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Well, Iraq got made and threw everything at it. So did Libya and so did Syria.... So it is Iran's job to prove him wrong and enforce peace via overwhelming force to show him what Iran is capable of and how they won't like it when Iran gets really......MAD!
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I do think he will attack, as early as today/tonight(UK time) after NYK trading close.
The best approach for Iran would be for some of the firebrands in the leadership to resign.
You need to consider Zion as a large US military base in Western Asia instead of it being some Middle Eastern country.The whole build up against Iran is on the wishes of Israel. Otherwise, Iran pose zero security risk or challenges for the United States. US should have no problem with Iran ...
In theory you are right, in reality those kurdish militants would be crashed and engaged by iraqi shia militas first.This is the aspect that many people are either ignoring or simply do not realize. It doesn't necessarily need to be American boots present on the ground.
The US is planning to deploy PKK terrorists from Syria and Iraq to Iran, effectively transforming the nearby KRG/Northern Iraq into a sanctuary for these terrorists. Equipping them, training them, supplying intelligence, and bolstering their presence in KRG while continuously moving them in and out of Iraq to assassinate, attack, and displace Iranian security forces from NW Iran.
Unfortunately, the border between Iraq and Iran is quite porous, which has been somewhat advantageous for Iran for the past couple decades.
The IRI leadership has overlooked border security for strategic purposes, which I believe was a significant mistake. A semi-permeable border strategy would have been much more sensible and aligned with Iran's true interests.
Containing such a rebellion in the Zagros Mountains is incredibly challenging, expensive, and bloody -not only for Iran but for any country. It encompasses a vast area and serves as a potential leverage point to exert pressure on Iran's leadership whenever the US find it necessary.
I'm convinced that behind closed doors Washington is counting much more on PKK/PJAK than on a popular uprising after an initial attack on Iran.
That is a statement that is impossible for me to comment upon, since it is only hypothetical at this point, and I have no idea whether his posture would be any different than the current one.
That is like me saying that things would be more peaceful with Iran if Mike Johnson becomes the President. How does one say anything to that?
Buuut...its also "better to fight and die than to just die".First rule of war is to never start a war you cannot win. The second rule is to never underestimate your enemy and should be considered as part of the 1st rule.
I am speaking based on evidence and trends--not hypothesis.
the Kurds are in the north and Iraqi Shia are in the south. There aren't big chances the Iraqi Shia militias will be allowed to move north via the Iraqi Sunni territory to deal with any anti Iran Kurdish militants, even if Nouri Maliki is PM. There remains too much bad blood and suspicion between Iraqi communities.Can you remember
In theory you are right, in reality those kurdish militants would be crashed and engaged by iraqi shia militas first.
Iran has more than enough foot soldiers for that kind of threats.
Please do share any evidence of what JD's policies might be with regards to Iran.