Falcon29
Elite Member
Hamas killed 2,039 Israeli soldiers and security personnel since October 7What does Hamas have to do with it ? Lebanon is a large nation not a tiny territory like Gaza so going off that it should be more defendable.
There is no indication Israel is seeking to embark on full scaled ground invasion and occupation of Lebanon. Lebanon and Israel are having talks right now which Hezbollah is aware of, around a ceasefire.
Any major ground invasion of Lebanon would require scaling back of forces in Gaza.
I don't see them doing that for that reason.
But I wouldn't be too optimistic that Hezbollah can prevent them from reaching Litani river if they set out to do it.
However right now it's not a credible threat of ground invasion and is posturing to pressure Lebanon into recognizing Israel or coming to ceasefire and disengaging from conflict with Iran.
So saying Hezbollah is not Hamas, I think you would want them to be like Hamas because that will be a hard bar to reach
I am on Hezbollah's side and wish them best luck but also hope Lebanon doesn't suffer a major invasion for sake of Lebanese people. But if it comes to it I hope they can defend it best they can.
It is unlikely Netanyahu will embark on major commitment of 1-2 year long major ground invasion and occupation of Lebanon. They do not want to do that and will not use more than 15,000 troops. It will be same ground invasion maneuver as the one they did in 2024:









