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It is strange that the US has imposed a total naval blockade on Iran during a ceasefire and IRI has not responded at all, preferring to continue negotiations and pretend the blockade does not exist.
But it does. And Israel has not accepted a ceasefire in Lebanon (though it has stopped bombing Beirut).
When the first reports of negotiations came out, Iranian officials denied it strongly. But now we see that Trump was telling the truth, and our Iranian officials were openly lying to us, and many messages were being exchanged with the enemy through intermediaries behind the scenes.
Its a war
The blockade of the Hormuz hurts the world economy, as long as Iran can send oil it gets both revenue and the ability to sustain the blockade for many many months, badly hurting the world economy
So this current U.S plan is trying to force the Hormuz to open by blocking Iranian oil, so Iran is forced to open the Hormuz and agree to terms
Its a siege
Currently Iran is ok, it has hundreds of millions of barrels of oil in tankers in the open sea heading to destinations
Iran will also have a limited capacity to store oil before it has to stop
So their is I reckon a two week window where Iran will wait it out
Everyday the Hormuz is blocked the GCC suffer and the world economy suffers and of you remove Iranian and GCC oil then the world has a problem
Economic sabotage is the real weapon for Iran, not missiles
Iran needs to keep holding out
It needs to demand payment from tankers to fix its economy and damaged infrastructure
And it needs to prepare it's missiles and drones for round two if needs be
All it’s takes is one attack and Pakistans job is ruined
Iran has defeated Israel militarily
Pakistan needs to defeat Israel in diplomacy
Pakistans job is much harder than Israel
Because all is has to do is drop one bomb
China is a fairly restrained great power, and it is precisely because The US and its allies have spotted this that they keep provoking China. I don’t think china is going to resolve the issue militarily far away from its shore. China can threaten the US with sending anti ship ballistic missiles to Iran if they decide to seize Chinese oil tankers. Let’s wait and see how things play out.It comes down to whether China is prepared to accept restrictions in its affairs with third countries because of restrictions imposed by the USA or not.
China is a fairly restrained great power, and it is precisely because The US and its allies have spotted this that they keep provoking China. I don’t think china is going to resolve the issue militarily far away from its shore. China can threaten the US with sending anti ship ballistic missiles to Iran if they decide to seize Chinese oil tankers. Let’s wait and see how things play out.
China is a fairly restrained great power, and it is precisely because The US and its allies have spotted this that they keep provoking China. I don’t think china is going to resolve the issue militarily far away from its shore. China can threaten the US with sending anti ship ballistic missiles to Iran if they decide to seize Chinese oil tankers. Let’s wait and see how things play out.
Usa will somehow turn the world against China or blackmail them in to it, at the moment Usa led world order is Usa South America, Canada EU Nato GCC Quad, India, Israel, these are the most powerful nations in the world. Usa is also making sure South America is rid of anti Usa forces, same with the middleeast. Militarily they cannot fight China but they control the world so can choke China economy, impose trade sanctions, at the moment it will be difficult but they can in the future once the Usa led order moves away from middleeast/South America in to Asia.
China is meanwhile quietly building itself for the 21st century, enough development/progress/military to keep China safe throughout the 21st century but that is not enough, the war is coming to China. China must build strategic military economy trade relations with others and counter the western led order or face the consequences. But the big issue is most powerful nations in the world are with the Usa. I always thought Russia and China will make Iran the redline and make sure west does not cross over, Iran is also part of SCO.
This blockade is gonna impact Chinese economy and the world. Do nothing and win is a good strategy if you are not affected by the current conflict. China is working very hard to achieve energy independence & security but it’s still many years away.China doesn't need to do anything, when the U.S is self destructing at the hands of the Zionists
All China needs to do is ensure it's strong enough to keep Zionist and other western infections out
China is doing nothing and winning
Usa will somehow turn the world against China or blackmail them in to it, at the moment Usa led world order is Usa South America, Canada EU Nato GCC Quad, India, Israel, these are the most powerful nations in the world. Usa is also making sure South America is rid of anti Usa forces, same with the middleeast. Militarily they cannot fight China but they control the world so can choke China economy, impose trade sanctions, at the moment it will be difficult but they can in the future once the Usa led order moves away from middleeast/South America in to Asia.
China is meanwhile quietly building itself for the 21st century, enough development/progress/military to keep China safe throughout the 21st century but that is not enough, the war is coming to China. China must build strategic military economy trade relations with others and counter the western led order or face the consequences. But the big issue is most powerful nations in the world are with the Usa. I always thought Russia and China will make Iran the redline and make sure west does not cross over, Iran is also part of SCO.
I am not sure you can call China a "great power". The term great power comes from military power and being able to use it to extert changes to your will.
China is an up and coming economic power, but that does not translate into the overall great power label.
I do agree with you, "What's good with all the shiny toys if you are not willing to use them". At the current moment, I don’t think china is ready to challenge the US militarily but it does have a powerful industrial complex to sustain a long attritional warfare. Type 004 nuclear carrier is still under construction, china semiconductor industry is at least a few years away from becoming self sufficient. China would become more dependent on Russia for energy resources in the coming years.I am not sure you can call China a "great power". The term great power comes from military power and being able to use it to extert changes to your will.
China is an up and coming economic power, but that does not translate into the overall great power label.
Not every battle is won by weapons. The real contest of the 21st century is economic architecture.
I do agree with you, "What's good with all the shiny toys if you are not willing to use them". At the current moment, I don’t think china is ready to challenge the US militarily but it does have a powerful industrial complex to sustain a long attritional warfare. Type 004 nuclear carrier is still under construction, china semiconductor industry is at least a few years away from becoming self sufficient.
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