Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Japan experiences a triple kill in stocks, bonds, and forex. Reposted from Flavio Marin on LinkedIn:“STRAIT OF HORMUZ BLOCKADE: WHY CHINA WILL NOT BE CONSTRAINEDA Hormuz closure is the scenario Western strategists cite most often when assessing China's energy vulnerability. The data says otherwise. China is prepared. Not partially. Not theoretically. Operationally prepared, right now, across every layer that matters.▌RESERVESChina holds 1.18 billion barrels of crude in onshore storage — a record high — plus five underground Strategic Petroleum Reserve facilities. Against a Hormuz-only supply loss of ~5 Mb/d, that is 236 days of cover. Enough time to execute a full industrial response with months to spare.▌COAL-TO-LIQUIDS: THE STRATEGIC BACKSTOPChina operates the world's largest Coal-to-Liquids complex — the Shenhua Ningxia plant, 100,000 barrels per day of Fischer-Tropsch synthetic fuel. Built in 39 months. With 98.5% domestic equipment. No foreign contractors. No imported gasifiers. Total CTL capacity currently under construction or commissioned: ~240,000 b/d, scaling to 360,000–580,000 b/d by 2030. Under a national emergency mandate, five Ningxia-scale plants can be built concurrently in 3–4 years.▌THE INFRASTRUCTURE IS ALREADY THEREThe Haoji Railway — world's longest heavy-haul coal line, running from Inner Mongolia directly into the Yangtze River basin — operates at 10% of its 200 Mt/year design capacity. The Yangtze provides effectively unlimited process water. Three Gorges Dam runs at partial load, its curtailed gigawatts available on demand. The Changji-Guquan UHVDC line carries 12 GW of Xinjiang power east across 3,324 km — already built, already running.▌DEMAND IS FALLING ANYWAYChina's EV fleet is displacing approximately 600,000 barrels per day of liquid fuel demand every year — and accelerating. The gap that Hormuz closure would open is closing organically, before any emergency measure is required.▌THE VERDICTEvery physical constraint — water, coal transport, product slate, geographic isolation of reserves — resolves when assessed against Chinese infrastructure realities. The Hormuz card, as a mechanism to constrain China, has been structurally neutralised.
 
Israel and the US are heading towards a major strategic defeat.

The Strait of Hormuz must remain closed indefinitely until ALL the sanctions on Iran and the Iranian people have been lifted.
 
I wish they attempt an amphibious landing or escort through Hormuz because I can't wait to see sunken US Navy ships, especially now that the US has sank Iranian Navy ships already, so it's payback time now.
 
I wish they attempt an amphibious landing or escort through Hormuz because I can't wait to see sunken US Navy ships, especially now that the US has sank Iranian Navy ships already, so it's payback time now.
May God Give Americans so much dumbness and ego that they actually do come to iranian coast for amphibious attacks and get hammered.
 
Apologies if this was posted earlier:



Two things. That missile impacting must be the second one. There is a dust cloud over the place that suggest that this was a second impact. I don't know if It was launched to maximize casualties (seems likely) or just to ensure the destruction of the target. Anyway it was a civil target and therefore a warcrime.

Second point. The missile didn't explode. Tomahawk has a big warhead. The impact should create a big shockwave and explosion, but just wipe out a lot of earth and no explosion. If that missile would explode, much more casualties would registered. 😞
 
The French aircraft carrier "Charles de Gaulle" sails from the Mediterranean to the Middle East without a carrier battle group.
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To watch the excitement, you have to squeeze your way to the front row.
 
I think that if Iran can keep up the economic damage for another week that Trump will be "finished" in the sense of his ability to accomplish anything outside of his pure Presidential powers. Conservatives, like me, who only supported him because the other choice was Kamala Harris, will want him "contained" by Congress and the Courts, so that his additional damage to us all is minimized until January 2029.

What Israel and the USA have done to Iran and the other nations of the Gulf is unconscionable. The destruction of lives and livelihoods for years to come is appalling. The attack on the girl's school in Minab should be investigated by the UN or ICC as a war crime.

Trump has forever sullied the honor of the US with this war of choice. It is even worse that George Bush's war on Iraq. Taken together, the US must, must step back from following Israel to hell. We must, must regain our belief in universal human rights, the rights of all humans to live in peace and to pursue prosperity.

Unfortunately, my good friend, the world doesn't function that way. You know, some animals tend to be considered greater than others. The Americans have set the standard, and this process didn't start with Trump but goes back decades due to established policies; he followed a pattern his predecessors had followed religiously.

One last thing I would like to get off my chest: do not further demean our honor and insult us further by asking for any investigations by the UN or ICC. Wanting accountability is a natural reaction. But the institutions you’re pointing to—the UN, the ICC—have shown time and again that they cannot act meaningfully when major powers are involved. Why even attempt to lead us down this winding path that leads to nowhere? If the deaths of over 70,000+ civilians in Gaza, and constant resupply of war articles to Israel, didn't move the needle, what makes you think this will?

How can you request something that you know can never be delivered?
 

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