Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Yasser76]

Market is finally starting to price oil correctly. Billions of barrels of oil shortage was temporarily covered up with release of strategic reserves. The longer this drags on the more traders will realize how many months it will take to go back to pre-war status.

Yeah, this carries on and you can see a lot of holidays being cancelled....

 

[Master Chief]

More than Chahbahar port was offered by Israel to India: Access to the resources of the Israeli lobby to bring Trump back to India, spying on Pakistan, destabilization of Pakistan through proxies in Afghanistan, sophisticated weapon sales. Even some Indian analysts had said that Modi didn't have to go to Israel to sign those deals/agreements that he signed and that too just before the attack on Iran was launched.
Modi is a dumbass like Trump to be duped by Netanyahu and sadly for India it is India which will pay the price big way in the Middle East. But look at what 'democracy' can deliver: Modi, Trump and Netanyahu!

All true. I would add that Trump is still where he is on the basis of merit - the USA deep state still feels it is reasonable to play ball with him as their pitchside announcer. Modi is where he is purely because illiterate and unwashed hordes are easily instructed to take their votes to the bank en masse (look at the condition of Yogi uncle who seems to be genuinely next in line for ascendancy there). The less said about Bibi, the better.

 

[Hayabusa]

View attachment 194663

Brent crude reaches $115

People won't understand the severity of the impact now. It will be felt a few months later.

 

[Master Chief]

BTW, where is that downed pilot who was rescued during the Isfahan operation? I thought he was a little injured but overall fine? I have not noticed videos of him describing his escape and rescue. We know way back in the 90s when an American pilot fell behind enemy lines (Serbia?) he was recovered and became a hero in the media.

Yes it was Serbia. And the movie was actually called Behind Enemy Lines.

The pilot became Owen Wilson just in time for the movie.

I too am curious as to who this latest star airman will transform into for his big screen debut. And who will play Trump, Hegseth etc?

 

[Ali_Baba]

The War You’re Not Allowed to See: How the UAE Rewrites the Story of Iranian Strikes​

The War You’re Not Allowed to See: How the UAE Rewrites the Story of Iranian Strikes - bellingcat

A review of official statements shows that the public account does not always align with what can be observed through open sources.

www.bellingcat.com

 

[Master Chief]

No

That means UAE doesn’t have to limit production to keep prices high any more, should reduce price

No evidence yet for this. All speculation. UAE can now set whatever prices it likes to suit its personal agenda. If everybody is prepared to drain their economies for 110 dollars per barrel, why would UAE not fleece whomsoever it chooses while giving preferential rates ONLY to its buddies?

 

[925boy]

Typically they can park for 2 to 3 months...but its all depends on crew endurance.

Seems US lost the war and has been deterred from further military action against Iran, without threat of nukes. @Lulldapull is right.

 

[lightning f57]

View attachment 194663

Brent crude reaches $115

Trumpy will really start bhangra dancing around $125

 

[lightning f57]

No

That means UAE doesn’t have to limit production to keep prices high any more, should reduce price

Only if they can get oil out of the PG.

 

[Persian Gulf]

No evidence yet for this. All speculation. UAE can now set whatever prices it likes to suit its personal agenda. If everybody is prepared to drain their economies for 110 dollars per barrel, why would UAE not fleece whomsoever it chooses while giving preferential rates ONLY to its buddies?

You didn’t understand my post or the issue

Learn about the purpose of OPEC and why UAE might want to leave it

 

[Persian Gulf]

Only if they can get oil out of the PG.

They have Fujairah bypass but yes that’s right

Iran needs to attack the bypass terminals in UAE and KSA or close the Bab el Mandeb to bring time back in our favour

If the Yemenis are not willing to do it, we can do it ourselves with 2000km range Shahed drones launched from south Iran and force Yemenis to join us or acknowledge they don’t want to help us

 

[Master Chief]

You didn’t understand my post or the issue

Learn about the purpose of OPEC and why UAE might want to leave it

I fully understand and I am speculating, reasonably so, that the opposite of what you claim will occur for most countries. You are free to disagree.

Russia had an option of selling cheaper oil to various countries when its embargo was lifted recently. Did it do that? Or did it immediately proceed to extort anyone it possibly could (except for China with whom Moscow has a preferential partnership)?

 

[Persian Gulf]

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[Persian Gulf]

I fully understand and I am speculating, reasonably so, that the opposite of what you claim will occur for most countries. You are free to disagree.

Russia had an option of selling cheaper oil to various countries when its embargo was lifted recently. Did it do that? Or did it immediately proceed to extort anyone it possibly could (except for China with whom Moscow has a preferential partnership)?

Countries do not set the price of oil

They control their level of production. That’s the issue. Price is a function of production levels, which was tightly limited via OPEC, and no longer limited for the UAE

 

[Watandar]

It's a battle of nerves now between the US and Iran. The high energy costs have a major impact on the US economy, despite Mr Trump's bluster. If Iran can hang on, the political and economic pressure on Mr Trump builds every day.

Crude Oil - Price - Chart - Historical Data - News

Crude Oil rose to 103.22 USD/Bbl on May 4, 2026, up 1.26% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has fallen 8.17%, but it is still 80.68% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity...

tradingeconomics.com