Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Immortals said:
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Iran is playing madman, against Mr Trump who is an actual madman. A volatile mix.

John Mearschiemer is an analyst I respect a lot and this discussion is worth a listen.

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AZ_HighCountry said:
Unlike some folks here who cling to Brent crude prices, I look at inventories of refined products. Gasoline and #2 diesel are both feeling pressure.
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SPIR will hit operational constraints around Labor Day at the current 7-9 million barrel per week depletion rate. That’s also around the same time the emergency release is scheduled to be finished.

Trump could decide to take it even lower and get us to critical levels where the salt caverns start becoming permanently exhausted if he is desperate to continue to suppress oil prices before mid terms. That will buy him another 6-8 weeks or thru Nov, assuming the market doesn’t front run this entire event and raise paper oil prices anticipating it being a likely outcome.

Both sides are playing a dangerous game of chicken.
 
US has now adopted much more effective strategy. Its blockade of Iranian ports and for striking Its using less expensive weapons. All those footages hitting radars and launchers are done by either drones or LGBs.

Also US does not look like to slowing down the tempo this time. Its relentless and sustained campaign to neutralize targets this time around.

On other hand, how many BMs are remaining with Iran is a big question mark. KSA also seems to get involved. NATO could be joining this time around. They already started to provide air refueling.
 
lightning f57 said:
Same line he used shortly after the Feb 28 attacks.

Its clear Iran has not been able to set up deterrence, they will need to respond disproportionately, likely to those countries that are allowing their territories to attack Iran. If you take them of the chess board the US has limited means of attack (by sea or via Israel).
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Iran should declare its operations will end in 3 months and keep fighting .. take the control out of trumps hands.
 
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VCheng said:
My guess is at least until the midterms are closer, since a decisive win to help the Republicans would be hugely needed by The Cheetoman's Cheating Circus by then.

Its effect on Pakistan is off topic IMO.
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One can trust America's ability to start wars but there's a distinct lack of trust when it comes to ending them.

It's not republicans or Democrats who are at war with Iran. It's the Americans. It's downright arrogance to put fate of millions of people in jeopardy for a glorified price is right show.
 
هدیه پزشکیان و قالیباف

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Pakistan First said:
US has now adopted much more effective strategy. Its blockade of Iranian ports and for striking Its using less expensive weapons. All those footages hitting radars and launchers are done by either drones or LGBs.

Also US does not look like to slowing down the tempo this time. Its relentless and sustained campaign to neutralize targets this time around.

On other hand, how many BMs are remaining with Iran is a big question mark. KSA also seems to get involved. NATO could be joining this time around. They already started to provide air refueling.
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wake up theyve been "bombing depots and drones" since day 1 nothings changed theyre just escelating as usual
 
Khorasan Black Flags said:
What prevents Iran from launching devastating attacks is people like Pezeshkian, Araghchi, and Ghalibaf, along with the polarization they have created in our society
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They take instructions from supreme leader and IRGC. Its easy scapegoating by naming these people.

The real problem are those hardliners who thought they can win militarily from the US. Iran simply do not have air power and enemy can bomb Tehran anytime they want. Iran also do not have unlimited stock of ballistic missiles. Iran should not have hit the commercial ships during ceasefire and right after the MoU.

The araghci, ghalibaf did amazing job at negotiations from Iranian side. Everyone was considering MoU as surrender document of United States. But som hardliner IRGC general ruined it by firing at commerical ships. Now its over. Enjoy! Now role of Ghalibaf ends. Now IRGC should fire up and do what they wanted. Now there is no excuse.
 
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