basic measures for Hezbollah:
- avoid in-person meetings of commanders in groups of more than 2-4. if they must happen, do it underground in tunnel networks.
- avoid top commanders having any presence in major cities. they need to be based in fortified underground tunnel networks, only coming out when absolutely necessary. avoid giving the enemy easy victories.
- if rockets are based in soft locations, consider firing them ASAP. at least draw from these inventories first going forward as they are the least survivable. use it or lose it.
- give each local unit more autonomy. communication and command structure may be degraded as the war goes on so each unit cannot be overly reliant on central command.
- use new forms of attack that the enemy does not expect. mass UAV attack against floating gas rigs. mass cruise missile and drone attack against navy patrol boats. with some luck, one missile against a defenceless patrol boat can do more damage than 100 unguided rockets to Haifa.
- do not expect long gaps in the fighting. avoid complex plans. keep things simple and consistent.
- current exchanges heavily favour Israel. do not give Israel time to degrade your capabilities before launching inevitable ground operation. force Israel to make this move sooner by escalating with major missile operations against Haifa and Tel Aviv every day. make them fight to your timeline for once.
