IRGC currently seems to be more believable. they reciprocated every type of attack so far tit for tat banks when its own was targeted, dimona, desalisation plants. And it said it will send 1+ ton warheads and seems like it has since.
They're currently mired in a slow-boil war that they're generally unwilling to do much with in Ukraine with regards to quickly ending it and show no signs of wanting to do what it takes to end it. Doubt that'll change.
You are right, but the equation will change if America loses this war with Iran. And 99% of experts are agreeing that the US has already lost it.
