions. Thats not how the world works.

Oh btw the arabs are taught in their own schools and TV shows that the Ottomans were evil occupiers. Today they see the reality of what an evil occupation looks like.

 

[FHN]

Even thousands is a massive loss.

If we're to take independent analysis and claims from Iran and Hezbullah seriously, then Hezbullah has anywhere between 500,000 to 1,000,000 rockets. Thousands of losses is a huge dent. You also are losing people who have been trained to use those rockets effectively.

Unless Hezbullah responds in force, Israel will just keep destroying Hezbullah's arsenal without facing any real threat.

Of course Hezbullah would risk an Israeli invasion, but it's high time for them to realize that it was going to happen anyway, so they may as well choose the terms of engagement themselves, instead of letting Israel dictate the circumstances.

 

[lightning f57]

Again how is Israel going to be destroyed when hezbollah can't put a dent in Israel defense systems. There's no reason to be conservative would you want your ammunition depots to be destroyed by Israel slowly? Israel will last for as long as the West support them .
View attachment 66601

Thats interesting Pakistan is not even on the Map but mighty economic power India is.

 

[silicon0000]

The Palestinians for most of history have been against Turkiye. They have supported the Greeks in their murder of the Turkish Cypriots. They helped train the PKK, they have supported Armenian imperial allegations against Turkey. In the east med in which the collective west including the arab nations like egypt are trying to shut Turkiye in they have sided with.

This is not even to mention that the Arab betrayal of the Ottoman Turks is the reason they are in this hell right now. Maybe this is Allah's punishment.

Can you imagine the Turks spent a thousand years fighting the Europeans indirectly keeping the Muslim world safe, only for Muslims in the Turks darkest hour to side with the European invaders? Allah is no fool, whatever is happening now is because it is deserved.

BTW the Russians already conquered plenty of Muslim lands, the Chinese done the same recently, they dont care about it. Why would anyone care enough about arabs to risk their nation over it? They never cried for anyone else's suffering.

What you are saying might be right but definitely not at the right time. Israel can't fight with all but one by one even with US, UK, French and other western countries support. And Muslim Countries are helping Israel in doing this. When Gaza was under war, Hezbollah was sleeping, Not it's their turn and then some other Iran proxy then Iran then turkey then Arabs all going down one by one and we only say they didn't support us in past and they did this in past.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Even thousands is a massive loss.

If we're to take independent analysis and claims from Iran and Hezbullah seriously, then Hezbullah has anywhere between 500,000 to 1,000,000 rockets. Thousands of losses is a huge dent. You also are losing people who have been trained to use those rockets effectively.

Unless Hezbullah responds in force, Israel will just keep destroying Hezbullah's arsenal without facing any real threat.

Of course Hezbullah would risk an Israeli invasion, but it's high time for them to realize that it was going to happen anyway, so they may as well choose the terms of engagement themselves, instead of letting Israel dictate the circumstances.

correct

now is the time for Hezbollah to use it or lose it ...

 

[hussain0216]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1838261083569533021

Israel does not have the forces to permanently occupy Lebanon, it's a invasion and they would be a occupational force

They had endless problems in previous decades and now more sophisticated weaponry can be used against a occupational force

Gaza is different, because the Gazans cannot resupply without access to the Philadelphia corridor, that's why Israel is so desperate to occupy it

But the population of Gaza is too large, with not enough room for Jews so a occupation to bring in Jews is stupid, however a occupation by soldiers is possible and it depends on how much resources Hamas/Gazans still have to target Israeli soldiers

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hezbollah's military elite has simply been wiped out in recent months

The head of the military formation ("the chief of staff") Fuad Shekar,
Commander of the eastern sector Taleb Abdullah (Abu Taleb),
The commander of the "Aziz" unit and the western sector, Mohammad Naama Nasser,
and Force Commander Redwan and Sam Toil.

They are now joined by Ebrahim Akil, the head of the Operations Division and the actual replacement of Fuad Shekar.
View attachment 66596
No matter how u see it hezbollah is in a losing position. They have to decide soon whether to go on a full scale war or slowly getting picked apart.

bottom right is Ali Karaki. Israel tried to assassinate him in south Lebanon today but the attempt failed

 

[FHN]

US Arms & Weaponry delivery will continue to flow to Israel.

Biden administration approves $20 billion in weapons, aircraft sales to Israel

The U.S. approved $20 billion in arms sales to Israel on Tuesday, including scores of fighter jets and advanced air-to-air missiles, as Hamas said it wouldn't be attending Thursday's cease-fire talks.

www.cbsnews.com

I'm sorry but hezbollah needs to rethink about its strategies. Would u still want to play conservative with Israel knowing a ground invasion is imminent. If u are going to fight til the end then might as well make the first move. Don't be like the Iraqi forces during the Gulf war sitting idle do nothing and get bombed to pieces.

 

[BHAN85]

If Iran were under attack, Hezbollah would be defending them.

But Hezbollah is under massive attack, and what does their partner Iran? Nothing

 

[hussain0216]

Again how is Israel going to be destroyed when hezbollah can't put a dent in Israel defense systems. There's no reason to be conservative would you want your ammunition depots to be destroyed by Israel slowly? Israel will last for as long as the West support them .
View attachment 66601

At one point Lebanon was about 60% Christian
It was supposed to be a 'Christian Israel'

Today it's about 30-35% Christian and falling, with Lebanese Muslims of different types with a higher birth rate

It took many decades and war including Israeli occupation and attack backed by the west to turn the situation around in Lebanon and it's never going back

Israels defeat is NOT because the Arab states will suddenly grow a spine, although we can hope

It's because they face a demographic defeat
TODAY in 2024 the Palestinian/Arab population across Israel, Gaza and the west bank has exceeded the Jew population AFTER 75 YEARS SINCE THE NAKBA

That's a massive deal, the average age of the Palestinians is 19 so they are heading towards marriage and children, so over the coming decades the Palestinian population will become a increasing majority, whilst the Jews grow older

THIS is why Israel is so eager to ethnically cleanse the Palestinians, remove them from the land a d hope someone else takes them
It's why they make life so tough for Palestinians so they will willingly LEAVE

Because EVEN IF THEY BECOME FRIENDS WITH PALESTINIANS, gradually the situation ends the same with a Palestinian/Arab majority and worse still it might kill the Jews state from within

It's why Israel can't agree to two state solution, or one state solution and wants full control with Arabs preferably gone or stuck in limbo in ghettos

But ALL OF THAT is difficult for Israel, all it's done is take on trapped Palestinians and now Hezbollah both irregular forces

 

[BHAN85]

so many high ranking members of hezbollah got eliminated through Israel aggressive bombings. When is the right time to strike or is hezbollah just an empty shell? Now we have to question How much firepower does Hezbollah have in its arsenal?

That firepower was given by Iran to defend Iran.

Maybe they even dont have permission to use for defend themselves.

 

[BHAN85]

Iran partners like Iraqi militias and Yemen Houthi must learn right now what Iran does when their friends are under attack: Dont give a shit.