No backroom deals etc. The reason Iran got out of this war, at least in April, with confidence, was because America's plans didn't work. They wanted Iran to collapse within a short period and it didn't. Not only that, it also closed Hormuz, which is very much 'closed' with Iran allowing certain ships through. The US didn't 'sneak' any ships past, there were no dozens or hundreds of ships passing, all nonsense. Trump is using New York ghetto manipulation and negotiation tactics.
So I think the US was going for plan B, try economic starvation through blockade, test Iran's resilience and see if there is another way of achieving total collapse of the state. Can they? Through bombing 'all civilian targets'? They could perhaps. But Iran can (and the us knows this) blow everything in the persian gulf to the next world, and then the world will immediately decouple from the us in every single way. They will all join the Asian century. So I think the US won't do this. And, bombing some targets along the strait coastline of Iran will not stop Iran's power of droning, artillery-ing, and missile-ing any commercial ship trying to pass.
And ground forces on Iranian soil or even islands? Armenia conquiering Turkey has a bigger chance of happening. Stop the stories.
The facts are what they are. Never mind oil futures prices, they are manipulated. Right now, buying a barrel of oil will set you back 150 dollars, anywhere in the world. Even Exxon selling a barrel in the US. Never mind natural gas is even worse, or fertilizer and jet fuel.
The war of february/march/april is now fully and universally understood to have been a failure, failing to achieve any stated objective. This is not only the consensus in all the media and alternative media, it's also what you can read between the lines, with European cucks even cursing Donals for going in (like Merz).
The question is will the US go for another 'decisive blow', or will they have to accept that their position in the persian gulf is now weaker. Combined with the global decline of the us and the west, their position will further weaken in the persian gulf.
Alistair Crooke says Israel needs to go back to Ben Gurion days: stay within it's means. Be strong, but small and don't antagonize the entire region and try to subdue public opinion in middle eastern countries through dictatorships. Those aren't future proof as we know.