Here is a bit more realistic take about the 3 islands that sit in the middle of the Strait and enable Iran to exert control. That is all this war has boiled down to now, who controls the Strait. Forget about the orginal objectives of regime change, nuke program blah blah.
I respect Mr. Parsi a lot and I always pay attention to his remarks, but what I was referring to isn't something that's going to occur tomorrow or next week.
The US doesn't go in all at once. They have learned their lessons from Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam. Instead, they take small, calculated steps in executing their strategy for Iran. When I mention the US taking control of Iranian oil fields, it doesn't imply that American forces will physically seize the area by next Saturday. It simply indicates that they will eventually gain control over the wells, the flow of oil, the wealth, and the markets.
They might begin with one of the Iranian islands they consider strategic to capture and manage the Strait of Hormuz. After that, they could propose a phony ceasefire, a memorandum of understanding, or a multinational agreement to halt the conflict and observe how the Iranian leadership responds, while continuously adjusting their approach. There could also be internal strife in Tehran afterward, meaning a "civil war" in the higher echelons of Iranian decision-making circles.
Or, equally possible, intensified military actions by the IRGC, but the ultimate US aim is to seize Iranian wealth. Attack, block, cease, capture.
Trump explicitly stated that all Iranian wealth belongs to them - and I believe that his comment about Iranian civilization wasn't just a slip of the tongue either but a revelation of his true intentions.
In fact, he made the same statemens for months now:
“With a little more time, we can easily OPEN THE HORMUZ STRAIT, TAKE THE OIL, & MAKE A FORTUNE,” the US president wrote in a social media post on Friday.
What causes you to doubt your enemy when he explicitly reveals his intentions towards you?
Dismantling the Iranian union and state will naturally lead to control over Iranian resources; they will undoubtedly try to undermine Iran's unity. It would be foolish of them not to attempt this. The potential rewards are too tempting, and the return on investment is too high.
After a certain stage in the escalation/war events, even complete capitulation will not rescue our neighbors. I believe that the majority of Iranians recognize this danger, which is why even pro-IRI groups are beginning to oppose the existing leadership. They are too passive.
You all keep up with the ongoing battle daily but seem to overlook the larger picture.
