Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

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This Palestinian blogger is putting the options in front of Iran in blunt ways. Netanyahu has put a trap for Iran and for Trump. By now, everyone knows, Trump wants out badly. And by now everyone knows Netanyahu wants the war to escalate. And I personally think the Iranians don't mind too much if it escalates because their backs against a wall.

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Ali_Baba said:
The Iranian strategy is to simply implode and explode the economies of the allies of the USA into an inflation bomb and then cause a global recession, even a depression if they get lucky. Thought that was obvious to all ?? That recession will eventually feed into the USA itself given how interconnected western economies are. Oil price shock is coming soon, given how countries are eating into their strategic reserves to try and pretend all is ok for now.

Iran does not care if the global economy goes into a recession, or depression given how disconnected they are from the global economy( side effect of the sanctions that Iran is under).

Iran's strategy is to impose a real cost on the USA so that future presidents don't do this again. Yes, Israel does not care about the economy given all that cheap oil Azerbaijan gives it via the good services of Türkiye .. Israel lives off the free USA cheque book and also in a consequence free world so that is not really an indicator of anything, and Donald Trump is too stupid to realize what is coming his way right now.

The current scenario is not sustainable for the USA, I am not sure why you think that is the case ? The USA needs the straits open and flowing again, that is why it is desperately trying to move ships across, but the volume is so small and insignificant, that it is not really worth talking about right now. The "ongoing" operations are because fundamentally Trump refuses to accept that he has lost the war, and he will as a gambler, roll the dice again after the world cup again.

Once that inflation bomb hits and the global economy starts going red, then the real negotiations will start and the USA will have to negotiate in "good faith".
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Trump the loser will hit many records.

The US strategic petroleum reserves at a 40 year low, people who keep saying but but but US is net exporter of oil should realise the US can't make the short fall.

The IAE report on 17 June will be interesting, if it shows close to 300m barrels of oil withdrawn from the IAE strategic release in May and SOH is still shut expect panic in the oil market, price will jump.
 
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long night ahead. Trump won't like this start to the week

the least escalatory step would be a small salvo of 1-3 missiles aimed at an air base in north Israel, sparing Haifa and major cities.

but virtually any attack will lead to an Israeli response, and air defence sabotage operations can be set up
 
Iran was firing approx 20 missiles at Israel per day consistently during the final weeks of the war in April

it has been 2 months since then. we can infer that Iran would have fired > 1000 missiles more missiles at Israel by now if the war had continued (assuming the same rate of fire, which may be optimistic)
 
Immortals said:
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Important question is, what would Israel want now? Iran starts war or dont?
 
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Persian Gulf said:
Iran was firing approx 20 missiles at Israel per day consistently during the final weeks of the war in April

it has been 2 months since then. we can infer that Iran would have fired > 1000 missiles more missiles at Israel by now if the war had continued (assuming the same rate of fire, which may be optimistic)
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The main reason for low fire rate was to avoid getting caught in the open by ISR as well as the delay in reopening tunnels.

It’s obvious now Iran should have built more missile bases in the East and focused on building a longer range (yet economical) missile that could strike targets in Israel and western Saudi Arabia and force the enemy to travel long distances to attack the missile nodes. In fact Northeastern Iran should def become a major missile zone in the future.
 
Immortals said:
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Looks like Iranian missile salvo is expected in coming hours and Iran is closing its airspace
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Can you turn off music in these tweets atleast…
 
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