How China blew up its own future

VCheng

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This video is worth watching, for the simple reason that it highlights the importance of demographic trends, and why the current narrative of China replacing USA is not likely to happen in the latter half of this century. It will be a very different world based just upon demographic changes alone in many important ways.

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The demise of USA as a superpower that many like to predict so passionately on PDF may just be an exaggeration. :D
 
Source:
Max Fisher and Johnny Harris
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It will be replaced by AI and robot.

That's what they are building right now.
 
AI and robot will bring a new economy system.

Over workers, over productions, that's the problem when AI and robot arrived.
 
This video is worth watching, for the simple reason that it highlights the importance of demographic trends, and why the current narrative of China replacing USA is not likely to happen in the latter half of this century. It will be a very different world based just upon demographic changes alone in many important ways.

To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.


The demise of USA as a superpower that many like to predict so passionately on PDF may just be an exaggeration. :D


The US will remain the global hyperpower and hegemon:

- Economically dominant with GDP likely exceeding $100T in the next 30-40 years
- Dominant science and tech base, with the best companies in the world at a $77T market capitalization today
- Militarily dominant as recently displayed in Iran and Venezuela
- Best universities in the world
- Global energy hegemon

The US is relatively stronger today versus its adversaries and the rest of the world than 5+ years ago and pre Covid:

- Post Covid the US has seen an economic and productivity boom. It’s running away from the rest of the world with China just trying to keep up
- Russia is buried in Ukraine, Venezuela is US captured, Iran is at its weakest point ever, Syria is run by a CIA asset, and Cuba can’t even keep the lights on for more than 2 hours.
- China has been exposed as weak, incapable of countering US global geopolitical plays across South America and the Middle East and now on Day 51 of its oil being blockaded by the US Navy and failing to respond, and being encircled by the US and its allies in the Western Pacific.

The US is stronger than it’s ever been, and relatively stronger than at any point outside the immediate post WW2 and Cold War space.
 
For a reason, the Pak Deep State doesn't go head-on against the USA. And, it's a great policy to gain smart and prudent maneuverability dynamically spanned over Time and Space, which aren't without their ONE and ONLY ONE MASTER.....
 
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It will be replaced by AI and robot.

That's what they are building right now.

So all you have is HOPIUM .......

AI and robot will bring a new economy system.

Over workers, over productions, that's the problem when AI and robot arrived.

.... and an extra dose of the same HOPIUM.

Okay then, problem solved. :D
 
Epstein class cabal being cheerled by the plebes 😆. Chaynaaaa baaaaad 😄.
 
So all you have is HOPIUM .......



.... and an extra dose of the same HOPIUM.

Okay then, problem solved. :D

You are not making a healthy discussion.

I think you are bullying.
 
You are not making a healthy discussion.

I think you are bullying.

No, I am on topic, which is the effect of demographics on the future of nations and their relative balance. It is your comment that is utterly useless.
 
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The topic is about China and the future.

Discussions about the US and Iran / Venezuela / Syria / name your country here, China is weak, and Russia is bogged down in Ukraine belong in their respective dedicated threads.

Same with references to the Epstein files.
 
The US will remain the global hyperpower and hegemon:

USA cannot take its leadership for granted, and it must work harder and smarter to maintain its lead.

What is important here is to realize that favorable or adverse long term demographic changes can make this job easier or harder.

USA cannot stop immigration totally to help its demographic trends, but it has a long history of keeping that process going since its creation.

But China has a far deeper problem, as the video states towards the end: It can either maintain its authoritarian system, but destroy its long term demographics, or it can relinquish it for a more open system that will attract immigrants.

It cannot do both.
 
I'm laughing my head off at the triumphalist comments here.

It's worth highlighting precisely here that one of the central elements of the contemporary geopolitical transition emerges. Emerging powers negotiate patiently; declining hegemonies react with anxiety.

The current international scenario no longer reflects the old "unipolar moment" of the post-Cold War period. On the contrary, it demonstrates the progressive exhaustion of Western unilateralism and the advance of an increasingly multipolar, competitive, and unstable international system.

For decades, the United States attempted to consolidate a global order based on: financial supremacy, maritime dominance, technological superiority, expeditionary military capacity, and political control of international institutions.

The fall of the Soviet Union led some intellectuals, such as Francis Fukuyama, to proclaim the "end of history," that is, the definitive victory of the Western liberal model as the inevitable destiny of humanity.

Meanwhile, think tanks like the Project for the New American Century developed doctrines aimed at indefinitely preserving the global hegemony of the US that emerged after 1989. Preemptive wars, color revolutions, NATO expansion, and successive military interventions largely served this strategic objective.

However, historical reality followed a different path.

China not only resisted Western containment but also achieved systemic parity with the United States in multiple dimensions: industrial, technological, commercial, and geopolitical. The Washington Post itself recently acknowledged that the Trump-Xi summit symbolized something Washington had tried to avoid for decades: the recognition of China as a power equivalent to the United States. Julian Gewirtz, former advisor on China at the National Security Council during the Biden administration, even stated that “there is no turning back.” This recognition constitutes a historical event of enormous magnitude.

Because the real strategic problem for Washington is not just the economic rise of China. What is truly at stake is the end of the United States' ability to act as the absolute arbiter of the international system.

And therein lies the deeper issue: unilateralism can no longer be materially sustained. This is not merely an ideological or diplomatic crisis. It is a structural transformation of the global balance of power.

China has reached critical mass in industry and technology. Russia maintains strategic depth, energy resources, and military capabilities. The BRICS are progressively expanding their influence. Eurasia is strengthening its economic integration. And the West is slowly losing the financial and productive monopoly that has sustained its global dominance for decades. In this context, the partnership between Moscow and Beijing assumes decisive importance.

Classical geopolitics reappears here with perfect clarity.

From Halford Mackinder to Zbigniew Brzezinski, the great historical concern of the Anglo-Saxon maritime powers has always been to prevent the strategic integration of Eurasia. The convergence of Russia's territorial extent, China's industrial capacity, and continental energy connectivity profoundly alters this historical balance.

This is why the energy issue has acquired fundamental centrality. While the United States attempts to preserve its thalassocratic hegemony by controlling maritime control points – the Straits of Hormuz, Malacca, Suez, and Bab el-Mandeb – China and Russia are advancing with alternative mechanisms of continental integration less vulnerable to a Western naval blockade. Energy is, therefore, once again becoming one of the true strategic centers of gravity of the contemporary international system.

In this sense, the reflections of Professor John Mearsheimer are particularly relevant. The leading proponent of offensive realism has argued for years that the “unipolar moment” is over and that the international system has returned to being structured around competition between great powers.

Mearsheimer warned early on that Western expansion after the Cold War – especially the expansion of NATO – would inevitably generate tensions with Russia and accelerate the return of a balance of power logic.

But perhaps his most important observation is another: the very process of globalization driven by the West ended up strengthening precisely the United States' main systemic competitor. Global economic integration did not contain China: it industrialized, financed, and strengthened it.
 

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