Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Hassan Al-Somal]

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

️ 27-year-old Israeli reserve combat soldier, Nuriel Dubin from Margaliot, was killed on 24 March after a barrage of around 30 rockets launched by the Lebanese resistance struck the Upper Galilee, near Mahanaim Junction.

Two others were lightly wounded by shrapnel in the same attack.

 

[Immortals]

 

[Persian Gulf]

The problem with that deal is that Iran's obligations under the deal are permanent and non-reversible while the US concessions are easily reversible with a stroke of a pen.

If we give up our HEU, not only there will never be sanctions relief or compensations, but they will try their regime change plans more eagerly than before.

we are not using the HEU anyway. the point of leverage like the HEU is to know when to use it to extract concessions that we want. there are some options:

(1) total resistance - fight war as long as possible, and try to develop nukes. suffer massive damage, with no clear end path, unless nukes are somehow developed or the global economic situation deteriorates so the US is forced to offer favourable terms to Iran

(2) accept weak ceasefire and return to status quo - weak and vulnerable without funds to redevelop as US economic war continues and Israel returns to 'mow the lawn' again in 6-12 months

(3) make major compromises to change nature of relationship with the US, give up nuclear program, make missile compromises, and get significant sanctions relief

2 is probably the most likely.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Iranian missile hit Tel Aviv

@TasnimNews




As a result of Iranian missiles, electricity was cut off in parts of Netanya city, north of Tel Aviv

@TasnimNews

 

[ShapurII]

we are not using the HEU anyway. the point of leverage like the HEU is to know when to use it to extract concessions that we want. there are some options:

(1) total resistance - fight war as long as possible, and try to develop nukes. suffer massive damage, with no clear end path, unless nukes are somehow developed or the global economic situation deteriorates so the US is forced to offer favourable terms to Iran

(2) accept weak ceasefire and return to status quo - weak and vulnerable without funds to redevelop as US economic war continues and Israel returns to 'mow the lawn' again in 6-12 months

(3) make major compromises to change nature of relationship with the US, give up nuclear program, make missile compromises, and get significant sanctions relief

2 is probably the most likely.

Yes, 2 and 3 will lead to regime change. There is no way that Israel would allow an Islamic regime with anti-Israel sentiments stay in power.

1 is the best option of the three, but it is probably too late for that. Khamenei really screwed Iran with his fatwa and strategic patience.

We could use the HEU if we could convert it into uranium metal.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Hebrew sources report that several loud explosions were heard in Tel Aviv

@TasnimNews





The flight of Iranian missiles towards the invaders

The internal front of the Zionist regime's army said on Wednesday morning that following the observation of another wave of rockets fired by the Islamic Republic of Iran, the danger sirens have been activated in the center of occupied Palestine.

@TasnimNews

 

[Maarkhoor]

we are not using the HEU anyway. the point of leverage like the HEU is to know when to use it to extract concessions that we want. there are some options:

(1) total resistance - fight war as long as possible, and try to develop nukes. suffer massive damage, with no clear end path, unless nukes are somehow developed or the global economic situation deteriorates so the US is forced to offer favourable terms to Iran

(2) accept weak ceasefire and return to status quo - weak and vulnerable without funds to redevelop as US economic war continues and Israel returns to 'mow the lawn' again in 6-12 months

(3) make major compromises to change nature of relationship with the US, give up nuclear program, make missile compromises, and get significant sanctions relief

2 is probably the most likely.

Iran should develop nukes long before but due to fatwa they are not even west sanctioned them like hell always remind me a story when a villiger who was known miser trying purchase goat but he have only 100 rs he rejected the offer later that goat stolen by someone else and people in the market put blame on him and offer three punichment which he can choose...

First Eat 100 onions

Second 100 slaps

Third pay 100 rs

Since he was miser he choose 100 onions after eating half he fell down and go for 100 slaps after 50 again he go down and in the last he paid 100 rs and get free neither he get the goat nor he save his money.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Trump's 3 goals of raising the issue of negotiations from the perspective of Azerbaijani experts

An expert on political issues and international conflicts announced that the US decision to postpone the attacks on Iran's energy facilities and bring forward the issue of negotiations is part of a multipurpose program.

Asif Narimanli, in an interview with the Russian news agency Ryanovsi, said: "By announcing a five-day postponement of these attacks, Washington seeks to reduce the price of oil, rebuild its missile reserves, and strengthen its position against domestic and international opponents."

[tasnimnews.ir/3548503]
@TasnimNews

 

[Persian Gulf]

Yes, 2 and 3 will lead to regime change. There is no way that Israel would allow an Islamic regime with anti-Israel sentiments stay in power.

1 is the best option of the three, but it is probably too late for that. Khamenei really screwed Iran with his fatwa and strategic patience.

We could use the HEU if we could convert it into uranium metal.

Trump seems open to his version of a 'regime change' (option 3). But I don't think the current hardliners are open to it.

You know the uranium metal facilities are destroyed. The enemy has air superiority and is watching Esfahan very closely. Any attempt to access the HEU will be detected, and there is not much we can do with it anyway since our main facilities were destroyed. We can always hope there are some undetected sites where our scientists are working in secret, but it seems unlikely.

That HEU and the Strait of Hormuz are our best/only leverage to end this war.

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

Israeli sources: Washington is looking for a ceasefire, but Iran is in no hurry

According to the report of the international group of Tasnim news agency, Yediot Aharonot quoted senior Israeli officials and wrote that an agreement between Washington and Tehran is not expected to be reached soon.

According to these sources, Washington is looking for a month-long ceasefire to discuss the principles of the agreement.

These Israeli officials also acknowledged that Iranian officials do not seem to be in a rush for a ceasefire. They said that "Iranian leaders are arrogant and bold".

Senior Israeli officials went on to claim that the next round of talks would likely take place this week, possibly in Islamabad (a claim that American sources have been heavily maneuvering in the past 24 hours).

They said that America has presented a 15-point proposal to Iran through Pakistan and the Iranians are not expected to respond to this proposal soon.

@TasnimNews

 

[ShapurII]

Trump seems open to his version of a 'regime change' (option 3). But I don't think the current hardliners are open to it.

You know the uranium metal facilities are destroyed. The enemy has air superiority and is watching Esfahan very closely. Any attempt to access the HEU will be detected, and there is not much we can do with it anyway since our main facilities were destroyed. We can always hope there are some undetected sites where our scientists are working in secret, but it seems unlikely.

That HEU and the Strait of Hormuz are our best/only leverage to end this war.

Trump is not the only factor here. He could leave the office as early as 9 months later, if not 3 years later. Israel is not going to accept an Islamic Iran that its core ideology is based on anti-Israel sentiments.

Yes, and we cannot afford to give our last remaining leverages.

There is always the option of buying nukes from North Korea. That's what I meant by comrade Kim helping us out of this situation. Well, not in the middle of a war where the enemy fully dominates our air space, but it is certainly possible. Particularly if China allows this to happen.

 

[Immortals]

we are not using the HEU anyway. the point of leverage like the HEU is to know when to use it to extract concessions that we want. there are some options:

(1) total resistance - fight war as long as possible, and try to develop nukes. suffer massive damage, with no clear end path, unless nukes are somehow developed or the global economic situation deteriorates so the US is forced to offer favourable terms to Iran

(2) accept weak ceasefire and return to status quo - weak and vulnerable without funds to redevelop as US economic war continues and Israel returns to 'mow the lawn' again in 6-12 months

(3) make major compromises to change nature of relationship with the US, give up nuclear program, make missile compromises, and get significant sanctions relief

2 is probably the most likely.

Terrible short sighted analysis

 

[Hassan Al-Somal]

53 operations for Hezbollah today!!

 

[Gryzor]

Brilliant assessment.
I could be wrong, but Iran received the PMU-2 variant of S-300 with some modifications. S-300VM also offers some anti-ballistic capabilities that Iran clearly lacked.

I think this war should end either by capitulation or a long-term settlement between us and the US. Anything else in between is disaster for Iran and Iranians.

Thanks mate, you do very well yourself, I've been following that community in read-only without an account since the IMF days, and only recently joined

And yeah in theory the VM was not bad... but I doubt it"s the type that was transfered to begin with, or it was already compromised before the transfer, those are sadly legitimate questions when it comes to Russia within an Israeli scope.

Yeah we align on the outcome. There's not going to be intermediate states, it's either all or nothing from now on...