Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[tsunset]

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https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-air-defense-362826e3?mod=world_lead_pos3

As I stated weeks ago, Israel was intercepting 85-90% of Iranian ballistic missiles.

65% against Scud-B

What a performance

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

44%. Real Israeli interception rate was 44%.

interception rate cannot go above 50%
2 for 1.

 

[ShapurII]

The US will send Ukraine 5 patriot systems.
@Persian Gulf

interception rate cannot go above 50%
2 for 1.

44% excluding how many missiles were fired at each target individually.
If we want to include that, it will probably drop below 10% but nobody calculates it that way.

 

[Cash gk]

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[nang2]

Ironically the region would be much safer if everyone had nukes.

All nuclear states know that. But they are selfish, too. So they try to fool others with NPT.

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

The US will send Ukraine 5 patriot systems.
@Persian Gulf


44% excluding how many missiles were fired at each target individually.
If we want to include that, it will probably drop below 10% but nobody calculates it that way.

there was more than 1 country intercepting them
so, interception rates overly bloated.


col. mcgregor has said many times, 2 interceptor missiles for 1 BM.
all else just lies, you add more countries 50% increases to 88%.
and since BM coming in after interception so even 44% is over hyped, as it would change IR firing behavior!

basic science!

 

[tsunset]

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So give us:

140 J-10C (non export version) with PL-15 and guided bombs
104 J-16
50 J-20 with PL-21+PL-17
35 J-35
12 H-6 bombers

+

25 battalions of HQ-9B
8 battalions of HQ-19
17 battalions of HQ-22
20 battalions of HQ-16

 

[nang2]

So give us:

140 J-10C (non export version) with PL-15 and guided bombs
104 J-16
50 J-20 with PL-21+PL-17
35 J-35
12 H-6 bombers

+

25 battalions of HQ-9B
8 battalions of HQ-19
17 battalions of HQ-22
20 battalions of HQ-16

It would be easier that PLA, PLAAF and PLAN station inside Iran, like US does in Japan.

 

[ShapurII]

there was more than 1 country intercepting them
so, interception rates overly bloated.


col. mcgregor has said many times, 2 interceptor missiles for 1 BM.
all else just lies, you add more countries 50% increases to 88%.
and since BM coming in after interception so even 44% is over hyped, as it would change IR firing behavior!

basic science!

It's quite simple.

44% of Iranian missiles were "intercepted".
56% of Iranian missiles went through.

It doesn't matter how many SAMs were fired at each missile, it doesn't matter how many countries participated in the interception. 56% of Iranian missiles went through every layer of IADS that US/NATO/Israel had in the Middle East.

 

[nang2]

It's quite simple.

44% of Iranian missiles were "intercepted".
66% of Iranian missiles went through.

It doesn't matter how many SAMs were fired at each missile, it doesn't matter how many countries participated in the interception. 66% of Iranian missiles went through every layer of IADS that US/NATO/Israel had in the Middle East.

Where do that extra 10% come from? 44 + 66 = 110.

 

[ShapurII]

Where do that extra 10% come from? 44 + 66 = 110.

My poor math skills when I listen to music and type

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

My poor math skills when I listen to music and type

that assumes all interception were done by only the entity..
(which is wrong!)

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

that assumes all interception were done by only the entity..
(which is wrong!)

Indeed if we count all the interceptions by Jordan, US navy, France, UK etc.. I think the interception rate will be 25%

 

[ShapurII]

that assumes all interception were done by only the entity..
(which is wrong!)

It has nothing to do with who attempted to intercept it. It's defined much simpler than that.
%intercepted = #number of missiles shot down / #number of missiles fired.
Obviously, %intercepted + %non-intercepted = 100%.

You can tweak this to come up with a better definition that includes different levels of AD for the overall performance of an IADS, but that's just a different definition.

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

It has nothing to do with who attempted to intercept it. It's defined much simpler than that.
%intercepted = #number of missiles shot down / #number of missiles fired.
Obviously, %intercepted + %non-intercepted = 100%.

have you understood all the Alien franchise parts?!

can you tell the difference between molten steel and mercury just by looking at them?

if no, then please think again!