Hayabusa
Registered Member
Agreed.A ceasefire only makes sense for Iran if it intends to do something about US/Israeli air dominance during the ceasefire period.
Otherwise the momentum is with Iran as it can tolerate much more pain than the Israelis can. Giving Israel the opportunity to restock the Iron Done when it's precision has dropped to about 40-60% is a gods send for Bibi.
However Tehran should be under no illusion (as it will be totally aware) that ceasefires hold no value for the Israelis, and as soon as they are replenished they will start attacking Iran again.
This is my biggest worry for the Iranians. They shouldn't start celebrating yet but to use this opportunity to weed out moles, get their remaining AD systems online and prepare their missile launchers for immediate retaliation to any Israel's misadventure.
This is technically a second chance at the leadership's survival. They have shown great resilience to resist their leadership from being overthrown and are therefore a winner in this conflict, but only by a very small margin. Any failure to amend the mistakes could be their last.







