Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Every sign point out to a long drawn out conflict in the middle east with increasing horizontal and vertical escalation and operational and strategic complexity. Iran is not surrendering anytime soon that is established, and can easily sustain the current operational tempo for 2 to 3 months at least. On the other hand, Epstein coalition has limited options and the plausible way forward for them seems to be capture of northern shores of strait of Hormuz ultimately extending to Pakistan Iran border.

Most importantly, patience of Saudi Arabia is wearing thin by the passing day and will surely be exhausted if Iran goes after Kingdom's oil infrastructure. This is the best case scenario for Israel and Netanyahu being at the helm of affairs will try his level best to burn the whole region to the ground.
War will be over in maximum 10 days.... lessons from Vietnam and Japan don't apply when it comes to Iran ..... Japan was an industrial military power.... Vietnam has the backing of Soviet Union and china and an advantage in terrain.
 
The President is known to allow his enthusiasm to get ahead of him.
Well, this is actually USA's fundamental operational problem in this conflict. He seeks a quick, decisive, and televised "shock and awe" victory, for publicity mostly. He is not a military man but may well influence military doctrine to the extent that blunders are made. Iran may even be relying on this outcome.

Hitler often told Rommel where to stick it and that turned out to be a disaster.
 
Is the Iranian defence ministry releasing statistics on how many drones and missiles are being launched daily?

If so, please could someone provide a link.
 
Iran definitely has planned for the long game and this is perhaps part of an irregular/unconventional strategy for long term survival against overpowering military superiority.
no it hasn't, had it made a long term strategic plan it would have found a way to diversify its oil and gas distribution network. As it stands if anything happens to Karg Islands, Iran can only lash out at neighboring countries and Israel for a few days until they run out of missiles and then it's game over. No one with a long term strategic vision will ever prioritize ruinous funding of proxies and missiles over securing their only means of earning cash.

I would first build underground pipe lines to transport my oil and gas through Pakistan or other neighboring countries securely and then build those missile cities. The only calculus in a US decision to cut off Tehrans only means of exporting its oil is that it makes it impossible for anyone to exploit Iran's oil for a few years including the US. A problem that we already face in Venezuela.
 
French deployment confirmed - they will position to support in keeping the Med Sea open for trade/shipping. Not participate in any offensive/hostile action.
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And lets not overestimate them either.

The one thing Iran will not be short of, is people willing to pick up a gun and go after the MEU..

Objectively speaking, you are absolutely right. Nobody is doubting US capabilities here but a land war is something completely different. The results will be terrible if not devastating for the US military. Iran isn't Iraq or Libya. They're not a failed nation. There's history, tradition, will power.

It would be a strategic mistake by the Americans to enter a land based war against the Iranian state.
 
War will be over in maximum 10 days.... lessons from Vietnam and Japan don't apply when it comes to Iran ..... Japan was an industrial military power.... Vietnam has the backing of Soviet Union and china and an advantage in terrain.
The US never achieved air superiority over North Vietnam, never decimated decisively North Vietnam air defense, Air Force, manufacturing capability in 10 years of war.

Meanwhile Iran fights much alone. Something goes terribly wrong with Iran diplomatic skill, its military potential. As it seems per announcement from US and Israeli much of Iran capabilities have reduced to ashes in just 2 weeks.
 


What makes it so difficult for Israel to manipulate Trump? If he is susceptible to Shehbaz Sharif’s flattery, Israel should find him an easy mark.

@mod this is not about Pak politics, but trump behavior. Anyway even if you find post wrong, please delete it.

(Now a days, posting a comment on pdf seems more difficult thing actually 🫣 )
 

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