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A very optimistic viewpoint, I hope you are proven correct. To me the last few years have proven that people in the region, like elsewhere, are fully onboard with the consumerist lifestyle and only want jobs and better facilities. They are willing to ignore whatever war or atrocity or repression is imposed by Israel, America or the dictatorships and will just performatively object. The only difference with the recent Iran war was that by attacking energy facilities and blocking the Strait of Hormuz, Iran brought the pain home to GCC/West and Israel and you saw them sing a very different tune from Gaza or Lebanon or Iraq or Syria or Yemen or Sudan or Afghanistan or Pakistan or Iran-Iraq 1980s etc.Withdrawing from Lebanon or not is not capitulation. If a deal like this gets done and holds, within a few years not even the Arabs themselves will allow Israel to set foot in any Arab land, wherever. Things don't happen in a vacuum. If America and it's posture get significantly reduced in the middle east, you think irsrael kan just do what it likes there? It's entire existense will be in question, and not because of military conflict. But the wrath of hundreds of millions of people in the region. Forced recognition and reconciliation with dictatorship governments (arab dictatorships) is not sustainable mid- to long term.
Iranian officials and media had insisted that Iran had stopped engaging with the U.S. after the U.S. attacked Iran several times. While Trump insisted Iran was lying and negotiations were ongoing.
Now Araghchi confirms Trump was telling the truth, and negotiations have been ongoing behind the scenes this entire time:
Nonsense. Stop fake concerns on Lebanon.Lebanon got the short end of the stick on this one... I doubt once the deal is signed Iran will do anything other than sabre rattling and "expressing concern" over the ethnic cleansing and occupation of South Lebanon. This is the worst case scenario.
Iranian officials and media had insisted that Iran had stopped engaging with the U.S. after the U.S. attacked Iran several times. While Trump insisted Iran was lying and negotiations were ongoing.
Now Araghchi confirms Trump was telling the truth, and negotiations have been ongoing behind the scenes this entire time:
The lifestyle yes. And when there isn't enough mass (as in enough countries/people/power) to put pressure on the west or isr, that's true. But 110 million arabs in Egypt? They're not rich hedonistic. Syria, but especially Iraq arab nationalism in the future. They know the plans, they've lived through it. Will they always be quiet? And if the big ones don't, the gcc especially saudi has to wake up at a certain point too. bahrein doesn't count, it's smaller than my backyard. but yes. Indeed i agree with you that it's optimistic. but this is the power of people and nationalism. when the first sheep crosses, the rest will dare follow too.A very optimistic viewpoint, I hope you are proven correct. To me the last few years have proven that people in the region, like elsewhere, are fully onboard with the consumerist lifestyle and only want jobs and better facilities. They are willing to ignore whatever war or atrocity or repression is imposed by Israel, America or the dictatorships and will just performatively object. The only difference with the recent Iran war was that by attacking energy facilities and blocking the Strait of Hormuz, Iran brought the pain home to GCC/West and Israel and you saw them sing a very different tune from Gaza or Lebanon or Iraq or Syria or Yemen or Sudan or Afghanistan or Pakistan or Iran-Iraq 1980s etc.
However after this war is over all will return to the consumerist hedonistic lifestyle that now dominates the globe.
Lebanon got the short end of the stick on this one... I doubt once the deal is signed Iran will do anything other than sabre rattling and "expressing concern" over the ethnic cleansing and occupation of South Lebanon. This is the worst case scenario.
Except they didn't, did they? They were already fighting a war against Israel.Hezbullah joined the war for Iran
Iranian officials and media had insisted that Iran had stopped engaging with the U.S. after the U.S. attacked Iran several times. While Trump insisted Iran was lying and negotiations were ongoing.
Now Araghchi confirms Trump was telling the truth, and negotiations have been ongoing behind the scenes this entire time:
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