r3alist
Elite Member
Study in 'relative' terms. Yes, Pakistan has a lot more to lose than Gazans/Yemenis but India will have much larger to lose than Pakistan: Decades of India's growth, business confidence, investors, foreign interests, tourism etc would be lost. Advantage China.
BTW, I have yet to advocate in this thread that Pakistan to launch some pre-emptive strike. I have carefully used 'if push comes to shove' like caveats. BUT I have suggested a strategy to conduct that full war, should it happen, in such a way to avoid the nuclear threshold, which will be a modified version of Operation Gibraltar 1965 except this time the options for Pakistan would be in a 'do or die' situation and this time there will be much more support in IOK. And I stand by that strategy.
Pakistan would suffer multiples more, they won't be able to get near most economic centres
And India is integrated into global supply chains, it's a systemically important country globally and the world will not tolerate prolonged disruption and 1.6 billion south Asians more backwards than they were before
In this scenario, you end up at the same place afterward.....focus on your growth and development and society again
As soon as Pakistan becomes a more robust state socially and economically, it's game over for India, they can't undo a nuclear armed strong military and internally strong nation , they won't bother as much
Their major strategy here is to make it so dysfunctional and internally chaotic that it splits de facto if not de jure, internal and external pressure
Being so openly pro bla and Taliban they are advocating all the sanghis to push the agenda
If for example internal infrastructure can be built to negate adverse manipulation of ivt they will have to be even more blatant to make water an issue
The essence of the struggle here is consistent planning, implementation and robustness of your nation....it's just that Pakistanis don't do this as a matter of normal practice and habit so go to war scenarios



